PA GOV 2022: Stick a fork in it

[Yoda]

So what's the 411 on this Mastriano guy anyways? Can someone give me a highlight (or maybe lowlight I should say) reel of what makes him so unelectable?

[Grumpier Than Thou]

So what's the 411 on this Mastriano guy anyways? Can someone give me a highlight (or maybe lowlight I should say) reel of what makes him so unelectable?

He is a radical, was present at the January 6th protest, has a long history of homophobic/islamophobic/xenophobic remarks, seems to have fascist tendencies/parrots a lot of the same rhetoric and is close with militia types. He’s more or less what comes right before a Matt Shea.

And he’s likely going to win the primary tomorrow. It’s also possible Rick Saccone, who was also present at the capitol on J6, will be the nominee for Lt. Gov.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

So what's the 411 on this Mastriano guy anyways? Can someone give me a highlight (or maybe lowlight I should say) reel of what makes him so unelectable?

He was Trump's point man in Pennsylvania for the "stop the steal" garbage.

[Duke of York]

So what's the 411 on this Mastriano guy anyways? Can someone give me a highlight (or maybe lowlight I should say) reel of what makes him so unelectable?

I no longer think anyone is unelectable.

[Grumpier Than Thou]

PA Democrats and poorly timed health scares--name a better duo.

https://twitter.com/StephenJ_Caruso/status/1526542197474066437?s=20&t=gIAS4L...

[zoz]

Here's my prediction for tonight (I'm a little more confident about this one than the Senate):

Mastriano: 40%
Barletta: 25%
McSwain: 18%
White: 11%
Other: 4%

Mastriano is going to dominate across western and especially central PA, keeping Lou confined to the cluster of counties around Luzerne/old PA-11 and possibly down towards Lehigh Valley/Philly suburbs. McSwain and White could win their respective home counties of Chester and Delaware but that's about it for them.

[Grumpier Than Thou]

Here's my prediction for tonight (I'm a little more confident about this one than the Senate):

Mastriano: 40%
Barletta: 25%
McSwain: 18%
White: 11%
Other: 4%

Mastriano is going to dominate across western and especially central PA, keeping Lou confined to the cluster of counties around Luzerne/old PA-11 and possibly down towards Lehigh Valley/Philly suburbs. McSwain and White could win their respective home counties of Chester and Delaware but that's about it for them.

Yep I think you've got it about right here.

[Ferguson97]

If Mastriano wins the general, would he actually have the authority to deny Biden Pennsylvania's electoral votes?

[Grumpier Than Thou]

If Mastriano wins the general, would he actually have the authority to deny Biden Pennsylvania's electoral votes?

I believe the final call comes down to the legislature and I imagine the AG would have the power to sue for an injunction.

[sting in the rafters]

I no longer think anyone is unelectable.

Bro gas is still 5,000 a gallon. Springfield Gulf was D R Y last week. 50-cent cakes are now 75-cent cakes. The GOP could run a wet mop in the fall and they'd pull it out at this rate.
>Inb4 its the corporations fault.
Then soak em.
>Nobody who cares ab inflation was gonna vote D anyway
It hits the trifecta of mobilizing Rs, grabbing as many D-Rs as possible, and having loyal Ds check out. Burnt.

[Duke of York]

I no longer think anyone is unelectable.

Bro gas is still 5,000 a gallon. Springfield Gulf was D R Y last week. 50-cent cakes are now 75-cent cakes. The GOP could run a wet mop in the fall and they'd pull it out at this rate.
>Inb4 its the corporations fault.
Then soak em.
>Nobody who cares ab inflation was gonna vote D anyway
It hits the trifecta of mobilizing Rs, grabbing as many D-Rs as possible, and having loyal Ds check out. Burnt.

I’m not sure if this is meant as a serious post or not. You think whoever wins the Republican primary is shoo in?

[sting in the rafters]

I no longer think anyone is unelectable.

Bro gas is still 5,000 a gallon. Springfield Gulf was D R Y last week. 50-cent cakes are now 75-cent cakes. The GOP could run a wet mop in the fall and they'd pull it out at this rate.
>Inb4 its the corporations fault.
Then soak em.
>Nobody who cares ab inflation was gonna vote D anyway
It hits the trifecta of mobilizing Rs, grabbing as many D-Rs as possible, and having loyal Ds check out. Burnt.

I’m not sure if this is meant as a serious post or not. You think whoever wins the Republican primary is shoo in?

Lean R. Go look at NJ and VA-gov. Rural voters fired up, black voters+young voters are checked out. Economy’s only gotten worse since then too.

Is it really gonna matter that its a state race and not federal when there’s a federal race on the top of the ticket and voting is just so ideologically polarized now anyway?

[Grumpier Than Thou]

This is really anecdotal but I've seen way more people than expected say they're voting for Brian Sims for Lt. Gov on Twitter/Instagram. I still think Davis wins but Sims could have a surprisingly good showing, especially being from Philly whereas Davis is from Western PA.

[Not Me, Us]

This is really anecdotal but I've seen way more people than expected say they're voting for Brian Sims for Lt. Gov on Twitter/Instagram. I still think Davis wins but Sims could have a surprisingly good showing, especially being from Philly whereas Davis is from Western PA.

I actually voted for Sims. I didn't feel strongly about either of them and picked Sims on a whim.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

If Mastriano wins the general, would he actually have the authority to deny Biden Pennsylvania's electoral votes?

The Pennsylvania Supreme Court will still be at least 4D-3R so he can try but wouldn't be successful.

[ctherainbow]

This is really anecdotal but I've seen way more people than expected say they're voting for Brian Sims for Lt. Gov on Twitter/Instagram. I still think Davis wins but Sims could have a surprisingly good showing, especially being from Philly whereas Davis is from Western PA.

I mean, Sims is the only one in the Governor/LG’s race who’s actually shown up in rural counties.  Drawing from my personal experience crisscrossing NEPA for state senate and house candidates, I’d be kinda surprised if Davis wins any of the Northeast except maybe Lackawanna and Luzerne where the establishment Dem leadership caved to Shapiro’s strong arming.

For reference, I am from Susquehanna County, and Sims has been here 2 times in person and at least 5 times via Zoom, while Shapiro has completely ignored us, and Davis stopped once, for literally 5 minutes, to take a photo and leave.   💀

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Just bet against Mastriano on PredictIt although what's in probably isn't indicative.

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

Melissa Hart winning Allegheny after dropping out is surprising

[politicallefty]

Here comes the ED vote. Mastriano has surged into the lead.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

I think the geographic polarization just shows why Mastriano ain't winning the general election. Even registered Republicans in the urban and suburban areas can't stand him.

[GALeftist]

PA-GOV has snapped back to reality I see

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

https://twitter.com/JessicaTaylor/status/1526734125910085632?s=20&t=m9_0YNxe...

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

Congrats to Shapiro for becoming the next governor!

[Grumpier Than Thou]

Carrie DelRosso has kept a pretty consistent lead in the R Lt Gov race all night. Looks like she will be the winner.

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

Reckon I'll be the rare Mastriano/Fetterman voter, but I'm open to persuasion on both.