Mid-sized cities in Texas that Biden won? (user search)
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  Mid-sized cities in Texas that Biden won? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Mid-sized cities in Texas that Biden won?  (Read 2246 times)
Sailor Haumea
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Posts: 137
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Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -6.26
« on: January 13, 2021, 08:03:04 PM »
Everyone talks about the "big" Texas cities (San Antonio, DFW, Austin), which Biden swept, but I'm curious if he carried any of the mid-sized cities.

Some that Biden might have won:

Corpus Christi
Killeen
College Station
Beaumont
Tyler
Wichita Falls
Longview
Victoria

Anyone want to take a crack at any of them?
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Sailor Haumea
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Posts: 137
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -6.26
« Reply #1 on: January 13, 2021, 08:50:35 PM »
Quote from: Many Goddesses, No Masters on January 13, 2021, 08:06:21 PM
I'm willing to bet that Biden didn't carry Tyler or Longview, given that he didn't crack 30% in either Gregg (about 2/3 of the population lives in Longview) or Smith (about 1/2 of the population lives in Tyler) Counties, neither of which have voted for a presidential Democrat since Truman.
The precinct maps from 2016 and 2018 indicate that Clinton and Beto actually did quite well in Tyler and Longview, and Beto looks like he might have even won them, hence why I asked.
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Sailor Haumea
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Posts: 137
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -6.26
« Reply #2 on: January 14, 2021, 03:34:15 AM »
I'm not sure. I'm asking if anyone wants to take a shot at it because Beto appears to have done fairly well there.
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Sailor Haumea
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**
Posts: 137
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -6.26
« Reply #3 on: January 14, 2021, 03:50:24 AM »
Quote from: Southern Governor Punxsutawney Phil on January 14, 2021, 03:36:05 AM
Quote from: Sailor Haumea on January 14, 2021, 03:34:15 AM
I'm not sure. I'm asking if anyone wants to take a shot at it because Beto appears to have done fairly well there.
I always thought of Victoria as a GOP-leaning city by virtue of its location and demographics but I could be horridly wrong.
What was the Trump margin in the county that holds Victoria?
Trump+37.97
Was Cruz+40.28 in 2018, Trump+39.87 in 2016
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Sailor Haumea
Rookie
**
Posts: 137
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -6.26
« Reply #4 on: January 14, 2021, 05:04:04 PM »
Quote from: Tartarus Sauce on January 14, 2021, 12:31:12 PM
Quote from: Blairite on January 14, 2021, 12:19:37 PM
Quote from: L.D. Smith on January 14, 2021, 07:14:42 AM
Definitely not College Station....Bryan, perhaps by narrow margins...but not C-Stat.

College Station votes right of Bryan? Weird.

Texas A&M is extremely conservative leaning for a public university while Bryan has more minorities than College Station IIRC.
If I'm not mistaken, a lot of the student body lives in Bryan, and Clinton won it so Biden definitely did too.
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Sailor Haumea
Rookie
**
Posts: 137
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -6.26
« Reply #5 on: January 15, 2021, 04:33:32 PM »
Mind doing Tyler or Longview?
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Sailor Haumea
Rookie
**
Posts: 137
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -6.26
« Reply #6 on: January 15, 2021, 05:17:08 PM »
Quote from: GA > OH, FL, NC on January 15, 2021, 05:04:49 PM

Did the quick and dirty 2016 numbers on DRA (approximation):

Tyler, TX
Trump 22251 (58.8%)
Clinton 13750 (36.3%)
Other 1852 (4.9%)

Longview, TX
Trump 15750 (64.1%)
Clinton 7997 (32.6%)
Other 820 (3.3%)

It's safe to say neither flipped in 2020. Both Smith and Gregg each only swung 4 points to Biden compared to 2016.

I know that there's no way either one flipped, but would you mind looking at Odessa and Wichita Falls?
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