GA (JMC Analytics) - Ossoff +7, Warnock +9

[VAR]

Not a good pollster.

No, this is all her fault.

https://www.rafu.com/2020/12/kim-steel-campaign-in-georgia/

[wbrocks67]

Just remember, GA polls were the most accurate of any state in the general. Or close to it at least.

To be fair, the averages were on point. We had plenty of crazy outliers here: Trafalgar (Trump +5), Quinnipiac (Biden +7), Monmouth (Biden +5). SurveyUSA wasn't that far off (+2 Biden vs. +0.25 actual).

Right now, the averages are:

- Ossoff +1 (538)/+3.2 (270toWin)/+0.8 (RCP)
- Warnock +2 (538)/+4 (270toWin)/+1.8 (RCP)

RCP does not include this poll but does include Trafalgar. 538 and 270toWin include both.

Yeah, I think the averages on 538 are pretty good right now. They point to a +1 Ossoff/+2 Warnock race, which is completely possible/believable

[wbrocks67]

Not a good pollster.

Not necessarily true. Their 2019 LA GOV poll, which also was "off year" wth no Trump on the ballot, was very good.

[WD]

Not a good pollster.

No, this is all her fault.

https://www.rafu.com/2020/12/kim-steel-campaign-in-georgia/

Then send Daines back, for God's sake.

It’s too late, Tester and Peters have already cut an ad informing voters of Perdue’s connections to Young Kim. It’s over.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Not a good pollster.

No, this is all her fault.

https://www.rafu.com/2020/12/kim-steel-campaign-in-georgia/

Then send Daines back, for God's sake.

Rs received a bump from from ACB nomination, that's why WARNOCK is winning now and Harrison lost by 10 pts, Graham spearheaded the ACB nomination

Mcconnell blocked the 2K PACKAGE

[ElectionsGuy]

If Republicans really lose by these types of margins, they have nobody to blame but themselves. I highly doubt this poll is accurate, but I do think the people insisting a close race no matter what may look a bit silly if it isn't that close. It's much easier to have a skewed electorate in a runoff than a November presidential election.

[VAR]

Even though I was (slightly) wrong, this poll aged horribly, as did the AJC poll and the SUSA poll.

[Tender Branson]

Even though I was (slightly) wrong, this poll aged horribly, as did the AJC poll and the SUSA poll.

They underestimated the election-day vote by a lot.