GA-Trafalgar: Ossoff +2, Warnock +1

[Gracile]

https://twitter.com/RobertCahaly/status/1343965974568034306

Jon Ossoff (D) 50%
David Perdue (R-inc) 48%

Raphael Warnock (D) 50%
Kelly Loeffler (R-inc) 49%

https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/news/ga-sen-122/

[Bootes Void]

Nut

[Tintrlvr]

They're just putting this out so they can put out a Perdue+6, Loeffler+8 poll the day before Runoff Day and claim they have momentum.

[WD]

FAKE NOOZ! Perdue doing worse than Loeffler? It seems they didn’t account for Candidate Quality in this poll. Junk it. If they had any shred of credibility they’d find Perdue+7 and Warnock+30, you really hate to see it.

[Gracile]

They're just putting this out so they can put out a Perdue+6, Loeffler+8 poll the day before Runoff Day and claim they have momentum.

Yeah, probably. I'm not putting too much stock in Trafalgar's runoff polls since GA was one of the few states they whiffed pretty badly.

[Matty]

Lmao, a 7 point swing?

[roxas11]

Somebody at Trafalgar must have gotten some god awful early vote data because thier latest poll repsents a huge swing from the last poll


Perdue was winning by +3 and now he is losing to Ossoff by +3

Loeffler went from winning by +7 points to losing to Warnock by +1

either Trump 2,000 dollar stunt hurt the GOP more than we all realize or Trafalgar is simply making this all up as they go along lol

[Tender Branson]

Hopefully this is the case.

[Senator-elect Spark]

Interesting result. How accurate is this pollster?

[brucejoel99]

I don't care what the result is, never take a TrafLoLgar poll on its face.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Interesting result. How accurate is this pollster?

Not very.  Their results have tended to be all over the place.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Trafalgar hasn't shown a Dem ahead in error before, have they?

[KaiserDave]

I don't care about Trafalgar

[Matty]

Trafalgar hasn't shown a Dem ahead in error before, have they?

they underestimated trump in ohio, that's all I can think of.

[Gass3268]

Georgia has been one of their worst states historically too:

2018 Gov: Kemp +12 (R+11)
2020 Pres: Trump +5 (R+5)

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Trafalgar hasn't shown a Dem ahead in error before, have they?

they underestimated trump in ohio, that's all I can think of.

Well it's not as if they showed Biden ahead.


AFAIK, whenever Trafalgar has shown a dem actually leading, the dem has always won.

[Matty]

Georgia has been one of their worst states historically too:

2018 Gov: Kemp +12 (R+11)
2020 Pres: Trump +5 (R+5)

yep, and also, imo, the very fact that this poll is so different from their poll earlier this month is a red flag. The idea that it swung 5-6 points is very fishy.

That is my opinion.

I want more polls here.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

D's are in it to win🌊🌊🌊

[wbrocks67]

They still have Loeffler doing better than Perdue. Interesting.

[SnowLabrador]

Trafalgar's the only pollster I trust, so this is good news, although I would like the leads to be bigger.

[Tintrlvr]

Trafalgar hasn't shown a Dem ahead in error before, have they?

they underestimated trump in ohio, that's all I can think of.

Well it's not as if they showed Biden ahead.


AFAIK, whenever Trafalgar has shown a dem actually leading in their final poll of the race, the dem has always won.

An important caveat here. I doubt this will be Trafalgar's final poll, as noted above. They tend to release polls near-daily right before elections.

[Grumpier Than Thou]

So maybe Ossoff and Warnock are indeed up by 7-9 points

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Of course, Rs are gonna vote for Ossoff and WARNOCK

[Buzz]

Trafalgar hasn't shown a Dem ahead in error before, have they?

they underestimated trump in ohio, that's all I can think of.

Well it's not as if they showed Biden ahead.


AFAIK, whenever Trafalgar has shown a dem actually leading, the dem has always won.

no.  They had Ohio Gov 2018 at D +4

[President Johnson]

Considering the source, this is actually encouraging. However, after November, I take all polls with an even bigger grain of salt. I just don't want to get too optimistic and then wake again up with Majority Leader Mitch.