Will polls again underestimate GOP support in the Midwest? (user search)
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  Will polls again underestimate GOP support in the Midwest? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Will polls again underestimate GOP support in the Midwest?  (Read 1022 times)
Catalyst138
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Posts: 834
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« on: January 14, 2021, 03:39:02 PM »

They'll probably be off again, especially in Wisconsin. People calling this "just a Trump phenomenon" are kidding themselves; it's about demographics. The larger the percentage of non-college white voters, the more the polls will underestimate Republicans. It's no coincidence that Colorado, one of the few states where Biden was underestimated, is one of the most educated states in the country.

It’s not JUST a Trump phenomenon, but the errors are certainly largest when Trump is around. It’s the difference between a minor polling error and a major one.
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