GA (Preserve America/Republican SuperPAC): Warnock/Ossoff +1

[wbrocks67]

Ossoff 46
Perdue 45

Warnock 46
Loeffler 45

https://www.axios.com/republican-poll-shows-statistical-tie-in-georgia-7c817124-5c12-40a5-a170-2db1bd105209.html

[Matty]

Sorry, this poll is 100% useless.

9% undecided on eve of vote?

[wbrocks67]

If this was what happened, would it be enough?

Among those who haven't voted, Perdue led 56%-38%; Loeffler had a 55%-36% advantage.

[GeorgiaModerate]

If this was what happened, would it be enough?

Among those who haven't voted, Perdue led 56%-38%; Loeffler had a 55%-36% advantage.

The Republicans need to do significantly better than that on Election Day.  Look at it this way: a little over 3 million early votes were cast, and E-Day turnout will probably be in the neighborhood of 1 million, plus or minus.  So the Republicans need a much better percentage from E-Day than the Democrats get from EV; the more votes there are on E-Day, the lower the difference needs to be.

[WD]

If this was what happened, would it be enough?

Among those who haven't voted, Perdue led 56%-38%; Loeffler had a 55%-36% advantage.

Perdue won the ED vote in November 59-37, so probably not.

[Adam Griffin]

If this was what happened, would it be enough?

Among those who haven't voted, Perdue led 56%-38%; Loeffler had a 55%-36% advantage.

A 20-point ED advantage for the GOP almost certainly wouldn't be enough to overcome what is the likely EV margin unless overall raw turnout gets to November levels (5m), which would require well over 1.5m ED voters.

[Matty]

Is predictit down for anyone else?

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Is predictit down for anyone else?

yes

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Great news, Majority Leader Schumer

[Tender Branson]

Pretty good poll.

Probably the best, together with InsiderAdvantage.