Fermanagh & South Tyrone extending into north Armagh..
That'll presumably make it a safe Unionist seat?
I can't see it becoming safe Unionist, but I'm sure it moves in that direction (and notionally flips SF to UUP).
The main change seems to be Dungannon being taken out of the seat; the other areas added/removed are very small. But Dungannon is a solidly Nationalist town so overall definitely the changes move the seat towards the Unionists.
On the other hand, the changes to Strangford (now Strangford and Quoile) are also striking; the addition of Downpatrick and surrounds (and removal of Saintfield) moves the seat from overwhelmingly Unionist to having a large Nationalist minority, perhaps even enough to win on a split vote if the Alliance remains strong.
I would principally think it screws the SDLP's chances in South Down with Downpatrick/Lecale being the strongest area in the old constituency for them; they would undoubtedly finally win an Assembly seat in Strangford but probably at the expense of their second seat in South Down.
The only way the DUP would not win the new Strangford seat for Westminster would be for the SDLP and SF support in the new part to collapse entirely in favour of Alliance. Fermanagh-South Tyrone minus Dungannon but with added Loughgall - making the constituency even more unwieldy geographically - looks like a gerrymander, frankly
