GA (InsiderAdvantage) - Tie for both races
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Author Topic: GA (InsiderAdvantage) - Tie for both races  (Read 1441 times)
skbl17
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« on: January 04, 2021, 04:09:15 PM »
« edited: January 04, 2021, 04:41:47 PM by skbl17 »

Regular:
- Perdue (R): 49%
- Ossoff (D): 49%
- Undecided: 2%

Special:
- Loeffler (R): 49%
- Warnock (D): 49%
- Undecided: 2%

Conducted 1/3, 500 LV, MoE +/- 4.4%

Here are the crosstabs.
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VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: January 04, 2021, 04:11:25 PM »

I don't get it, is this because Perdue's #CandidateQuality worsened or because Loeffler's #CandidateQuality improved? Did Kimgate have an impact?
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #2 on: January 04, 2021, 04:13:11 PM »

Last poll had Perdue +2 and Warnock +1

also, weird crosstabs: i'd be surprised if Rs win Indies
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brucejoel99
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« Reply #3 on: January 04, 2021, 04:36:22 PM »

Looks like this poll was somehow conducted today (Jan. 4th), so at least some of the respondents presumably would've heard about Trump's call with Raffensperger.
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Tintrlvr
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« Reply #4 on: January 04, 2021, 04:38:48 PM »

Looks like this poll was somehow conducted today (Jan. 4th), so at least some of the respondents presumably would've heard about Trump's call with Raffensperger.

Maybe they just listed the date of publication? I don't know how they could possibly think they got a representative sample if they only asked people who answer the phone before noon (accounting for a few hours needed to weight, put together a press release, etc.) on a single day.
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skbl17
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E: 0.39, S: -6.09

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« Reply #5 on: January 04, 2021, 04:41:26 PM »

Looks like this poll was somehow conducted today (Jan. 4th), so at least some of the respondents presumably would've heard about Trump's call with Raffensperger.

Maybe they just listed the date of publication? I don't know how they could possibly think they got a representative sample if they only asked people who answer the phone before noon (accounting for a few hours needed to weight, put together a press release, etc.) on a single day.

The poll was conducted January 3.

Quote
The final InsiderAdvantage/Fox 5 Atlanta poll ahead of tomorrow’s U.S. Senate runoffs shows a pair of deadlocked races.  The poll was conducted January 3rd and surveyed 500 likely voters with a margin of error of 4.4 percent.  Crosstabs can be found HERE
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Matty
boshembechle
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« Reply #6 on: January 04, 2021, 04:47:26 PM »

I highly doubt the phone call will matter.
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Kuumo
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« Reply #7 on: January 04, 2021, 04:49:57 PM »

It looks like no one has the Insider AdvantageTM now! I guess Georgia is in an outsider mood this week.
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brucejoel99
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« Reply #8 on: January 04, 2021, 04:56:06 PM »

Looks like this poll was somehow conducted today (Jan. 4th), so at least some of the respondents presumably would've heard about Trump's call with Raffensperger.

Maybe they just listed the date of publication? I don't know how they could possibly think they got a representative sample if they only asked people who answer the phone before noon (accounting for a few hours needed to weight, put together a press release, etc.) on a single day.

The poll was conducted January 3.

Quote
The final InsiderAdvantage/Fox 5 Atlanta poll ahead of tomorrow’s U.S. Senate runoffs shows a pair of deadlocked races.  The poll was conducted January 3rd and surveyed 500 likely voters with a margin of error of 4.4 percent.  Crosstabs can be found HERE

Nice, thank you for clarifying! With the poll having been conducted yesterday, it might still be true at least some of the respondents presumably would've heard about the phone call.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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E: -6.06, S: -4.84

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« Reply #9 on: January 05, 2021, 04:05:32 AM »

Too bad that there was no Landmark Communications poll.

They were the best before November.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #10 on: January 05, 2021, 12:18:00 PM »

Well this poll is the ultimate cop out lol
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