Mid-sized cities in Texas that Biden won?
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  Mid-sized cities in Texas that Biden won?
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Author Topic: Mid-sized cities in Texas that Biden won?  (Read 2208 times)
Sailor Haumea
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« Reply #25 on: January 15, 2021, 05:17:08 PM »


Did the quick and dirty 2016 numbers on DRA (approximation):

Tyler, TX
Trump 22251 (58.8%)
Clinton 13750 (36.3%)
Other 1852 (4.9%)

Longview, TX
Trump 15750 (64.1%)
Clinton 7997 (32.6%)
Other 820 (3.3%)

It's safe to say neither flipped in 2020. Both Smith and Gregg each only swung 4 points to Biden compared to 2016.

I know that there's no way either one flipped, but would you mind looking at Odessa and Wichita Falls?
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #26 on: January 15, 2021, 05:50:08 PM »

Definitely not College Station....Bryan, perhaps by narrow margins...but not C-Stat.

College Station votes right of Bryan? Weird.

College Station is a rather typical conservative exurby suburb that resembles a lot of the old stereotypes. And of course A&M follows the SEC trads quite well.

Bryan looks like an actual city, and it has a yuge Hispanic population.

Those two cities comprise anywhere between 75-90% of Brazos. And Brazos went to Trump by double digits...ergo.
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mileslunn
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« Reply #27 on: January 15, 2021, 06:48:28 PM »

Be curious to get following even though sure Trump won most

Abilene
Odessa
Midland
Wichita Falls
Texarkana
Amarillo
Lubbock

For Biden wins

Brownsville
Laredo
McAllen

For unknown

Beaumont
Port Arthur
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #28 on: January 15, 2021, 07:19:09 PM »


Did the quick and dirty 2016 numbers on DRA (approximation):

Tyler, TX
Trump 22251 (58.8%)
Clinton 13750 (36.3%)
Other 1852 (4.9%)

Longview, TX
Trump 15750 (64.1%)
Clinton 7997 (32.6%)
Other 820 (3.3%)

It's safe to say neither flipped in 2020. Both Smith and Gregg each only swung 4 points to Biden compared to 2016.

I know that there's no way either one flipped, but would you mind looking at Odessa and Wichita Falls?

Odessa, TX
Trump 19708 (68.5%)
Clinton 8048 (28.0%)
Other 1014 (3.5%)

Wichita Falls, TX
Trump 19990 (69.0%)
Clinton 7583 (26.2%)
Other 1398 (4.8%)

Wichita County swung by 8.4 points to Biden in 2020; Ector County swung to Trump by 7.4 points. I wouldn't be particularly surprised if Wichita Falls saw Trump drop into the low 60s in 2020. Trump probably cracked 70 in Odessa against Biden.

Wichita Falls municipal/precinct boundaries are quite messy and so I'd put a margin of error on it greater than the other 3 (the difference between including precincts split between city/unincorporated versus not is like one-quarter of the city's population: I included them).
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