SC-GOV 2022 Megathread: Cunningham IN

[JMT]

https://twitter.com/joecunninghamsc/status/1356044706107580421?s=21

[Tiger08]

https://twitter.com/joecunninghamsc/status/1356044706107580421?s=21

He could make it close vs McMaster if he can somehow generate high Black turnout and get big suburban swings. McMaster is not charismatic nor popular

[Roll Roons]

Best possible candidate, but incumbent governors really only lose if they are unpopular or polarizing (Rauner, Walker, McCrory, Quinn, Corbett). I've seen no indication that McMaster is.

[JMT]

https://twitter.com/joecunninghamsc/status/1356241268544860164?s=21

He’s starting a podcast... but strongly hints of a later announcement about a run for office.

[VAR]

Prefer NANCY MACE

[NYDem]

He’s the best candidate for sure and I suppose it’s theoretically possible for a Dem to win South Carolina, but I’m still not moving the race from Safe R if he gets in.

[Real Texan Politics]

I wouldn't totally write off Cunningham here, James Harrison is our chairman and can make Gov race competetive

Not so sure about that considering his 10% loss to Lindsey Graham.

[S019]

I wouldn't totally write off Cunningham here, James Harrison is our chairman and can make Gov race competetive

Not so sure about that considering his 10% loss to Lindsey Graham.

It's olawakandi, don't expect logical takes from him. In fact, do yourself a favor and put him on ignore.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I wouldn't totally write off Cunningham here, James Harrison is our chairman and can make Gov race competetive

Not so sure about that considering his 10% loss to Lindsey Graham.

It's olawakandi, don't expect logical takes from him. In fact, do yourself a favor and put him on ignore.
[/quotYou logic is bad, why would a D think that Rs would won I'm 2022, you have been very pessimistic on D's chances put yourself on ignore

[Rocky2024]

Can McMaster serve another term?

[Not Me, Us]

Can McMaster serve another term?

Haley resigned just over the halfway mark of her term, allowing McMaster to run for a second full term.

[S019]

I wouldn't totally write off Cunningham here, James Harrison is our chairman and can make Gov race competetive

Not so sure about that considering his 10% loss to Lindsey Graham.

It's olawakandi, don't expect logical takes from him. In fact, do yourself a favor and put him on ignore.
[/quotYou logic is bad, why would a D think that Rs would won I'm 2022, you have been very pessimistic on D's chances put yourself on ignore

Because the party in power typically suffers massive losses in midterms? Someone seems to have forgotten 1994/2006/2010/2014/2018

[ChiefFireWaterMike]

I wouldn't totally write off Cunningham here, James Harrison is our chairman and can make Gov race competetive

Not so sure about that considering his 10% loss to Lindsey Graham.

It's olawakandi, don't expect logical takes from him. In fact, do yourself a favor and put him on ignore.

What a sad reality you must live in without Olawakandi

[Rookie Yinzer]

State Senator Mia McLeod flirts with the idea of running.....

https://twitter.com/MiaforSC/status/1357053774355914753?s=20

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

https://twitter.com/JoeCunninghamSC/status/1347675655895470081?s=20

You think he'll run? Dems have like under 2% chance of winning statewide, but Cunningham would be one of the strongest candidates, I think.

Maybe, but I don't think painting McMaster with the Trump tar brush will seal the deal. And if for some reason McMaster does somehow end up being sufficiently damaged goods as to lose the general election, there's always Haley. She's no longer term limited, so the only thing keeping Haley from seeking her old job back in 2022 is I don't see her running a primary challenge against McMaster unless it's clear to everyone that McMaster is likely to lose the general if he runs.

I don't see Haley running, especially if she's planning on running for president in 2024 (which seems more likely than not). I don't see her running for an office that she could potentially only be in for 2 years. She'll probably just endorse McMaster and campaign with him and call it a day.

She's smart enough to know that unless she gets a major financial backer then she won't be able to compete successfully for the nomination in 2024. She'll need to win at least one of Iowa or New Hampshire, because if she loses South Carolina, she's toast, and if her first victory is South Carolina, it'll just be dismissed as a favorite daughter victory signifying nothing. Even if she got the nomination, unless Biden is in serious trouble by 2023, 2024 is going to be a bad year for Republicans trying to take back the White House, so unless she wants to be the next Wendell Wilkie, I don't see her running in 2024 except as a running mate. Tim Scott has already indicated that if he runs in 2022, it would be his last term, but if he decides not to run again, Haley would be the obvious choice. (Another possibility is that Scott runs for and wins the Governor's office in 2026 and returns the favor Haley gave him back in 2012, by appointing her to his vacant Senate seat.)

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

Prefer NANCY MACE

She would likely look better in shorts.

[walleye26]

State Senator Mia McLeod flirts with the idea of running.....

https://twitter.com/MiaforSC/status/1357053774355914753?s=20

Would still lose by 9 points.

[Flyersfan232]

https://twitter.com/JoeCunninghamSC/status/1347675655895470081?s=20

You think he'll run? Dems have like under 2% chance of winning statewide, but Cunningham would be one of the strongest candidates, I think.

he has a better shot at a remace with match.

[Captain_Tom]

What else is Cunningham supposed to do ? go back to ambulance chasing like another infamous Carolina democrat ?

Lol

[Progressive Pessimist]

I wish him the best of luck. He'll need it because this race is safe R no matter what.

He should run against Mace again for his old seat, if she makes it through the primary.

She has been awfully critical of Trump.

MAGA is not happy with her.

She has kind of been trying to appeal to everybody with her tenure so far. She had the makings of being one of the sanest Republicans in the House yet quickly disappointed in that regard as she came to Greene and Trump's defenses with her votes related to them. Still though, it might not have been enough for the rabid Trump cultists. At the same time though SC-1 is not like the other districts in the state in being more educated and she may very well be doing the politically smart thing by trying not to offend anybody.

Either way, Cunningham is indeed better off attempting a rematch with her (which he would probably still lose again).

[JMT]

https://twitter.com/politics1com/status/1384974760937885698?s=21

[walleye26]

https://twitter.com/politics1com/status/1384974760937885698?s=21

Sad because he will still get crushed. SC doesn’t deserve him.

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

https://twitter.com/politics1com/status/1384974760937885698?s=21

Sad because he will still get crushed. SC doesn’t deserve him.

We know, but hey!

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

I think he’s waiting to see how redistricting goes first. If HR1 passes and he can get his old seat back I think he’ll go for that instead.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Safe R, the Ds arent gonna win but the 291 blue wall states