I really can’t imagine a world where Biden loses NC and Cunningham wins, even without the scandal. He held up fine despite it. So not him, IMO.
McGrath is terrible but I don’t know if her campaign was uniquely bad. She’s just a horrendous fit for KY. Like why this butch faux folksy woman who flip flops without any clear policy positions? It’s a miracle she even cleared the primary, so I guess points to her for that.
Gideon is uniquely horrible and I think that race was obviously the most winnable so her on the D side.
For the GOP, I want to give a shout-out to Corky Messner in NH. To lose by almost 20 points as a Republican in this environment is mind blowing. With any decent candidate they should have at least matched or outperformed Trump here.
Mark Warner outperformed Biden by 1.9%. Mark Kelly outperformed Biden by 2.1%. Obviously Cunningham could have won while Trump won the state, and 3% of the vote went to the libertarians.