PA GOV 2022: Stick a fork in it
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  PA GOV 2022: Stick a fork in it
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Author Topic: PA GOV 2022: Stick a fork in it  (Read 66520 times)
Calthrina950
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« Reply #225 on: January 30, 2022, 08:15:20 AM »

Tilt D with Mastriano being the Republican nominee.

Probably Tilt Democratic with either of the Republican clowncar. Shapiro is a strong candidate who has proven his electoral strengths.

Pennsylvania is a state where a split result is likely to occur, with Shapiro retaining the Governorship for Democrats and the Republican nominee (either Bartos or Oz, most likely) holding the Senate seat for Republicans.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #226 on: January 30, 2022, 08:31:57 AM »
« Edited: January 30, 2022, 08:37:30 AM by SOCIALIST MR BAKARI SELLERS »

Fetterman was ahead of Oz and it's a pure Tossup, Ds are likely to get a bump with SC pick especially in the Senate in WI, PA and LA which LA s going to a runoff, Warnock got into a runoff with multiple candidates and Kennedy isn't gonna run up the score

Everyone say Barnes can't win he has the same position on every issue as Warnock and Booker elected D's

Do users know that Biden is from PA and it wasn't no fluke he won Pa he will campaign with Shapiro and Fetterman

It's important to note Rs are tied or behind in every swing state Senate race except NV, because Laxalt had a father in the Senate but it's likely CCM will get a bump from KJB since Voting Rights isn't passed
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #227 on: February 01, 2022, 10:02:57 AM »

Tilt D with Mastriano being the Republican nominee.

Probably Tilt Democratic with either of the Republican clowncar. Shapiro is a strong candidate who has proven his electoral strengths.

Pennsylvania is a state where a split result is likely to occur, with Shapiro retaining the Governorship for Democrats and the Republican nominee (either Bartos or Oz, most likely) holding the Senate seat for Republicans.

While I think Dems have a good chance at Senate, this is the most likely outcome.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #228 on: February 01, 2022, 10:04:24 AM »

Tilt D with Mastriano being the Republican nominee.

Probably Tilt Democratic with either of the Republican clowncar. Shapiro is a strong candidate who has proven his electoral strengths.

Pennsylvania is a state where a split result is likely to occur, with Shapiro retaining the Governorship for Democrats and the Republican nominee (either Bartos or Oz, most likely) holding the Senate seat for Republicans.

While I think Dems have a good chance at Senate, this is the most likely outcome.

So you believe Democrats are going to win both races?
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #229 on: February 02, 2022, 10:54:23 AM »

Tilt D with Mastriano being the Republican nominee.

Probably Tilt Democratic with either of the Republican clowncar. Shapiro is a strong candidate who has proven his electoral strengths.

Pennsylvania is a state where a split result is likely to occur, with Shapiro retaining the Governorship for Democrats and the Republican nominee (either Bartos or Oz, most likely) holding the Senate seat for Republicans.

While I think Dems have a good chance at Senate, this is the most likely outcome.

So you believe Democrats are going to win both races?

No I mean the most likely outcome is likely a split with Shapiro winning and an R winning Senate, but I think Dems still have a good chance at Senate too given the terrible GOP field
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #230 on: February 02, 2022, 11:10:15 AM »

Tilt D with Mastriano being the Republican nominee.

Probably Tilt Democratic with either of the Republican clowncar. Shapiro is a strong candidate who has proven his electoral strengths.

Pennsylvania is a state where a split result is likely to occur, with Shapiro retaining the Governorship for Democrats and the Republican nominee (either Bartos or Oz, most likely) holding the Senate seat for Republicans.

While I think Dems have a good chance at Senate, this is the most likely outcome.

So you believe Democrats are going to win both races?

No I mean the most likely outcome is likely a split with Shapiro winning and an R winning Senate, but I think Dems still have a good chance at Senate too given the terrible GOP field

I've actually said this myself, that a split outcome is the most likely. Which of the Democratic Senate candidates do you think would be stronger?
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #231 on: February 03, 2022, 10:12:02 AM »

Tilt D with Mastriano being the Republican nominee.

Probably Tilt Democratic with either of the Republican clowncar. Shapiro is a strong candidate who has proven his electoral strengths.

Pennsylvania is a state where a split result is likely to occur, with Shapiro retaining the Governorship for Democrats and the Republican nominee (either Bartos or Oz, most likely) holding the Senate seat for Republicans.

While I think Dems have a good chance at Senate, this is the most likely outcome.

So you believe Democrats are going to win both races?

No I mean the most likely outcome is likely a split with Shapiro winning and an R winning Senate, but I think Dems still have a good chance at Senate too given the terrible GOP field

I've actually said this myself, that a split outcome is the most likely. Which of the Democratic Senate candidates do you think would be stronger?

I think in the end, Fetterman and Lamb would perform the same, but I think Fetterman would have more of a chance to trip up on the trail considering his campaign already hasn't been the best. Lamb is more battle tested so I think he'd have less potential "gaffes" if you will.

Though while young voters are going to be an issue, could be even more since Super Left Twitter seems to be poisoning peoples minds on Lamb.

I think Kenyatta could really spike turnout in Philly and the urban areas since he would be a history making candidate. But his fundraising up to this point has been rough

So I guess slight advantage Lamb
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #232 on: February 05, 2022, 09:22:54 AM »

It's amazing to me there has been not one single poll of this race for the GE
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #233 on: February 06, 2022, 02:25:12 AM »

It's likely a 304/234 map anyways because of 4 percent unemployment they just poll Biden Approvals and spend money on that in this Pandemic, but Data pollster probably will eventually start polling these states.

Biden is close enough 45)5o to duplicate the 304 map and it's a Pandemic what do you expect and it's VBM and WI, PA and MI Gov and Sen races the urban vote come in last and put the D's on top that's why so many Ds making R NUT map screws up the compiled map
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20RP12
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« Reply #234 on: March 03, 2022, 10:00:10 AM »

No update of substance, but I wanted to just give an anecdote that I've seen quite a few Mastriano yard signs in Lancaster and Berks Counties over the past few weeks. I have not seen a single yard sign for any other candidate for any other statewide race (except my own Malcolm Kenyatta sign outside my apartment)
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #235 on: March 07, 2022, 10:07:34 AM »

No update of substance, but I wanted to just give an anecdote that I've seen quite a few Mastriano yard signs in Lancaster and Berks Counties over the past few weeks. I have not seen a single yard sign for any other candidate for any other statewide race (except my own Malcolm Kenyatta sign outside my apartment)

Yeah I have yet to see any sides for anyone in either Montco or Philly. It doesn't feel at all that the primary is only 2 months away.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #236 on: March 13, 2022, 12:23:55 PM »

I saw a sign in my town in Montco that was for Rick Saccone for Gov. I didn't even know he was running lmao.
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Not Me, Us
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« Reply #237 on: March 13, 2022, 08:40:42 PM »

I saw a sign in my town in Montco that was for Rick Saccone for Gov. I didn't even know he was running lmao.

I think he's going for LG.
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20RP12
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« Reply #238 on: March 14, 2022, 06:33:44 AM »

I saw a sign in my town in Montco that was for Rick Saccone for Gov. I didn't even know he was running lmao.

I think he's going for LG.

Correct.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #239 on: March 15, 2022, 08:23:13 AM »

I saw a sign in my town in Montco that was for Rick Saccone for Gov. I didn't even know he was running lmao.

I think he's going for LG.

Correct.

He should have someone new do his signs then - the "LT" part must've been VERY small to the point where I didn't see it and was very confused lol
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LabourJersey
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« Reply #240 on: March 21, 2022, 02:13:48 PM »

Any reason why there hasn't been nearly as much discussion about this race?

It seems as if the state GOP and the media have been focused on the Senate race. Especially odd since I think Barletta and Mastriano are both horrible candidates for a very winnable race like PA-GOV in a Republican year.

Is Shapiro just that strong of a candidate that people just expect him to win in spite of the political winds?
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #241 on: March 21, 2022, 02:37:02 PM »
« Edited: March 21, 2022, 02:46:51 PM by Mr.Barkari Sellers »

Shapiro is favored just like Fetterman, Biden Approvals are back Even now it won't be long before QU has Biden at 49% it's a 270 map when BIDEN APPROVALS ARE EVEN, ITS BEEN EVEN ALL ALONG, THEY WERE ONLY UNDERWATER DURING Debt CEILING FIGHT

That's why the Sa are expected to keep Senate it goes around 270 blue wall
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20RP12
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« Reply #242 on: March 21, 2022, 03:16:48 PM »

Any reason why there hasn't been nearly as much discussion about this race?

It seems as if the state GOP and the media have been focused on the Senate race. Especially odd since I think Barletta and Mastriano are both horrible candidates for a very winnable race like PA-GOV in a Republican year.

Is Shapiro just that strong of a candidate that people just expect him to win in spite of the political winds?

Combination of a completely uncompetitive D primary and a completely stupid GOP clown car primary, minus the interesting personalities like we have in the Senate primary. Nobody gives a sh*t about Mastriano or Barletta or White. They're all boring. At least there's been some fun jabs between Oz and McCormick.
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LabourJersey
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« Reply #243 on: March 21, 2022, 04:57:18 PM »

Any reason why there hasn't been nearly as much discussion about this race?

It seems as if the state GOP and the media have been focused on the Senate race. Especially odd since I think Barletta and Mastriano are both horrible candidates for a very winnable race like PA-GOV in a Republican year.

Is Shapiro just that strong of a candidate that people just expect him to win in spite of the political winds?

Combination of a completely uncompetitive D primary and a completely stupid GOP clown car primary, minus the interesting personalities like we have in the Senate primary. Nobody gives a sh*t about Mastriano or Barletta or White. They're all boring. At least there's been some fun jabs between Oz and McCormick.

I guess so. Just seems odd how little attention there is, given the chance of a Governor Barletta is reasonably high, at least compared to a Senator Oz
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #244 on: March 21, 2022, 05:02:06 PM »

https://mobile.twitter.com/hashtag/pasen?src=hashtag_click


Game changer Fetterman tied in PA
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #245 on: March 21, 2022, 06:59:55 PM »

Any reason why there hasn't been nearly as much discussion about this race?

It seems as if the state GOP and the media have been focused on the Senate race. Especially odd since I think Barletta and Mastriano are both horrible candidates for a very winnable race like PA-GOV in a Republican year.

Is Shapiro just that strong of a candidate that people just expect him to win in spite of the political winds?

Combination of a completely uncompetitive D primary and a completely stupid GOP clown car primary, minus the interesting personalities like we have in the Senate primary. Nobody gives a sh*t about Mastriano or Barletta or White. They're all boring. At least there's been some fun jabs between Oz and McCormick.

This is why I think Shapiro could win even if the Republicans hold the Senate seat. He's a strong candidate who has the full backing of his party, while his Republican opponents are unimpressive.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #246 on: March 21, 2022, 07:09:47 PM »

Fetterman is 9 pts on OZ and 3 pts behind McCormick that's within margin of error if Shapiro wins so will Fetterman but there are zero polls
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Born to Slay. Forced to Work.
leecannon
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« Reply #247 on: March 21, 2022, 08:28:32 PM »

Any reason why there hasn't been nearly as much discussion about this race?

It seems as if the state GOP and the media have been focused on the Senate race. Especially odd since I think Barletta and Mastriano are both horrible candidates for a very winnable race like PA-GOV in a Republican year.

Is Shapiro just that strong of a candidate that people just expect him to win in spite of the political winds?

Combination of a completely uncompetitive D primary and a completely stupid GOP clown car primary, minus the interesting personalities like we have in the Senate primary. Nobody gives a sh*t about Mastriano or Barletta or White. They're all boring. At least there's been some fun jabs between Oz and McCormick.

This is why I think Shapiro could win even if the Republicans hold the Senate seat. He's a strong candidate who has the full backing of his party, while his Republican opponents are unimpressive.

Yea, Shapiro has much better chances of winning then what ever democrat wins the nomination for senate. I wouldn’t put it in the top 3 competitive gov races
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #248 on: March 22, 2022, 07:36:52 AM »

Fetterman is definitely not losing if Shapiro wins he is tied with McCormick and up nine against Oz

It's fits in with users still holding out hope with Biden at Even Approvals that the Rs are gonna somehow hold onto WI and Pa and pickup NV and AZ, lol OH PREDICTIVE correctly predicted Kelly winning in 2020
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LabourJersey
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« Reply #249 on: March 22, 2022, 07:37:28 AM »

Any reason why there hasn't been nearly as much discussion about this race?

It seems as if the state GOP and the media have been focused on the Senate race. Especially odd since I think Barletta and Mastriano are both horrible candidates for a very winnable race like PA-GOV in a Republican year.

Is Shapiro just that strong of a candidate that people just expect him to win in spite of the political winds?

Combination of a completely uncompetitive D primary and a completely stupid GOP clown car primary, minus the interesting personalities like we have in the Senate primary. Nobody gives a sh*t about Mastriano or Barletta or White. They're all boring. At least there's been some fun jabs between Oz and McCormick.

This is why I think Shapiro could win even if the Republicans hold the Senate seat. He's a strong candidate who has the full backing of his party, while his Republican opponents are unimpressive.

Yea, Shapiro has much better chances of winning then what ever democrat wins the nomination for senate. I wouldn’t put it in the top 3 competitive gov races

Shapiro might be strong but PA is a classic swing state in a Republican year. At this point I would be (pleasantly) surprised if they don't elect a Republican Senator and a Republican Governor
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