PA GOV 2022: Stick a fork in it
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  PA GOV 2022: Stick a fork in it
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Author Topic: PA GOV 2022: Stick a fork in it  (Read 66544 times)
Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #300 on: April 26, 2022, 02:07:39 PM »


Not really sure why. He should just let the GOP clown car run its course and then run as the sensible alternative to whichever fool they nominate. But I suppose this doesn't hurt. He's got a ton of money.

You can't take it with you. In the larger scheme of things $1 mill is not that much and it's probably a good thing to start building your narrative now. Besides with god knows how much money that will be spent on the senate race come Sept/Oct Pennsylvania airwaves will just be one big political commercial everyone tunes out.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #301 on: April 26, 2022, 02:55:57 PM »

If you have the $$ and there's no one else in the primary, it never hurts to start airing ads earlier. Just look at Youngkin. Especially if it's positive ads.
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AncestralDemocrat.
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« Reply #302 on: April 28, 2022, 08:21:36 PM »

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zoz
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« Reply #303 on: May 01, 2022, 03:50:53 PM »

https://www.cityandstatepa.com/politics/2022/04/new-poll-shows-doug-mastriano-14-point-lead-pennsylvania-gop-primary-governor/366333/

Third poll in April that shows Lou Barletta in third behind Mastriano and McSwain. Barletta continues to slide, Mastriano rockets ahead and McSwain seems to be holding steady despite Trump's anti-endorsement. Does Mastriano have this race sealed up? What chance does Lou have at winning at this point? How is McSwain managing to tread water despite Trump's attacks? Curious to hear some thoughts.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #304 on: May 01, 2022, 05:29:55 PM »

https://www.cityandstatepa.com/politics/2022/04/new-poll-shows-doug-mastriano-14-point-lead-pennsylvania-gop-primary-governor/366333/

Third poll in April that shows Lou Barletta in third behind Mastriano and McSwain. Barletta continues to slide, Mastriano rockets ahead and McSwain seems to be holding steady despite Trump's anti-endorsement. Does Mastriano have this race sealed up? What chance does Lou have at winning at this point? How is McSwain managing to tread water despite Trump's attacks? Curious to hear some thoughts.

If Barletta can't catch any ground at this point, he's probably DOA. He came into this race with the highest name ID considering he ran statewide in 2018, so the fact that he's barely doing double digits is just pathetic
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AMB1996
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« Reply #305 on: May 01, 2022, 06:40:47 PM »

https://www.cityandstatepa.com/politics/2022/04/new-poll-shows-doug-mastriano-14-point-lead-pennsylvania-gop-primary-governor/366333/

Third poll in April that shows Lou Barletta in third behind Mastriano and McSwain. Barletta continues to slide, Mastriano rockets ahead and McSwain seems to be holding steady despite Trump's anti-endorsement. Does Mastriano have this race sealed up? What chance does Lou have at winning at this point? How is McSwain managing to tread water despite Trump's attacks? Curious to hear some thoughts.

On McSwain, Trump-critical or -skeptical candidates are going to have a solid floor of around 15–30%, depending on the state, and a very low ceiling. None of them can win head-to-head races, but they have a shot in pile-ups. See also Dolan in Ohio.
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
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« Reply #306 on: May 01, 2022, 08:13:09 PM »

McSwain literally worked for Trump lol and he claimed Bill Barr prevented him making allegations of voter fraud in 2020. I mean, yes Trump attacked him but it's not like he's a Dolan type

Anyways, I know McSwain was a US Attorney and one of his top issues is being tough on crime, I think that's very appealing in this current climate
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AMB1996
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« Reply #307 on: May 02, 2022, 06:04:36 AM »

McSwain literally worked for Trump lol and he claimed Bill Barr prevented him making allegations of voter fraud in 2020. I mean, yes Trump attacked him but it's not like he's a Dolan type

Anyways, I know McSwain was a US Attorney and one of his top issues is being tough on crime, I think that's very appealing in this current climate

I should cast a broader net but can't think of a proper term for a candidate who is clearly opposed by Trump, even if it's not mutual. The same effect is at play regardless. McSwain will gain from the anti-endorsement in the short term and be hamstrung by it in the long term.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #308 on: May 02, 2022, 10:17:24 AM »

It's truly interesting how Mastriano/Saccone could end up being a ticket very likely, and the two were pictured together at the insurrection. That probably is the worst case scenario ticket for the GOP

https://www.witf.org/2021/05/26/new-videos-appear-to-show-state-senator-doug-mastriano-closer-to-capitol-insurrection-than-he-said/
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #309 on: May 02, 2022, 05:07:45 PM »

and GOPs problem here in a nutshell:

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wbrocks67
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« Reply #310 on: May 05, 2022, 09:55:12 AM »

Shapiro continues to out-smart the competition

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Shaula🏳️‍⚧️
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« Reply #311 on: May 05, 2022, 10:38:09 AM »

Trump endorsement likely coming in the next few days. Either Barletta or Mastriano.
I don't have any sources, I just have a gut feeling about it.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #312 on: May 05, 2022, 11:08:15 AM »

Trump endorsement likely coming in the next few days. Either Barletta or Mastriano.
I don't have any sources, I just have a gut feeling about it.

I would imagine it would be Mastriano, given Barletta has been faltering or he has the stench of 'loser' on him from 2018, and with these recent polling results...
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #313 on: May 05, 2022, 12:49:44 PM »

Shapiro continues to out-smart the competition



Are we gonna all ignore the real question here? What DOES happen to pets in a divorce?!
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Born to Slay. Forced to Work.
leecannon
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« Reply #314 on: May 05, 2022, 06:58:05 PM »

Shapiro continues to out-smart the competition



Are we gonna all ignore the real question here? What DOES happen to pets in a divorce?!

Honestly from what I read you really don’t wanna know
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Shaula🏳️‍⚧️
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« Reply #315 on: May 06, 2022, 08:34:03 PM »

No Trump endorsement at the rally
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zoz
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« Reply #316 on: May 07, 2022, 10:56:17 AM »

I saw Dave White and Jake Corman at the rally, not sure about any others. Mastriano signs blanketed the surrounding area to the degree that I think he'll win Westmoreland County next week.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #317 on: May 07, 2022, 12:36:59 PM »

Side note - how in the world Torsella let Stacy Garrity beat him in 2020 is just.... insane.

But I imagine Garrity played it like Barnette did in 2020. No one knew how crazy they actually were until after the election.

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zoz
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« Reply #318 on: May 09, 2022, 10:59:28 AM »

Trafalgar poll today shows Mastriano at 28%, ten points ahead of nearest rival Barletta.

Unless the undecideds overwhelmingly break for Lou, it's over.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #319 on: May 09, 2022, 11:05:33 AM »

I've seen more signs for Charlie Gerow in my area of Montco than any of the other candidates which is so funny to me since he's polling so low.

Have seen a few Dave White signs as well, way less than Gerow but more than Barletta/Mastriano.

There's been some Barletta signs but only on the highways.

I've maybe seen a couple Mastriano but not really a whole lot.
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Real Texan Politics
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« Reply #320 on: May 09, 2022, 12:39:14 PM »
« Edited: May 09, 2022, 02:19:49 PM by Lone Star Politics »

My theory on why Trump won't endorse:

  • Doesn't like Mastriano since he voted for the voter ID legislation in 2020
  • Thinks Barletta is a loser for losing to Bob Casey in 2018 by double digits in what could've been a perfectly winnable race in Trump's eyes
  • White is polling too low for Trump to endorse in order to protect his endorsement record, despite White likely being Trump's favorite in the race

And with Mastriano now at a 10 point lead over Barletta in the Trafalgar poll, I think it's safe to say that as of now, Mastriano is the clear favorite for the nomination.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #321 on: May 09, 2022, 12:39:55 PM »

My theory on why Trump won't endorse:

  • Doesn't like Mastriano since he voted for the voter ID legislation in 2020
  • Thinks Barletta is a loser for losing to Bob Casey in 2018 by double digits in what could've been a perfectly winnable race in Trump's eyes
  • White is polling too low for Trump to endorse in order to protect his endorsement record

And with Mastriano now at a 10 point lead over Barletta in the Trafalgar poll, I think it's safe to say that as of now, Mastriano is the clear favorite for the nomination.

Agree with all of this.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #322 on: May 10, 2022, 05:27:40 PM »

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They put it to a vote and they just kept lying
20RP12
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« Reply #323 on: May 10, 2022, 06:48:01 PM »



was just coming here to post this. Lean D if it’s Shapiro vs. Dictator Doug.
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philly09
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« Reply #324 on: May 11, 2022, 07:35:43 PM »

Breaking News: Jake Corman is reportedly going to announce on talk radio that he is dropping out of the race tomorrow and endorsing Barletta.
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