Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
YaBB God
Posts: 4,729
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« on: January 14, 2021, 03:34:51 PM » |
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Maybe, but not nearly to 2020's extent, unless Trump is on the ballot again. It's clear that he is the odd variable.
Polls would have been accurate in 2018, but Trump campaigned for R candidates with a message of "I'm on the ballot, a vote for this R is a vote for me," which got some of the low-propensity Trumpists out to vote and made the polls less wrong than 16 and 20 but still wrong. (Obama should have campaigned like this in 2010 and 2014).
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