How many Republican Senators will vote to uphold Hawley's challenges?

[Roll Roons]

Proportionally, a lot fewer than in the House. Besides Hawley, I think Tuberville, Blackburn, Cotton, Cruz, Johnson, Rick Scott and maybe a couple others. But not more than 10.

[VAR]

Fewer than expected in the Senate, more than expected in the House.

[SnowLabrador]

Probably all but a few. The base wants a coup.

[ProudModerate2]

1 or 2 additional Senators. I would be surprised if more than that, jump-on this Stupidity-Wagon.

[Chips]

10-15 at most.

[Mike88]

After this, it's basically over:

https://twitter.com/CNNPolitics/status/1344788439162642437

[brucejoel99]

After this, it's basically over:

https://twitter.com/CNNPolitics/status/1344788439162642437

People off in Q land are saying that he was killed & replaced. I really wish that I was kidding.

[Roll Roons]

After this, it's basically over:

https://twitter.com/CNNPolitics/status/1344788439162642437

People off in Q land are saying that he was killed & replaced. I really wish that I was kidding.

How do you even find that out?

[brucejoel99]

After this, it's basically over:

https://twitter.com/CNNPolitics/status/1344788439162642437

People off in Q land are saying that he was killed & replaced. I really wish that I was kidding.

How do you even find that out?

Search "Pence" on Twitter, then sort by latest.

[Mike88]

After this, it's basically over:

https://twitter.com/CNNPolitics/status/1344788439162642437

People off in Q land are saying that he was killed & replaced. I really wish that I was kidding.

How do you even find that out?

Search "Pence" on Twitter, then sort by latest.

Quite a meltdown going on...

[Secretary of State Liberal Hack]

No Less than 30, 40 is probably the limit.

[walleye26]

The southern delegations (AR, AL, OK, TX, etc) and Ron Jon.
Side note: I would like to apologize to the whole country on behalf of Wisconsin for Ron Jon. He has turned into a slime ball.

[Mr. Smith]

The southern delegations (AR, AL, OK, TX, etc) and Ron Jon.
Side note: I would like to apologize to the whole country on behalf of Wisconsin for Ron Jon. He has turned into a slime ball.

He always was.

[MATTROSE94]

Definately Josh Hawley, Tommy Tuberville, Ron Johnson, Tom Cotton, Lindsey Graham, Marco Rubio, Rick Scott, Marsha Blackburn, Bill Hagerty, Cindy Hyde Smith, John Kennedy, John Barrasso, Kevin Cramer, John Hoeven, Mike Braun, Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, Mike Lee, Chuck Grassley, Joni Ernst, Roger Marshall, and David Perdue. If she defies the odds and ends up defeating Raphael Warnock, Kelly Loefeller would vote against Joe Biden’s certification as well.

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/burgessev/status/1345055200575430657

[Bootes Void]

Definately Josh Hawley, Tommy Tuberville, Ron Johnson, Tom Cotton, Lindsey Graham, Marco Rubio, Rick Scott, Marsha Blackburn, Bill Hagerty, Cindy Hyde Smith, John Kennedy, John Barrasso, Kevin Cramer, John Hoeven, Mike Braun, Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, Mike Lee, Chuck Grassley, Joni Ernst, Roger Marshall, and David Perdue. If she defies the odds and ends up defeating Raphael Warnock, Kelly Loefeller would vote against Joe Biden’s certification as well.

From that list Cramer, Rubio and and Hoeven have basically acknowledged Biden's victory.

I also dont think Scott, Grassley(retiring),Braun or Marshall would vote against certification but I am not sure.

Johnson voting against certification would be very stupid considering Biden won his state 

[Mr. Morden]

https://twitter.com/burgessev/status/1345063017747247104

[JGibson]

I'd say around 15 GOP Senators.

[Dwarven Dragon]

DDNN Rankings


Senators I'm Completely sure are votes against the objection

All Democrats
Collins
Murkowski
Romney
Sasse
Thune
McConnell
Tillis
Burr
Toomey
Fischer
Capito

Senators that I could see voting either way
red = tilt in favor of the objection
blue =  tilt/lean against the objection

Wicker
Cornyn
Rounds
Shelby
Lankford


Tim Scott
Moran
Rubio
Cassidy
Daines
Crapo


Senators who are clearly more likely than not to be in favor of the objection,  but might  still be persuadable Biden votes

Kennedy (guy casts some quirky votes every so often)
Barrasso  (in Leadership)
Portman (likes to think he's moderate, but almost never is. Maybe he'll do it just this once.)
Blunt (up in 2022 and just might be beatable in a big D wave)
Sullivan (Alaska politics are weird)
Grassley (firmly supports Trump, but is retiring anyway and so might not really care)
Ernst (will probably do whatever Grassley does)

Senators who will vote in favor of the objection. If they've said Biden is the president elect, simply a statement of fact and not an indication that they'll actually have the courage  to betray Trump.

Hawley
Cotton
Boozman
Cruz
Loeffler
Tuberville
Hyde-Smith
Lummis
Cramer
Hoeven
Inhofe
Risch
Lee
Marshall
Hagerty
Blackburn
Paul
Graham
Rick Scott
Johnson
Young
Braun

[Dwarven Dragon]

Definately Josh Hawley, Tommy Tuberville, Ron Johnson, Tom Cotton, Lindsey Graham, Marco Rubio, Rick Scott, Marsha Blackburn, Bill Hagerty, Cindy Hyde Smith, John Kennedy, John Barrasso, Kevin Cramer, John Hoeven, Mike Braun, Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, Mike Lee, Chuck Grassley, Joni Ernst, Roger Marshall, and David Perdue. If she defies the odds and ends up defeating Raphael Warnock. Kelly Loefeller  would vote against Joe Biden’s certification as well.

Perdue and Warnock won't be there. Perdue's current term ends on January 3. The runoffs are literally the night before the vote, and it will take at least a few days to get everything certified. And it could easily be a few weeks if we need to count it three times again 

Loeffler's appointment, on the other hand, lasts until the runoff election is certified, so she'll still be a Senator on January 6 regardless. I expect her to be there and vote in favor.

[brucejoel99]

Wicker
Cornyn

Wicker & Cornyn have both already announced their opposition to the objection(s), so I imagine that they definitely intend to vote as such.

[cg41386]

Wicker
Cornyn

Wicker & Cornyn have both already announced their opposition to the objection(s), so I imagine that they definitely intend to vote as such.

Cornyn's actual vote seems a little ambiguous to me. Is he actually opposing it or is he going to object, but knows that it will ultimately fail?

[Progressive Pessimist]

Too many. I can't give an exact number but I expect to still feel nauseous about the vote even though it will inevitably end up certifying Biden/Harris' election victory.

[Dwarven Dragon]

Wicker
Cornyn

Wicker & Cornyn have both already announced their opposition to the objection(s), so I imagine that they definitely intend to vote as such.

Wicker gets a bit of skepticism, whatever he says, just from being a Mississippi Republican.

Cornyn's said it's an exercise in futility and that the EC vote ended doubt, but he's also said he looks forward to considering the arguments made during the two hour debate. So you could easily construe it all as "I acknowledge it won't work,  but it doesn't necessarily mean I won't support it."

[Don't blame me I voted for Harris]

The answer will be either option 3 or option 4.