Death of a Salesman
Rookie
Posts: 237
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« on: February 15, 2022, 10:24:41 PM » |
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California 2020: Democratic
Texas 2016: Republican
Florida 2020: Republican
New York 2020: Democratic
Pennsylvania 2020: Tossup (probably a Republican incumbent, so I’d guess Tilt R)
Illinois 2018: Democratic
Ohio 2020: Republican
Georgia 2018: Republican (Republicans swept 2018 GA statewide races)
North Carolina 2018: Tossup (probably a Democratic incumbent, so Tilt D, but Bill Nelson went down in FL)
Michigan 2016: Republican (Republicans probably win it in 2010, and a Republican incumbent would likely win with Trump on the ticket in 2016).
Democrats would certainly have three, but I think four is more likely than 5, so this probably results in a 56-44 Republican Senate (let’s say the GOP holds PA 2020, GA 2018, and MI 2016, while losing NC 2018).
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