Mid-sized cities in Texas that Biden won? (user search)
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  Mid-sized cities in Texas that Biden won? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Mid-sized cities in Texas that Biden won?  (Read 2234 times)
NOVA Green
Oregon Progressive
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« on: January 14, 2021, 04:57:46 AM »

Everyone talks about the "big" Texas cities (San Antonio, DFW, Austin), which Biden swept, but I'm curious if he carried any of the mid-sized cities.

Some that Biden might have won:

Corpus Christi
Killeen
College Station
Beaumont
Tyler
Wichita Falls
Longview
Victoria

Anyone want to take a crack at any of them?

Waco, Texas likely backed Biden in 2020 (regardless of split precincts):

https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=273504.msg5906638#msg5906638
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NOVA Green
Oregon Progressive
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« Reply #1 on: January 15, 2021, 03:59:41 AM »

Definitely not College Station....Bryan, perhaps by narrow margins...but not C-Stat.

Are you sure? Brazos County swung like 10 points left, biggest swing among SEC counties next only to Fayette County, KY.

College Station appears to have voted for Trump in 2020:



There was definitely a major Biden swing in the City compared to 2016, and wouldn't be surprised to see a bit of a "Towns and Gowns" gap in Trump's favor, compared to the Texas A&M Student population.... (Haven't even really looked at Bryan yet alone off-campus precincts in College Station)

https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=414071.msg7897313#msg7897313
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NOVA Green
Oregon Progressive
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Posts: 11,447
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« Reply #2 on: January 15, 2021, 05:00:19 AM »

Definitely not College Station....Bryan, perhaps by narrow margins...but not C-Stat.

College Station votes right of Bryan? Weird.

Texas A&M is extremely conservative leaning for a public university while Bryan has more minorities than College Station IIRC.
If I'm not mistaken, a lot of the student body lives in Bryan, and Clinton won it so Biden definitely did too.

Not quite sure where you are getting HRC winning Bryan (Hopefully not from one of my posts... )

Bryan, Texas--- 2020 GE PRES:

2020:

Biden:   13,039  (47.0%)       (+3.5% Trump)      +6.5% Biden Swing
Trump:  14,001  (50.5%)
Misc:         701    (2.5%)
Total:    27,741                      + 26.8% increase in Turnout 2016 > 2020.

2016:

HRC:       9,052   (41.4%)       (+10.0% Trump)
Trump:  11,237   (51.4%)
Misc:       1,588   (7.3%)
Total:     21,877

Here is the 2020 GE PRES Precinct Table, and hopefully things didn't shift that much between '16 and '20 when it comes to the City Limits signs....

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NOVA Green
Oregon Progressive
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Posts: 11,447
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« Reply #3 on: January 15, 2021, 05:51:10 AM »


Here are some numbers I had floating around on my PC from 2016 (But welcome anyone to fact check me and keep me honest in my Whole Cards at the Poker Table)...



More than happy to run the numbers for 2020 as needed....   
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NOVA Green
Oregon Progressive
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Posts: 11,447
United States


« Reply #4 on: January 15, 2021, 04:14:29 PM »


Here are some numbers I had floating around on my PC from 2016 (But welcome anyone to fact check me and keep me honest in my Whole Cards at the Poker Table)...



More than happy to run the numbers for 2020 as needed....   
Please do. Am a bit surprised by the HRC margin, tbh.

Here are the 2020 precinct numbers from Killeen (I forgot I had already run the numbers on the 2020 PRES Military Vote thread).   

Haven't really run the "Off-Base" numbers yet for Fort Hood, but Killeen, Texas is definitely a "Base Community", including a significant amount of US Armed Forces & Families, not to mention Civilian Contractors whose jobs are directly connected to the base.

Killen, Texas:

2020 GE PRES:

Biden:    28,171   (63.5%)        (+29.4% Biden)      (+4.6% Biden Swing)
Trump:   15,151   (34.1%)
Misc:       1,047    (2.6%)
Total:      44,369                      ( +36.5% increase in TV from 2016 to 2020).

2016 GE PRES:

HRC:      19,285   (59.3%)         (+24.8% HRC)
Trump:   11,206   (34.5%)
Misc:       2,013    (6.2%)
Total:      32,504



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