PA GOV 2022: Stick a fork in it

[Gracile]

PA-GOV results by State House district:

https://twitter.com/4st8/status/1606795612262891520

[Antonio the Sixth]

Winning by 15 points under FPP should translate into a lot more than 61% of the seats. But given PA Dems' vote concentration, that's a pretty decent result.

[BenjiG98]

Eugene DePasquale considering an AG run:

https://twitter.com/905wesa/status/1608453429717786625

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/IsaacDovere/status/1610987623996338176

[Lambsbread]

https://twitter.com/IsaacDovere/status/1610987623996338176

Fine, I guess?

[wbrocks67]

Yeah, I have no problem with this at all but it also just kinda sucks when people who are put in place for these jobs (Leigh Chapman currently) and then are bounced out for literally no reason. I know she was "acting" currently, but no reason why she couldn't have been put up to be official.

[Lambsbread]

This doesn’t deserve its own thread but as the forum’s resident Malcolm stan, I have to post this!

https://twitter.com/ericopinion/status/1614034678385713153?s=20&t=ZDXsDWvjog...

[President Johnson]

https://twitter.com/IsaacDovere/status/1610987623996338176

Fine, I guess?

Yeah, I think it's a very good move. Secretary of state also serves at the governor's pleasure. But I don't think the guy will act as a partisan hack in his position.

[Not Me, Us]

This doesn’t deserve its own thread but as the forum’s resident Malcolm stan, I have to post this!

https://twitter.com/ericopinion/status/1614034678385713153?s=20&t=ZDXsDWvjog...

Fully endorsed. This would put him in a great position to run for governor in 2030 or Senate if Casey retires.

[wbrocks67]

LOL

https://twitter.com/politico/status/1614651994395779072

[Sir Mohamed]

LOL

https://twitter.com/politico/status/1614651994395779072

I can give them a summary a free, don't have to waste a dime on a post-mortem: Mastriano and many other candidates just sucked. Perhaps nominate sane conservatives with a platform to improve people's life instead of fascists that still whine about 2020.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

LOL

https://twitter.com/politico/status/1614651994395779072

I can give them a summary a free, don't have to waste a dime on a post-mortem: Mastriano and many other candidates just sucked. Perhaps nominate sane conservatives with a platform to improve people's life instead of fascists that still whine about 2020.

Center Street Pac flubbed the  polls 55/33 the S race was alot closer and Casey is in  for a competition race, is he fav yes but the after effects of this document story has changed the 24 Eday we don't know how much just think Fetterman and Hochul won by 5 pts and they had the documents story before Eday

There was a poll that was Casey behind by 5 that isn't the 55)33 he is normally wins by and that was before Documents story

[Duke of York]

https://apnews.com/article/pittsburgh-pennsylvania-20cd143afd7b31e0c2d05cc6a761ae5e

Court greenlights holding Pa. House special elections Feb. 7

Do Republicans have a chance in any of these districts?

Ive heard they might in the 32nd which was rendered vacant due to the passing of Anthony DeLuca from cancer a few weeks before the election.

[wbrocks67]

https://apnews.com/article/pittsburgh-pennsylvania-20cd143afd7b31e0c2d05cc6a761ae5e

Court greenlights holding Pa. House special elections Feb. 7

Do Republicans have a chance in any of these districts?

Ive heard they might in the 32nd which was rendered vacant due to the passing of Anthony DeLuca from cancer a few weeks before the election.

IIRC all of these are like Biden +40 districts so I don't think so

[President Johnson]

Josh Shapiro is officially the Governor of the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania now.

https://twitter.com/GovernorShapiro/status/1615417771352793088

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

Josh Shapiro is officially the Governor of the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania now.

https://twitter.com/GovernorShapiro/status/1615417771352793088

Slaying

[DaleCooper]

LOL

https://twitter.com/politico/status/1614651994395779072

I can give them a summary a free, don't have to waste a dime on a post-mortem: Mastriano and many other candidates just sucked. Perhaps nominate sane conservatives with a platform to improve people's life instead of fascists that still whine about 2020.

The problem runs deeper than that. They can't just nominate sane conservatives with a platform to improve people's lives, because that's not what most registered Republicans want. Republicans have spent decades carefully cultivating a base that consists of the dumbest people in the country and now they're stuck with it. Unless the primary elections get abolished completely, they're going to have to figure out how to trick their voters into worshipping sane people instead of crazy and stupid ones, but that's going to be tough.

[President Johnson]

LOL

https://twitter.com/politico/status/1614651994395779072

I can give them a summary a free, don't have to waste a dime on a post-mortem: Mastriano and many other candidates just sucked. Perhaps nominate sane conservatives with a platform to improve people's life instead of fascists that still whine about 2020.

The problem runs deeper than that. They can't just nominate sane conservatives with a platform to improve people's lives, because that's not what most registered Republicans want. Republicans have spent decades carefully cultivating a base that consists of the dumbest people in the country and now they're stuck with it. Unless the primary elections get abolished completely, they're going to have to figure out how to trick their voters into worshipping sane people instead of crazy and stupid ones, but that's going to be tough.

Yeah, and even if primaries were abolished and sane conservative candidates get appointed by a party aparatus, these people at the base wouldn't feel represented. However, still hardly to deny that a lesser crazy Republican candidate would have done better than Mastriano.

[Lambsbread]

I'm excited to see who he appoints as AG.

[MargieCat]

I'm excited to see who he appoints as AG.

Michelle Henry, a republican.

[ProgressiveModerate]

Winning by 15 points under FPP should translate into a lot more than 61% of the seats. But given PA Dems' vote concentration, that's a pretty decent result.

I think a large part of it is that the "liberal" Philly suburbs come to a pretty abrupt stop as soon as you enter Lancaster and Berks counties, whereas in most other states with large urban cores, a larger D win directly correlates with winning seats further and further out into the suburbs.

Under the Cerva's state House map, Biden 1 point win statewide resulted in him wininning all but 2 seats between Chester and Montgomery Counties so there wasn't much more for Shapiro to peel off there. Meanwhile, Shapiro only flipped 1 seat from Biden between Lancaster and Berks, not even coming that close in HD-100 or HD-99 which directly border Chester County

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Already looking like a future President. That portrait is so sharp.

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

LOL

https://twitter.com/politico/status/1614651994395779072

I can give them a summary a free, don't have to waste a dime on a post-mortem: Mastriano and many other candidates just sucked. Perhaps nominate sane conservatives with a platform to improve people's life instead of fascists that still whine about 2020.

Yeah and while their house candidates didn't suck as much s**t Mastriano and Oz both dragged down the entire ticket.

[Oryxslayer]

Winning by 15 points under FPP should translate into a lot more than 61% of the seats. But given PA Dems' vote concentration, that's a pretty decent result.

I think a large part of it is that the "liberal" Philly suburbs come to a pretty abrupt stop as soon as you enter Lancaster and Berks counties, whereas in most other states with large urban cores, a larger D win directly correlates with winning seats further and further out into the suburbs.


Under the Cerva's state House map, Biden 1 point win statewide resulted in him wininning all but 2 seats between Chester and Montgomery Counties so there wasn't much more for Shapiro to peel off there. Meanwhile, Shapiro only flipped 1 seat from Biden between Lancaster and Berks, not even coming that close in HD-100 or HD-99 which directly border Chester County

Also, Dem's didn't lead the GOP by 10+ points in the state leg races. They technically lost the overall popular vote by under 8%, but there were 20 more (~10% of the chamber) uncontested GOP races when compared to uncontested Dem ones. Shapiro certainly carried the ticket, but Fetterman's margins seem to be a better comparison for everyone else.


Fetterman won 107 seats, Whereas Shapiro won 124 seats BTW.

[ProgressiveModerate]

Winning by 15 points under FPP should translate into a lot more than 61% of the seats. But given PA Dems' vote concentration, that's a pretty decent result.

I think a large part of it is that the "liberal" Philly suburbs come to a pretty abrupt stop as soon as you enter Lancaster and Berks counties, whereas in most other states with large urban cores, a larger D win directly correlates with winning seats further and further out into the suburbs.


Under the Cerva's state House map, Biden 1 point win statewide resulted in him wininning all but 2 seats between Chester and Montgomery Counties so there wasn't much more for Shapiro to peel off there. Meanwhile, Shapiro only flipped 1 seat from Biden between Lancaster and Berks, not even coming that close in HD-100 or HD-99 which directly border Chester County

Also, Dem's didn't lead the GOP by 10+ points in the state leg races. They technically lost the overall popular vote by under 8%, but there were 20 more (~10% of the chamber) uncontested GOP races when compared to uncontested Dem ones. Shapiro certainly carried the ticket, but Fetterman's margins seem to be a better comparison for everyone else.


Fetterman won 107 seats, Whereas Shapiro won 124 seats BTW.

Were there any Biden-Oz seats? Looking on DRA, the only one I could see as maybe a possibility is HD-160 (wealthy Chester County suburbs). Still nearly Biden + 8 so seems very unlikely. Ig 142 and 144 which were narrow Biden seats in Bucks County are also possibilities, but if I had to guess Fetterman would've run ahead of Biden narrowly in these seats.