Mid-sized cities in Texas that Biden won? (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 25, 2024, 02:17:39 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  Mid-sized cities in Texas that Biden won? (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Mid-sized cities in Texas that Biden won?  (Read 2240 times)
Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,094
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

« on: January 15, 2021, 05:04:49 PM »


Did the quick and dirty 2016 numbers on DRA (approximation):

Tyler, TX
Trump 22251 (58.8%)
Clinton 13750 (36.3%)
Other 1852 (4.9%)

Longview, TX
Trump 15750 (64.1%)
Clinton 7997 (32.6%)
Other 820 (3.3%)

It's safe to say neither flipped in 2020. Both Smith and Gregg each only swung 4 points to Biden compared to 2016.
Logged
Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,094
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

« Reply #1 on: January 15, 2021, 07:19:09 PM »


Did the quick and dirty 2016 numbers on DRA (approximation):

Tyler, TX
Trump 22251 (58.8%)
Clinton 13750 (36.3%)
Other 1852 (4.9%)

Longview, TX
Trump 15750 (64.1%)
Clinton 7997 (32.6%)
Other 820 (3.3%)

It's safe to say neither flipped in 2020. Both Smith and Gregg each only swung 4 points to Biden compared to 2016.

I know that there's no way either one flipped, but would you mind looking at Odessa and Wichita Falls?

Odessa, TX
Trump 19708 (68.5%)
Clinton 8048 (28.0%)
Other 1014 (3.5%)

Wichita Falls, TX
Trump 19990 (69.0%)
Clinton 7583 (26.2%)
Other 1398 (4.8%)

Wichita County swung by 8.4 points to Biden in 2020; Ector County swung to Trump by 7.4 points. I wouldn't be particularly surprised if Wichita Falls saw Trump drop into the low 60s in 2020. Trump probably cracked 70 in Odessa against Biden.

Wichita Falls municipal/precinct boundaries are quite messy and so I'd put a margin of error on it greater than the other 3 (the difference between including precincts split between city/unincorporated versus not is like one-quarter of the city's population: I included them).
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.03 seconds with 13 queries.