Describe the likely political history of the previous hypothetical county

[Kamala's side hoe]

Sounds like a pretty titanium D county these days, though it swung lightly to Trump this year I bet. Probably voted Clinton 2016 but would have voted Sanders 2020 if the race was competitive at that point.

According to the NYT, the aforementioned (heavily Asian) unincorporated suburban precincts all swung D from 2016 IRL- Trump's percentage actually decreased in a few of them. All of Washington County within the urban growth boundary swung D, but there were a couple areas in SE Hillsboro and NW Beaverton where Trump gained 4-5% and almost matched Biden's gains from Hillary.

Name: Dooley County
State: Deep South, Comparable to Georgia, Mississippi or Alabama
Region: Suburbs/Exurbs of a major metropolitan area (fictional city of Quinlon)
County Seat: Daviston, largest population center is the unincorporated CDP of Przedpelski
Economy: Home to Quinlon Przedpelski International Airport, the Port of Quinlon, a major Amazon distribution center, and shipping/transit logistics due to strategic location at the intersection of several interstates.
Demographics: 31% Anglo White, 30% Latino (primarily Mexicans and Central Americans), 29% Black, 9% Asian
Population: 295,000
History: Was a rural county on the mouth of the Choctaw River Estuary, with an economy reliant on agriculture. Beginning in the 1950s suburban growth began in the area, and was only accelerated by opening of the airport and by the construction of the Port. Has become significantly more diverse in the last 20 years.

Sounds similar to Gwinnett County, GA- but in a metro area on the Gulf Coast. I'll let the next poster fill in the details.

(/skip)

[Buffalo Mayor Young Kim]

Sounds like a pretty titanium D county these days, though it swung lightly to Trump this year I bet. Probably voted Clinton 2016 but would have voted Sanders 2020 if the race was competitive at that point.

Name: Dooley County
State: Deep South, Comparable to Georgia, Mississippi or Alabama
Region: Suburbs/Exurbs of a major metropolitan area (fictional city of Quinlon)
County Seat: Daviston, largest population center is the unincorporated CDP of Przedpelski
Economy: Home to Quinlon Przedpelski International Airport, the Port of Quinlon, a major Amazon distribution center, and shipping/transit logistics due to strategic location at the intersection of several interstates.
Demographics: 31% Anglo White, 30% Latino (primarily Mexicans and Central Americans), 29% Black, 9% Asian
Population: 295,000
History: Was a rural county on the mouth of the Choctaw River Estuary, with an economy reliant on agriculture. Beginning in the 1950s suburban growth began in the area, and was only accelerated by opening of the airport and by the construction of the Port. Has become significantly more diverse in the last 20 years.

Obviously, D until 1964, then I'm assuming it would be one of the strongest Goldwater/GOP counties in the state, turning back around when the Demographics start to tipe ('04, '08?) and solidly blue by 2020.

1952: Stevenson
1956: Stevenson
1960: Kennedy
1964: Goldwater
1968: Nixon
1972: Nixon
1976: Carter?
1980: Reagan
1984: Reagan
1988: Bush
1992; Bush
1996: Dole
2000: Bush
2004: Bush
2008: Obama
2012: Obama
2016: Clinton
2020: Biden

Closest elections: 76, 60, 08

[GregTheGreat657]

Sounds like it would also be politically somewhere between Miami-Dade and Monroe: leaning slightly towards the Dems on the whole but swinging heavily towards the incumbent party. Probably last voted Republican for prez for Bush Sr, but 1992, 2004, and 2020 were close calls of about 2-5 points. Close to the statewide median (lean R) downballot.

Name: Jay County
State: Maryland
Location: Maryland Panhandle, between Allegany and Washington Counties
County Seat: Marshallsburg (pop. about 41,000)
Population: 58,035
Geography: Ridge-and-Valley Appalachians, heavily forested, population concentrated in Marshallsburg along the Potomac and a handful of very small (<2,000) unincorporated places in flatter areas
Median Household Income: $35,000
Demographics: 83% White, 14% Black, 1% Native, 2% other (7% Hispanic of any race)
History: Split from Allegany County in 1844. Marshallsburg was founded in 1838 as a work camp for workers on the Chesapeake and Ohio Canal, including a fair contingent of freedmen from the greater Chesapeake region, but retained its independence after work on the canal ceased. Owing to its degree of settlement from eastern Maryland and Virginia, its Black population, the transportation of Southern goods along the canal, and a small degree of German settlement from across the Mason-Dixon Line, it was unlike its neighbors roughly evenly split on secession: sectarian violence was common throughout the Civil War, and an infamous group of Confederate sympathizers crossed the Potomac to attempt to join the Army of Northern Virginia prior to the Maryland Campaign (a monument of them stood outside of the county courthouse until 2015). After the war, the county declined until coal was discovered in its western portion, revitalizing its workforce and connection on the Baltimore and Ohio Railroad; attempts at unionization by the miners were brutally crushed by mining bosses and local politicians. The coal seams largely ran dry in the mid-1950s, provoking a lengthy period of decline. A small private liberal arts college was founded in the northern part of the county, near the town of Paca, in 1973. Interest in the region's history and architecture, as well as the continued gentrification of Greater DC, promoted a movement to revitalize Marshallsburg in the mid-1990s, which prompted a small degree of economic and tourist interest. Mild growth has continued to the present day with the preservation of Marshallsburg's historic downtown and the establishment of Jay Ridge State Park.
Economy: Mineral extraction, education, tourism

Straight R

Name: Tuscarora County
State: New York
Location: Finger Lakes Region
Population: 356,199
County Seat: Seneca (Pop. 23,356)
Geography: Located in a valley, population fairly evenly through most of the county, though the southern fourth is rural. Suburb of both Syracuse and Rochester
Median Household Income: $77k
Racial Demographics: 86% White, 6% Asian, 4% Black, 3% Hispanic, 1% Native American
History: Very rural area until the late 1940s. Formerly home to a large Amish population who left when the area was becoming more developed. A liberal arts college helped spur the development of the county in the 19th century. White Flight from Syracuse and Rochester accelarated the already large population growth in the 1950s.

[thebeloitmoderate]

I have 4 counties I made and their histories will be coming up in the next few days only small descriptions after the names.
Casmir County Wisconsin (The most Polish county in America, working class mid sized city some small suburbs, and mix of farmland/forest countryside.)
Gebirge county Missouri (Rural predominantly German county in the Ozark mountains with a German influenced county seat and the largest rural Oktoberfest in America)
Santos county Washington (The most Hispanic county in the West coast even outpacing CA, though 1/5's of them are undocumented, has a meatpacking plant, Amazon distribution facility, and 2 small cities each with 95% Hispanic population.)
Mariana Rosas county Illinois (Suburban Chicago county that is ethnically, racially, linguistically, and religiously diverse, one of 2 counties in America alongside Queens county N.Y where multiple languages are spoken and 60 percent of the population speaks English as a first language. Has a slight native American reservation in the rural northwest portion of the county and the Indians (Natives) are way more integrated to suburban life than in any other county in America besides Oklahoma county making it the only county in America where Whites, Blacks, Hispanics, Asians, Pacific Islanders, and Native Americans each make up a chunk of the population.)

[GregTheGreat657]

I have 4 counties I made and their histories will be coming up in the next few days only small descriptions after the names.
Casmir County Wisconsin (The most Polish county in America, working class mid sized city some small suburbs, and mix of farmland/forest countryside.)
Gebirge county Missouri (Rural predominantly German county in the Ozark mountains with a German influenced county seat and the largest rural Oktoberfest in America)
Santos county Washington (The most Hispanic county in the West coast even outpacing CA, though 1/5's of them are undocumented, has a meatpacking plant, Amazon distribution facility, and 2 small cities each with 95% Hispanic population.)
Mariana Rosas county Illinois (Suburban Chicago county that is ethnically, racially, linguistically, and religiously diverse, one of 2 counties in America alongside Queens county N.Y where multiple languages are spoken and 60 percent of the population speaks English as a first language. Has a slight native American reservation in the rural northwest portion of the county and the Indians (Natives) are way more integrated to suburban life than in any other county in America besides Oklahoma county making it the only county in America where Whites, Blacks, Hispanics, Asians, Pacific Islanders, and Native Americans each make up a chunk of the population.)

Do you have any guesses for my county?

[thebeloitmoderate]

I have 4 counties I made and their histories will be coming up in the next few days only small descriptions after the names.
Casmir County Wisconsin (The most Polish county in America, working class mid sized city some small suburbs, and mix of farmland/forest countryside.)
Gebirge county Missouri (Rural predominantly German county in the Ozark mountains with a German influenced county seat and the largest rural Oktoberfest in America)
Santos county Washington (The most Hispanic county in the West coast even outpacing CA, though 1/5's of them are undocumented, has a meatpacking plant, Amazon distribution facility, and 2 small cities each with 95% Hispanic population.)
Mariana Rosas county Illinois (Suburban Chicago county that is ethnically, racially, linguistically, and religiously diverse, one of 2 counties in America alongside Queens county N.Y where multiple languages are spoken and 60 percent of the population speaks English as a first language. Has a slight native American reservation in the rural northwest portion of the county and the Indians (Natives) are way more integrated to suburban life than in any other county in America besides Oklahoma county making it the only county in America where Whites, Blacks, Hispanics, Asians, Pacific Islanders, and Native Americans each make up a chunk of the population.)

Do you have any guesses for my county?

I guess was safely D until 2000 and voted for Obama in 2008 12 Trump 16 and Biden 20

[GregTheGreat657]

As for beloitmoderate's counties I'd guess this how each of them has voted since 2000

Casmir, WI: Gore-Bush-Obama-Obama-Trump-Trump
Gebirge, MO: Straight R
Santos, WA: Gore-Bush-Obama-Obama-Clinton-Trump
Mariana Rosas, IL: Straight D

Name: Cherokee County
State: A fictional state in the South
Location: The eastern part of the county is coastal, while the western part is hilly.
Population: 868,111 (+ 19.6% from 2010)
Largest city: 165,653
Demographics: 56% White, 16% Asian, 14% Hispanic, 13% Black
MHI: $73,200
Bachelor's+ rate: 40%
Economy: The area's economy is based on tourism, banking, and healthcare.
History: The area was dominant agriculturally until the Civil War. The area lost most of its population until a real estate tycoon bought most of the county, and developed it. The area's population spiked after the advent of air conditioning. There are high racial tensions, especially between urban blacks and suburban whites. A relatively small sect of Christianity is based here also.

[thebeloitmoderate]

The last county all voted straight D since 1992 but when it was won in 92 it was narrow D and the same thing in 96, but in 2000 it widened a little bit, 2004 widened more, 2008 widened even more, 2012 and 16 the same, and in 2020 because of sizeable Hispanic/African american population D again but more narrow than in the previous 3 elections wider than in 04 but best GOP performance since 2004 as well

[Sol]

Since Beloitmoderate didn't give a county, I'll offer one:

Name: Narragansett County
State: Rhode Island
Location: Southeast Rhode Island
Population: 115,000
Largest City: Peterboro
Demographics: 50% White Anglo (mostly Portuguese, Italian, and Irish) 40% Latino (mostly Puerto Rican and Dominican), 9% Black, 1% Other
MHI: $53,000
Economy: Historically rooted in the textile industry, shipping, and whaling. Presently not very economically vibrant, with a large number of commuters to Providence.
Other notes: Peterboro is an overwhelmingly Latino ex-industrial town, while the rest of the county is predominantly middle-class exurbia to Providence. There's a history of nasty racial tension in the community.

[thebeloitmoderate]

Since Beloitmoderate didn't give a county, I'll offer one:

Name: Narragansett County
State: Rhode Island
Location: Southeast Rhode Island
Population: 115,000
Largest City: Peterboro
Demographics: 50% White Anglo (mostly Portuguese, Italian, and Irish) 40% Latino (mostly Puerto Rican and Dominican), 9% Black, 1% Other
MHI: $53,000
Economy: Historically rooted in the textile industry, shipping, and whaling. Presently not very economically vibrant, with a large number of commuters to Providence.
Other notes: Peterboro is an overwhelmingly Latino ex-industrial town, while the rest of the county is predominantly middle-class exurbia to Providence. There's a history of nasty racial tension in the community.

I actually had the first 2 counties but I will be working in it in the not too future

[H. Ross Peron]

Since Beloitmoderate didn't give a county, I'll offer one:

Name: Narragansett County
State: Rhode Island
Location: Southeast Rhode Island
Population: 115,000
Largest City: Peterboro
Demographics: 50% White Anglo (mostly Portuguese, Italian, and Irish) 40% Latino (mostly Puerto Rican and Dominican), 9% Black, 1% Other
MHI: $53,000
Economy: Historically rooted in the textile industry, shipping, and whaling. Presently not very economically vibrant, with a large number of commuters to Providence.
Other notes: Peterboro is an overwhelmingly Latino ex-industrial town, while the rest of the county is predominantly middle-class exurbia to Providence. There's a history of nasty racial tension in the community.

Safe D for decades, as far back as 1972 if not longer. Swung towards Trump in 2016 due to shifts in the WWC vote and margins stayed about the same in 2020 due to swings among Italian/Irish voters being cancelled out by further swings to Trump among Latino/Portugese voters.

Name: Wirt County
State: Huronia (Fictional Great Lakes states sharing characteristics of Michigan, Illinois, and Wisconsin)
Location: Facing Great Lakes to the east, roughly 30-40 miles north of the regional metropolis of Harton (2.3 million in city proper, 5 million in Harton County)
County Seat: Wirt City (Pop. 396,483)
Population: 2,304,647
Geography: Mostly flat especially in the eastern parts, some hills further towards the west. Heavily urbanized/suburbanized with most of the county-especially the southern part-covered in a grid pattern of tract housing, strip malls, factories etc. Wirt City and certain older towns such as Rosecrans, Philippi, New Hague are fairly dense and support a fairly robust county bus system as well as commuter rail lines tied to the Harton Metro system. The oldest, working-class towns tend to be around Wirt City or in the most southern parts of the county, middle-class postwar suburbs being in the central or southeastern lakeside zone, upper class communities like Fontainbleau or Versailles are found in the "Golden Crescent" covering the northern lakeshore area and the western hills.
Demographics: 64% White, 14% Latino, 10% Black, 8% Asian, 3% Mixed/Other
Demographic Notes: White population heavily German, Dutch, Irish, Polish, Czech, Anglo (both Yankee and Scotch-Irish) as well as some Scandinavians and Italians. Asian population mostly Korean or Japanese. Catholic plurality but large Protestant population especially Evangelicals thanks to Dutch Reformed/Southern Baptist/Scandinavian Free Church/Korean Presbyterian influence.
Economy: Heavy and light manufacturing (especially automobiles and related parts as well as electronics and missile components also food processing and pharmaceuticals), technology, transportation and logistics, healthcare, insurance, retail, education
History: Wirt County was created in 1827 and settled initially by Yankee settlers who came by way of Upstate New York and the Western Reserve of Ohio. The county and its main city was named after Vermont politician William Wirt whom the first settlers greatly admired. Wirt City became a prosperous minor industrial center fairly early on though it fell behind its burgeoning rival to the south, Harton. The surrounding countryside was fertile and attracted a large number of German immigrants as well as conservative Dutch Calvinists heavily influenced by the views of Abraham Kuyper. There was some Irish immigration as well. Naturally, the Civil War brought further economic growth and the county industrialized even further during the Gilded Age with the growth of newer industrial in the county's south that tied itself to Harton's economic sphere. Still the greatest boom in the county only occurred very late in the 19th Century, when a major plant for Goethe Motors was established at Wirt City by German-American automobile pioneer Gerhard Wilcke. Similar to Henry Ford, Wilcke pioneered assembly line techniques and the subsequent boom in production attracted huge numbers of Central European (especially Polish) immigrants as well as some from the South. However, heavy racism among both native-born and immigrant whites (who had plenty of conflicts between themselves) limited the number of black workers. Wirt County was known for frequent strikes and labour agitation that often turned violent such as Black August in 1911 when police and company guards killed 14 striking workers. The Depression was acutely felt in Wirt County and voters turned enthusiastically towards FDR's New Deal which spurred a massive boom in unionization. World War II brought further manufacturing prosperity to the county. The greatest growth for Wirt County, however, only happened with suburbanization as large numbers of workers moved out from Harton northwards to Wirt County. From about 650,000 residents in 1940, the county's population exploded to nearly 1.6 million by 1970. This spurred a massive boom in construction as thousands of houses, schools, stores etc. went up for the young families of all classes moving into Wirt. This was also an era of racial tension, as housing desegregation and busing finally led to significant amounts of black families being allowed to move into Wirt. Many military defense contractors established themselves in the county during this period, which protected the county somewhat from the deindustrialization of the Rust Belt. Moreover the more technical aspects of the military industries attracted many technological workers. In time, this led to a fair amount of Asian and Latino immigration from 1965 onwards, especially in the Eighties and Nineties thanks to it being one of the healthier economies in the Midwest. However, certain older industrial centers such as Wirt City, have declined in population and deal with challenges such as deindustrialization as well as the opioid epidemic leading observers to call Wirt County "America in microcosm". Trade and outsourcing is always a big issue here, with much of the blue-collar population opposing jobs and factories being shipped overseas as a result of NAFTA or US-China trade normalization which even many local white-collar workers are sympathetic to due to their jobs depending on manufacturing indirectly.
Notes: -Wirt County has a few universities such as a major branch of the state university system as well as Wilcke University (a private university endowed by the auto manufacturer) and Gilead College, a prominent Evangelical school run as a joint venture of the Dutch Reformed and Presbyterian churches.
-The incorporated city of Zealand (pop. 22,000) is an extremely conservative Dutch Reformed enclave best compared to an American Staphorst/Urk or a Calvinist Kiryas Joel with strict sabbatarian and other blue laws still in effect (though alcohol is legal due to their Dutch rather than Anglo-American traditions), often returning monolithic margins for preferred candidates. Some outsiders have moved in due to relatively cheap housing prices but they often feel unwelcome.

[thebeloitmoderate]

Here is my 4 Hypothetical counties from weeks ago
Casmir county Wisconsin (The most Polish county in America and all the cities/towns names except the reservation area has Polish names in it with a world record breaking building in the county seat.)
Gebirge County Missouri (A ethnic German county located between the Taum Sauk Mountains and the Ozarks with German influence architecture and with the most unusual voting pattern not just in rural Missouri but in rural non college America as well.)
Monte Nevada county Washington (Similar to the Yakima valley and a rename of the county I have posted weeks ago otherwise the same a huge Hispanic population with the highest percentage of Hispanics in a county in the West Coast even exceeding California itself. A huge agricultural industry alongside a Amazon Distribution Center.)
Mariana Rosas county Illinois (A extremely suburban Chicagoland county with a rural area to the NW side of the county this county has a Multicultural/Ethnically Religiously and racially diverse county in which each plurality of the population is White/Hispanic/Black/Asian/Pacific Islander/ and Native American making it similar to Oklahoma county in which there is a integrated suburban Indian population.)

[H. Ross Peron]

Here is my 4 Hypothetical counties from weeks ago
Casmir county Wisconsin (The most Polish county in America and all the cities/towns names except the reservation area has Polish names in it with a world record breaking building in the county seat.)
Gebirge County Missouri (A ethnic German county located between the Taum Sauk Mountains and the Ozarks with German influence architecture and with the most unusual voting pattern not just in rural Missouri but in rural non college America as well.)
Monte Nevada county Washington (Similar to the Yakima valley and a rename of the county I have posted weeks ago otherwise the same a huge Hispanic population with the highest percentage of Hispanics in a county in the West Coast even exceeding California itself. A huge agricultural industry alongside a Amazon Distribution Center.)
Mariana Rosas county Illinois (A extremely suburban Chicagoland county with a rural area to the NW side of the county this county has a Multicultural/Ethnically Religiously and racially diverse county in which each plurality of the population is White/Hispanic/Black/Asian/Pacific Islander/ and Native American making it similar to Oklahoma county in which there is a integrated suburban Indian population.)

[1] Do one county at a time and
[2] Answer the ones previously provide.

Don't be another Gregthegreat657 ruining these threads JFC.

[Sol]

Here is my 4 Hypothetical counties from weeks ago
Casmir county Wisconsin (The most Polish county in America and all the cities/towns names except the reservation area has Polish names in it with a world record breaking building in the county seat.)
Gebirge County Missouri (A ethnic German county located between the Taum Sauk Mountains and the Ozarks with German influence architecture and with the most unusual voting pattern not just in rural Missouri but in rural non college America as well.)
Monte Nevada county Washington (Similar to the Yakima valley and a rename of the county I have posted weeks ago otherwise the same a huge Hispanic population with the highest percentage of Hispanics in a county in the West Coast even exceeding California itself. A huge agricultural industry alongside a Amazon Distribution Center.)
Mariana Rosas county Illinois (A extremely suburban Chicagoland county with a rural area to the NW side of the county this county has a Multicultural/Ethnically Religiously and racially diverse county in which each plurality of the population is White/Hispanic/Black/Asian/Pacific Islander/ and Native American making it similar to Oklahoma county in which there is a integrated suburban Indian population.)

My guess on all of these is all R except the last one.

Name: Ingham County
State: Deep South state, comparable to Alabama or Mississippi
Location: Appalachian foothills, similar geography to Alabama along the Tennessee River
Population: 12,000
Largest City: Cherokee
Demographics: 88% White, 11% Black, 1% other
Economy: Tourism, Agriculture, Energy (large dam in the area)
MHI: $30,000
Other notes: Historically unionist. Was majorly improved by the presence of the TVA, and calls to privatize it still result in backlash on the local level. Has a large hippie commune in the hills since the 60s, New Rainbow, which is known for its extremely anti-establishment, ecological and pacifist orientation. Residents of New Rainbow are about 15% of the population.

This county is intended to do something a bit odd results-wise, though I don't know if it will translate--bonus points if you can guess it.

[H. Ross Peron]

Since Beloitmoderate didn't give a county, I'll offer one:

Name: Narragansett County
State: Rhode Island
Location: Southeast Rhode Island
Population: 115,000
Largest City: Peterboro
Demographics: 50% White Anglo (mostly Portuguese, Italian, and Irish) 40% Latino (mostly Puerto Rican and Dominican), 9% Black, 1% Other
MHI: $53,000
Economy: Historically rooted in the textile industry, shipping, and whaling. Presently not very economically vibrant, with a large number of commuters to Providence.
Other notes: Peterboro is an overwhelmingly Latino ex-industrial town, while the rest of the county is predominantly middle-class exurbia to Providence. There's a history of nasty racial tension in the community.

Safe D for decades, as far back as 1972 if not longer. Swung towards Trump in 2016 due to shifts in the WWC vote and margins stayed about the same in 2020 due to swings among Italian/Irish voters being cancelled out by further swings to Trump among Latino/Portugese voters.

Name: Wirt County
State: Huronia (Fictional Great Lakes states sharing characteristics of Michigan, Illinois, and Wisconsin)
Location: Facing Great Lakes to the east, roughly 30-40 miles north of the regional metropolis of Harton (2.3 million in city proper, 5 million in Harton County)
County Seat: Wirt City (Pop. 396,483)
Population: 2,304,647
Geography: Mostly flat especially in the eastern parts, some hills further towards the west. Heavily urbanized/suburbanized with most of the county-especially the southern part-covered in a grid pattern of tract housing, strip malls, factories etc. Wirt City and certain older towns such as Rosecrans, Philippi, New Hague are fairly dense and support a fairly robust county bus system as well as commuter rail lines tied to the Harton Metro system. The oldest, working-class towns tend to be around Wirt City or in the most southern parts of the county, middle-class postwar suburbs being in the central or southeastern lakeside zone, upper class communities like Fontainbleau or Versailles are found in the "Golden Crescent" covering the northern lakeshore area and the western hills.
Demographics: 64% White, 14% Latino, 10% Black, 8% Asian, 3% Mixed/Other
Demographic Notes: White population heavily German, Dutch, Irish, Polish, Czech, Anglo (both Yankee and Scotch-Irish) as well as some Scandinavians and Italians. Asian population mostly Korean or Japanese. Catholic plurality but large Protestant population especially Evangelicals thanks to Dutch Reformed/Southern Baptist/Scandinavian Free Church/Korean Presbyterian influence.
Economy: Heavy and light manufacturing (especially automobiles and related parts as well as electronics and missile components also food processing and pharmaceuticals), technology, transportation and logistics, healthcare, insurance, retail, education
History: Wirt County was created in 1827 and settled initially by Yankee settlers who came by way of Upstate New York and the Western Reserve of Ohio. The county and its main city was named after Vermont politician William Wirt whom the first settlers greatly admired. Wirt City became a prosperous minor industrial center fairly early on though it fell behind its burgeoning rival to the south, Harton. The surrounding countryside was fertile and attracted a large number of German immigrants as well as conservative Dutch Calvinists heavily influenced by the views of Abraham Kuyper. There was some Irish immigration as well. Naturally, the Civil War brought further economic growth and the county industrialized even further during the Gilded Age with the growth of newer industrial in the county's south that tied itself to Harton's economic sphere. Still the greatest boom in the county only occurred very late in the 19th Century, when a major plant for Goethe Motors was established at Wirt City by German-American automobile pioneer Gerhard Wilcke. Similar to Henry Ford, Wilcke pioneered assembly line techniques and the subsequent boom in production attracted huge numbers of Central European (especially Polish) immigrants as well as some from the South. However, heavy racism among both native-born and immigrant whites (who had plenty of conflicts between themselves) limited the number of black workers. Wirt County was known for frequent strikes and labour agitation that often turned violent such as Black August in 1911 when police and company guards killed 14 striking workers. The Depression was acutely felt in Wirt County and voters turned enthusiastically towards FDR's New Deal which spurred a massive boom in unionization. World War II brought further manufacturing prosperity to the county. The greatest growth for Wirt County, however, only happened with suburbanization as large numbers of workers moved out from Harton northwards to Wirt County. From about 650,000 residents in 1940, the county's population exploded to nearly 1.6 million by 1970. This spurred a massive boom in construction as thousands of houses, schools, stores etc. went up for the young families of all classes moving into Wirt. This was also an era of racial tension, as housing desegregation and busing finally led to significant amounts of black families being allowed to move into Wirt. Many military defense contractors established themselves in the county during this period, which protected the county somewhat from the deindustrialization of the Rust Belt. Moreover the more technical aspects of the military industries attracted many technological workers. In time, this led to a fair amount of Asian and Latino immigration from 1965 onwards, especially in the Eighties and Nineties thanks to it being one of the healthier economies in the Midwest. However, certain older industrial centers such as Wirt City, have declined in population and deal with challenges such as deindustrialization as well as the opioid epidemic leading observers to call Wirt County "America in microcosm". Trade and outsourcing is always a big issue here, with much of the blue-collar population opposing jobs and factories being shipped overseas as a result of NAFTA or US-China trade normalization which even many local white-collar workers are sympathetic to due to their jobs depending on manufacturing indirectly.
Notes: -Wirt County has a few universities such as a major branch of the state university system as well as Wilcke University (a private university endowed by the auto manufacturer) and Gilead College, a prominent Evangelical school run as a joint venture of the Dutch Reformed and Presbyterian churches.
-The incorporated city of Zealand (pop. 22,000) is an extremely conservative Dutch Reformed enclave best compared to an American Staphorst/Urk or a Calvinist Kiryas Joel with strict sabbatarian and other blue laws still in effect (though alcohol is legal due to their Dutch rather than Anglo-American traditions), often returning monolithic margins for preferred candidates. Some outsiders have moved in due to relatively cheap housing prices but they often feel unwelcome.

This was never answered

[Tiger08]

Wirt County: battleground, but slightly Republican due to its above-average religiosity. Swung towards the Dems in 2020 though, as much of religious West Michigan (a similar area to Wirt County IRL) was a bad fit for Trump compared to a generic Republican.

[GregTheGreat657]

Since Beloitmoderate didn't give a county, I'll offer one:

Name: Narragansett County
State: Rhode Island
Location: Southeast Rhode Island
Population: 115,000
Largest City: Peterboro
Demographics: 50% White Anglo (mostly Portuguese, Italian, and Irish) 40% Latino (mostly Puerto Rican and Dominican), 9% Black, 1% Other
MHI: $53,000
Economy: Historically rooted in the textile industry, shipping, and whaling. Presently not very economically vibrant, with a large number of commuters to Providence.
Other notes: Peterboro is an overwhelmingly Latino ex-industrial town, while the rest of the county is predominantly middle-class exurbia to Providence. There's a history of nasty racial tension in the community.

Safe D for decades, as far back as 1972 if not longer. Swung towards Trump in 2016 due to shifts in the WWC vote and margins stayed about the same in 2020 due to swings among Italian/Irish voters being cancelled out by further swings to Trump among Latino/Portugese voters.

Name: Wirt County
State: Huronia (Fictional Great Lakes states sharing characteristics of Michigan, Illinois, and Wisconsin)
Location: Facing Great Lakes to the east, roughly 30-40 miles north of the regional metropolis of Harton (2.3 million in city proper, 5 million in Harton County)
County Seat: Wirt City (Pop. 396,483)
Population: 2,304,647
Geography: Mostly flat especially in the eastern parts, some hills further towards the west. Heavily urbanized/suburbanized with most of the county-especially the southern part-covered in a grid pattern of tract housing, strip malls, factories etc. Wirt City and certain older towns such as Rosecrans, Philippi, New Hague are fairly dense and support a fairly robust county bus system as well as commuter rail lines tied to the Harton Metro system. The oldest, working-class towns tend to be around Wirt City or in the most southern parts of the county, middle-class postwar suburbs being in the central or southeastern lakeside zone, upper class communities like Fontainbleau or Versailles are found in the "Golden Crescent" covering the northern lakeshore area and the western hills.
Demographics: 64% White, 14% Latino, 10% Black, 8% Asian, 3% Mixed/Other
Demographic Notes: White population heavily German, Dutch, Irish, Polish, Czech, Anglo (both Yankee and Scotch-Irish) as well as some Scandinavians and Italians. Asian population mostly Korean or Japanese. Catholic plurality but large Protestant population especially Evangelicals thanks to Dutch Reformed/Southern Baptist/Scandinavian Free Church/Korean Presbyterian influence.
Economy: Heavy and light manufacturing (especially automobiles and related parts as well as electronics and missile components also food processing and pharmaceuticals), technology, transportation and logistics, healthcare, insurance, retail, education
History: Wirt County was created in 1827 and settled initially by Yankee settlers who came by way of Upstate New York and the Western Reserve of Ohio. The county and its main city was named after Vermont politician William Wirt whom the first settlers greatly admired. Wirt City became a prosperous minor industrial center fairly early on though it fell behind its burgeoning rival to the south, Harton. The surrounding countryside was fertile and attracted a large number of German immigrants as well as conservative Dutch Calvinists heavily influenced by the views of Abraham Kuyper. There was some Irish immigration as well. Naturally, the Civil War brought further economic growth and the county industrialized even further during the Gilded Age with the growth of newer industrial in the county's south that tied itself to Harton's economic sphere. Still the greatest boom in the county only occurred very late in the 19th Century, when a major plant for Goethe Motors was established at Wirt City by German-American automobile pioneer Gerhard Wilcke. Similar to Henry Ford, Wilcke pioneered assembly line techniques and the subsequent boom in production attracted huge numbers of Central European (especially Polish) immigrants as well as some from the South. However, heavy racism among both native-born and immigrant whites (who had plenty of conflicts between themselves) limited the number of black workers. Wirt County was known for frequent strikes and labour agitation that often turned violent such as Black August in 1911 when police and company guards killed 14 striking workers. The Depression was acutely felt in Wirt County and voters turned enthusiastically towards FDR's New Deal which spurred a massive boom in unionization. World War II brought further manufacturing prosperity to the county. The greatest growth for Wirt County, however, only happened with suburbanization as large numbers of workers moved out from Harton northwards to Wirt County. From about 650,000 residents in 1940, the county's population exploded to nearly 1.6 million by 1970. This spurred a massive boom in construction as thousands of houses, schools, stores etc. went up for the young families of all classes moving into Wirt. This was also an era of racial tension, as housing desegregation and busing finally led to significant amounts of black families being allowed to move into Wirt. Many military defense contractors established themselves in the county during this period, which protected the county somewhat from the deindustrialization of the Rust Belt. Moreover the more technical aspects of the military industries attracted many technological workers. In time, this led to a fair amount of Asian and Latino immigration from 1965 onwards, especially in the Eighties and Nineties thanks to it being one of the healthier economies in the Midwest. However, certain older industrial centers such as Wirt City, have declined in population and deal with challenges such as deindustrialization as well as the opioid epidemic leading observers to call Wirt County "America in microcosm". Trade and outsourcing is always a big issue here, with much of the blue-collar population opposing jobs and factories being shipped overseas as a result of NAFTA or US-China trade normalization which even many local white-collar workers are sympathetic to due to their jobs depending on manufacturing indirectly.
Notes: -Wirt County has a few universities such as a major branch of the state university system as well as Wilcke University (a private university endowed by the auto manufacturer) and Gilead College, a prominent Evangelical school run as a joint venture of the Dutch Reformed and Presbyterian churches.
-The incorporated city of Zealand (pop. 22,000) is an extremely conservative Dutch Reformed enclave best compared to an American Staphorst/Urk or a Calvinist Kiryas Joel with strict sabbatarian and other blue laws still in effect (though alcohol is legal due to their Dutch rather than Anglo-American traditions), often returning monolithic margins for preferred candidates. Some outsiders have moved in due to relatively cheap housing prices but they often feel unwelcome.

This was never answered

Your county would be straight D since 1984 or maybe 1988, although Trump would be a fairly strong fit

Name: Zion County
Location: In the Black Belt
Population: 86,903
Largest City: Jefferson (Population: 37,856)
Demographics: 33% White (most claim American ancestry), 58% Black, 5% Hispanic, 2% Asian, 2% Native American
MHI: $43,600
Bachelor’s+ rate: 15%
Geography: Swampy in the south and east, though the rest of the county is relatively flat and grassy, located a little over an hour away from a relatively large (pop. 250,000) city
History: The area was first settled by pioneers and Scots-Irish immigrants. It was an agricultural powerhouse, however due to its reliance on slave labor, the county lost most of its population after the Civil War. The county was dominated by sharecropping for most of the next century. The county continued to economically flounder, and was considered to be amongst the poorest in the nation, until oil was discovered there in 1994. The oil industry is now the dominant industry.

[H. Ross Peron]

Your county would be straight D since 1984 or maybe 1988, although Trump would be a fairly strong fit

Name: Zion County
Location: In the Black Belt
Population: 86,903
Largest City: Jefferson (Population: 37,856)
Demographics: 33% White (most claim American ancestry), 58% Black, 5% Hispanic, 2% Asian, 2% Native American
MHI: $43,600
Bachelor’s+ rate: 15%
Geography: Swampy in the south and east, though the rest of the county is relatively flat and grassy, located a little over an hour away from a relatively large (pop. 250,000) city
History: The area was first settled by pioneers and Scots-Irish immigrants. It was an agricultural powerhouse, however due to its reliance on slave labor, the county lost most of its population after the Civil War. The county was dominated by sharecropping for most of the next century. The county continued to economically flounder, and was considered to be amongst the poorest in the nation, until oil was discovered there in 1994. The oil industry is now the dominant industry.

Dem since at least 1988, probably all the way back to 1976. Assuming similar population trends and turnout to other Black Belt counties, I'll say it would be around D+15 prior to 2008 and around D+25 from 2008 on.

Name: Girouard County
State: Texas
Location: In the center of the Texas Triangle, not too far from College Station and Waco
Population: 312,547
County Seat and Largest City: Leanos (pop. 162,333)
Geography: The county is 801 square miles in size and centered on Lake Stipe, a reservoir, and Leanos, which is located on the south and east shores of the lake. The other three cities with at least 20k people are Henrion, located to the south of Leanos, Oconnell, located to the north of Leanos on the northeastern corner of the lake, and Driftwood, located in the northwestern corner of the county. The rest of the county is predominately rural and flat.
Demographics: 56% White (historically English and German, but has a growing Eastern European population), 27% Hispanic (overwhelmingly Mexican), 12% Black, 3% Asian, 2% Other
Demographic notes: Leanos has an urban core surrounded by inner suburbs, and is minority-majority. Henrion and Oconnell are both suburbs of Leanos, and Driftwood was historically a separate but close city, but in recent years, has become a de facto exurb; all three cities are majority white, with Henrion being 55% white, and Oconnell and Driftwood both being at least two thirds white. Outside of the inner parts of Leanos and most of the rural areas, which are poorer, the county is predominately middle class.
Economy: Manufacturing, education, transportation and logistics, retail; formerly oil, but the county's residential growth in recent decades has led to it becoming less relevant
History: Girouard County was created in 1858, by which point it already had a population of several hundred American settlers, as well as a smaller Mexican population. It was named after Timothy Girouard, an early settler who moved from Arkansas to within the county's borders and later held political influence, representing the area in the Texas State Legislature when the county was created. Girouard County remained predominately rural throughout the 19th century, with Leanos only having around 3500 residents at the time of the 1900 census while the rural areas had over ten thousand. Like most counties in the area, it was part of the 'Solid South' in the Third and Fourth Party Systems. The county, and especially Leanos, began to experience population growth in the 1910s and 1920s, in large part due to domestic immigration from areas east of the Misssissippi. Population growth and prosperity was temporary halted by the Great Depression and World War II, a trend that somewhat remained into the 1950s, during which it remained a mostly rural area, with Leanos still only having 22000 residents and making up less than half of the county's population at the time of the 1960 census. However, in the 1960s and 1970s, the area began to experience suburban-style residential development around the pre-existing core of Leanos, with urban planners (namely one Mark Johnston, considered by some to be the 'father' of modern Girouard County) idealizing it as a serene lakeside city surrounded by the prairies, yet also only two hours away from both Houston and Dallas on the new interstate highway system. Population growth skyrocketed, with Leanos reaching over 60000 people by 1970 and over 100000 by 1980. Most of this came from domestic immigration, but one foreign group that immigrated to the area in particular were immigrants from Eastern European nations like Poland, Hungary, and the USSR, many of whom were attracted to the similar geography the region had to their homelands, as well as the marketing by real estate developers of Leanos as an 'all-American' city that would provide them a haven from the Warsaw Pact governments that most of them wanted away from. By the 1990s, growth in Leanos proper was beginning to slow down, in large part due to the strict environmental policies of mayor Thom Aitchison, who prohibited development that would pollute Lake Stipe or significantly damage the environment of the remaining undeveloped areas of the city. As such, major development in other regions of the county soon began. Henrion, previously a small oil town just outside of Leanos, was converted into a traditional lower middle class suburb to support further growth, while several ranches on the opposite side of Leanos were developed in the family-oriented yet relatively dense and walkable vision of civil engineer Keith O'Connell and given his surname. Even Driftwood, Leanos' rival for influence over Girouard County fifty years prior, started to become an 'exurb', or at least as close as a city can get to having an exurb when it only has a quarter million people in its metropolitan area. The 2000s and 2010s were marked by further development in the three 'suburban' cities, while inner Leanos started to diversify, with the county going from 80% white in 1980 to 70% white in 2000 to its current 56% in 2020, in large part due to Hispanic growth in Texas as a whole. Currently, Girouard County is seen as a commuter town serving all three 'points' of the Texas Triangle, taking advantage of its equidistance between them. However, due to its population growth, it could very well become a decently sized metropolitan area of its own in the next fifty years, with some observers even expecting not just for Leanos to fully urbanize and the remaining rural areas, such as Palatine and Xavier Springs, to suburbanize, but also for development to soon spill into neighbouring counties.
Other notes: The area is served by Leanos Community College, but it does not yet have a four-year university. Major tourist attractions in the area include the Aqua Empire water park, the eccentric Winchester House-esque mansion of since-deceased retired tycoon Harry Rose, and various activities on Lake Stipe and its shore. The first major industrial facility in the Leanos area was a Raytheon facility opened inbetween Henrion and the currently-unincorporated area east of it, opened in the early 2010s, and several other major commercial and industrial developments are currently in discussion to further provide Girouard County residents with in-county jobs.

Last voted Democrat in 1976 or possibly even 1964, has been solidly Republican ever since with especially large landslides under Reagan and both Bushes. However, with shift in suburban vote and increase in share of Latino voters, there has been a swing to the left and despite Girouard voting Republican in 2020 it was under a 10% margin for the first time since 1976.

Reusing this county:

Name: Lemon County
State: California
Region: Southern California, halfway between Los Angeles and San Diego
Population: 1,930,484
Geographic type: Inner/outer suburban with some features of small cities
Median Household Income: $67,000
Demographics: 55% White, 23% Hispanic, 15% Asian, 5% Black, 3% Mixed/Other
Ancestry: Settled in the late 18th Century by Spanish missionaries and soldiers. After annexation to the US, first wave of settlers tended to be Southerners (making the area have some secessionist sympathies during the Civil War) but in the "boom" of the 1880s this was swamped by Midwestern WASPs. Heavy immigration from further east especially states like Iowa, Illinois, Indiana etc. continued for decades earning the county the nickname "Heartland by the Sea". There was some Asian immigration, especially Japanese. During the Depression/World War II, there was a heavy migration of "Okies" and other Southern whites from states such as Arkansas or Tennessee but also an influx of "ethnic" Catholics and Jews from East Coast or Midwestern cities. There was also a considerable amount of Dutch immigrants who came in the decades after the war. After 1965, there was heavy Asian and Latino immigration especially of Koreans, Vietnamese, and Mexicans. Nowadays, the county has an incredibly diverse population. Overall, Protestants outnumber Catholics slightly and the area has numerously evangelical megachurches headed by pastors with nationwide fame. Baptists, Dutch Reformed (esp CRC), Presbyterian, Lutheran, and nondenominational adherents are all quite numerous.
Economy: Originally an agricultural area that focused on vegetable and fruit agriculture (especially citrus fruits such as lemon hence the county's name) as well as dairying. The discover of oil in the 1910s led to gradual industrialization and Lemon County attracted pioneer aviationists thanks to its year-round sunny climate. As a result, enormous aerospace factories opened in the area during World War II attracting vast numbers of laborers. Moreover, numerous naval and Air Force bases were established in Lemon County. Thanks to this, the area was a center of the "military industrial complex" during the Cold War with dozens of factories churning out fighters, bombers, and electronics as well as research labs developing new technologies. Other kinds of manufacturing, especially food processing were also prominent. Despite a moderately severe shock at the end of the Cold War, the presence of research universities helped the transition to a postindustrial economy. The area is the home to various corporations, especially the American branches of Japanese or Korean conglomertes. Agriculture still persists in the less urbanized fringes of the county and wineries have begun making an appearance. Retail is an enormous driver of the economy with over dozens of malls and innumerable strip malls covering the county including several regional shopping centers that have hundreds of stores.
Other notes: -Lemon County is unique in Southern California for retaining a large white working class population which otherwise has often been priced out to states such as Arizona or Nevada
-The county is heavily developed with various older small cities connected by postwar development. Overall Lemon County is quite dense and there is decent mass transit, including some lines of the old Pacific Electric railway still in use.
-The county's coastal areas are heavily white and middle-class but somewhat blue collar in the north such as Tarragona which still has numerous aerospace factories and oil derricks. Further south, coastal areas are far more exclusive such as extremely wealthy St. Andrews which is the home of millionaires. Inland, the county has working-class cities like McFadden (majority Latino and 75% nonwhite these days) and generic middle class outer suburbs like Oakwood in the northerly and western parts. Some cities such as Rosecrans and the county seat of Lemon have 19th Century downtowns and housing stock. Further south and in the hills are wealthier suburbs like San Arturo and San Nicolas. Santa Lucia in the south is a unique town built around the old Spanish mission, with a wealth of Spanish and Mexican architecture that still preserves a strong Old World atmosphere.
-The county has a broad range of public schools, including several magnet high schools. Cheerleading and football culture is very strong in cities such as Tarragona, even despite allegations of coverup of abuse that were exposed in recent years.

[thebeloitmoderate]

A diverse county but also bellweather minus 1980 2020
Name: Beach County
Location: About Halfway between Philadelphia, and New York City

Population: 990,000

State: New Jersey

Largest City: Teddington (Population: 98,000)

Demographics: 45% White (Historically Irish, and Italian, but with a recent increase in Orthodox Jewish, Former Soviet immigrants moving from NYC/Philadelphia), 19% Black (Mostly ADOS, But with a growing immigrant African/Caribbean population), 11% Asian (Mostly Chinese, and Vietnamese in stark contrast to North Jersey which is mostly Indian, and Korean) 23% Hispanic or Latino (Quite diverse for a central Jersey county outside Mercer), 2 percent Other

MHI: $110,000

Residents with a college degree: 38%
Geography: SW portion is mostly swampy with remnants of the Pine Barrens, the rest is a bit forested, but also very urbanized with recently built suburbs which is rapidly growing unlike the rest of NJ, Northeast. A branch of I-95 Would go towards the more rural part. Lots of distribution centers, from Amazon to Boeing, as well as the bases for the 76ers, and Flyers. Since this county is so large and populous for NJ Standards. The southern, and central half uses Philadelphia TV, While the Northern half uses New York TV Stations,

History: The county was originally called King Richard County by a British settler in colonial NJ. Around 1779 a decisive battle of the Revolution took place Ending British rule in the upper/middle colonies. Once the revolution ended, NJ Became a state in 1787, it was renamed to Beach county by then governor William Livingston because of the coastal scenery. This county remained rural while Teddington became the county seat shortly after NJ declared statehood. This county was one of the first to accept Free Slaves and did not banned interracial marriage like NJ as a whole. Though in the late 19th century immigration from Italy, and Ireland, alongside with a few from Germany, and Jewish immigrants from Russia,and Poland changed the demographics alongside Free Blacks from the great migration moving to the north. The Blacks was treated well unlike most northern cities which had redlining, and was home to the first Black middle class north of the Mason Dixie Line. During the 1920s, and 1930s the population declined a bit as bloody mob wars between Irish-American crime families and the Mafia took place, and not even the Great Depression prevented the decline to stem off. Around that time factories was also being built attracting many NYC, and Philadelphia transplants making it the first hints that the county population would grow dramatically. Around the end of WWII the county's population for a super long time was around the 10 to 30k range but suburbs was about to be built, with the first being Shoreline City, located in the SW portion of the county around 1947-48. This attracted about 5,000 residents mostly from NY and Philadelphia, but also from Teddington as well. The 2nd and 3rd suburbs were called Freedom City, and Beachshore Heights. The first suburb was basically the Black version of Shoreline City located in the southern portion of the county and attracted many African Americans fleeing the South in one of the last big decades of the Great Migration, and the second city located in the Jersey Shore which attracted many wealthy families from NY, North Jersey, and South Jersey. The population increased to 70k around 1960, Teddington hitting 45,000 Residents around this era. The population increased by 1k each year from 1960 to 1965 when it hit 75,000 I-95 was built but did not served the future suburban areas or Teddington The county voted for JFK in 1960 by a narrow margin, but in 1964 this county voted 95 percent for LBJ in one of the biggest margins of victory for a non urban county in America. Despite the factories of the early part of the century closing this county or especially Teddington thankfully did not experienced population decline Around 1965 a urban planner from NYC known as Timothy O'Neill began to survey the less forested areas of the county in what many people call in future decades : The Savior of New Jersey. Around this time less blue collar, and more white collar jobs came to the county more and more suburbs were being built in the northern and southern edges of the county attracting 20k people each year until 1974 further increasing the population to 175,000 once the 1970 census came. The chaos that NYC had with increasing crime rates during the late 1960s, and early 1970s, Mayorship of Frank Rizzo in Philadelphia, and also the 1967 Newark/Camden Riots also contributed to a increase in Black Lower class White, and Hispanic residents. Around 1974 255k residents called that county home, Teddington Hit it's peak population with 118k. The population of this county saw further growth from 1975 to 1987 as more and more people left Philadelphia, New York City, and North Jersey especially Newark, and Paterson making it 555k one of the fastest growing counties in American history that is not a sunbelt county. However during that same time Teddington saw it's population go down from 118k to 85k as even the residents of that city felt too crowded to be in a already big suburban town. The suburbs were being built rapidly during those 12 years as well. Then around 1990 the population growth began to slow down with only 586k residents in the new census, alongside some NY/Philly residents returning to both cities proper, and suburbs of their respective cities. The county's population shrank to 576k around 1997 as NYC/Philadelphia transplants began to move back to either the core cities, or especially move to the sun belt/California. Around the 2000s, and 2010s thanks to International immigration, and a surprisingly liberal immigration policy, the county's population began to SKYROCKET especially immigrants from the Former USSR, Yugoslavia fleeing the country's war, Africa especially The congo countries, the Caribbean, and China/Vietnam although there was a slightly lower Puerto Rican migration, and Orthodox Jewish migration from Lakewood/NYC. The population increased to 776K in 2010 thanks to the 2 mentioned factors. Amazon built a new distribution center in 2012, alongside a Facebook storage center around 2014, contributing to new growth from IT people fleeing North Jersey, and the West Coast. Also during that time Hasidic Jews began to grow somewhat rapidly, and that county voted for Christie in 2009/13, Murphy in 2017, and Ciattarelli in 2021, despite the diverse population this county acts as a bellwether ironically. And also despite being hit hard during the earlier months of COVID-19 this county somehow avoided the spike in deaths, and cases during the winter wave in 2020, Delta, and Omicron waves. Likely a more educated Jewish population unlike Lakewood/Brooklyn, and not hardcore MAGA type.
Bellwether county, except 1980 when it narrowly voted for Jimmy Carter. 2000/04 saw the county vote for Bush, likely due to it's college aged Country Club Republican type, in 2008 it went for Obama, and 2012 Obama again more wider likely due to Hurricane Sandy. 2016 saw the county vote for Trump likely due to the Orthodox Jewish population, and less college educated immigrant population ironically. 2020 Saw the county vote for Trump for a slightly wider margin likely due to rapid Orthodox Jewish growth, alongside the same reason as above.
              

[Sol]

Since it seems like you answered your own, here's one:

Name: Wiley County
Location: Midwest, similar location to Northern IL, IN and Southern WI, MI
Population: 400,000
Largest City: Lake Luciole (90,000)
Demographics: 84% White (mostly German, English and Scandinavian), 8% Asian (mostly Chinese, Indian, and Pakistani), 7% Latino (mostly Mexican and Central American) and 1% Black (mostly ADOS but an above average African immigrant pop.)
MHI: $80,000
Geography: Runs the gamut from inner ring suburbs of the nearby major city to outer ring exurbs. Has a sizable east-west divide, with the western suburbs being extremely rich and white while the eastern suburbs are more middle class and somewhat diverse in places.
History: Was settled early on by German Catholics with a smattering of Yankee abolitionists. Little industry, was primarily agricultural. Suburbanization started early in the inner ring streetcar suburbs in the far north of the county, around the 20s, but really picked up after WW2. Very white flight in character, and was also a center of evangelical culture.

[Torie]

Since it seems like you answered your own, here's one:

Name: Wiley County
Location: Midwest, similar location to Northern IL, IN and Southern WI, MI
Population: 400,000
Largest City: Lake Luciole (90,000)
Demographics: 84% White (mostly German, English and Scandinavian), 8% Asian (mostly Chinese, Indian, and Pakistani), 7% Latino (mostly Mexican and Central American) and 1% Black (mostly ADOS but an above average African immigrant pop.)
MHI: $80,000
Geography: Runs the gamut from inner ring suburbs of the nearby major city to outer ring exurbs. Has a sizable east-west divide, with the western suburbs being extremely rich and white while the eastern suburbs are more middle class and somewhat diverse in places.
History: Was settled early on by German Catholics with a smattering of Yankee abolitionists. Little industry, was primarily agricultural. Suburbanization started early in the inner ring streetcar suburbs in the far north of the county, around the 20s, but really picked up after WW2. Very white flight in character, and was also a center of evangelical culture.

That sounds like Waukesha County to me (the name even has the same first letter), so as Waukesha County goes, so goes Wiley. It's trending Dem at a dignified and deliberate pace, but is still comfortably Pub. It could trend the other way, if the Pubs tire of their infatuation with nationalist populism and fear of people not like themselves, but that is not likely to happen until the current Pub coalition ceases to be competitive, thereby forcing a course correction.

The giveaway is the German heavy suburban theme. I also wondered whether the chic burbs were the inner or outer ones. In Waukesha, they are the inner ones. That means Dem trending. If the reverse, that would probably not be the case.

I don't have a county in mind. A place that describes a place like Rockland or Orange in NY would be interesting with disparate cohorts of voters trending in disparate ways, with different growth patterns.

[Sol]

Reviving this, and following Torie's suggestion!

Name: Oldenburgh City
Location: Virginia
Population: 24,000
Demographics: 70% White (mostly English ancestry), 20% Black (ADOS), 7% Asian (largely Filipino)
MHI: $48,000
Geography: Strongly split between a heavily white and extremely affluent north side, and the smaller, extremely working class and overwhelmingly Black south side. It's an old colonial-era independent city with lots of historic buildings. It's close enough to Richmond to be a desirable location for affluent commuters, and many of the homes in its historic downtown are worth millions of dollars. The north side of the city, once more rural, has seen mushrooming exurban growth with many McMansions popping up. The South Side, separated from the city by railroad tracks, has seen little investment, and the primary source of good local jobs is the state prison just over the county line.

[It’s so Joever]

2000: Bush+33
2004: Bush +39
2008: McCain+30
2012: Romney+31
2016: Trump+28
2020:Trump+23

Safe R on the local level but definitely trending left.

Name: Berkshire County
Location: Ohio
Population: 120,000
Demographics: 90% White, 4% Black, 6% Other
MHI: 58,000$
Story:

Once a relatively rural and sparsely populated area, the first major activity in the county was agricultural and a lot of Amish people moved to the area. It takes parts of Ashtabula, Geauga, and Lake County irl. In 1874, Meadows University was established. Originally a religious institution, it over time secularized like most other universities and is now a highly ranked liberal arts university based in the college town of Chardon. However, there still remains immediately outside of the university a stubborn and rapidly growing Amish population which represents about 25% of the population. Meanwhile, the Cleveland exurbs have begun to spread out to Berkshire, with a plurality of the population now living in on of these recent exurban developments.

[OBD]

This county would be safely Republican and despite the presence of a college town. The blue island of Chardon and the rural remainder of the county would provide countervailing trends - bottom line, the county swings considerably to the right from 2008 to 2016 as the bottom falls out for Democrats in Ohio's rurals, but is beginning to balance out at around 62-36 GOP.

Name: Darshana (formerly Wasco) County
Location: Oregon
County Seat (and largest city): Rajneeshpuram (formerly The Dalles)
Population: 66,000
Demographics: 51% Asian (overwhelmingly South Asian), 35% White, 9% Hispanic, 3% Native, 2% Other
MHI: $20,000

This county, formerly a sleepy rural backwater just east of the Cascades, achieved international notoriety once the Rajneeshe religious sect successfuly seized control the county government in 1985 amid allegations of voter fraud and intimidation. Following what locals refer to as the 'Coup of 1985', the Rajneeshees consolidated power and spurred massive immigration to their community in southeast Wasco County, gradually spreading as far north as Dufur while the majority-Anglo town of The Dalles became a bastion of the intracounty opposition to the Rajneeshees. In addition, they were responsible for the creation of a massive gambling empire, whose economic boons persuaded local and federal authorities to largely leave them alone as the region underwent a tourist boom. Despite widespread outcry in Eastern Oregon, the state government in Salem was unable to effectively mount opposition to the Rajneeshees, who by 2000 had renamed the county and moved the county seat to the heart of their settlements. In recent years, various white supremacist groups have led efforts to wrest control of Darshana/Wasco County from the Rajneeshees, with formerly nonexistent settlements such as Chenowith and Petersburg becoming bustling offshoots of The Dalles, while extraordinarily high birth rates among the Rajneeshees themselves have allowed them to maintain a slim majority of the population (though thanks to a tilted population pyramid, they have lost majority control of the voting population). Sectarian violence and allegations of voter fraud are regular occurrences in this broken county, sometimes even spilling over onto the key trade arteries of I-84 and US 197 (so much to the point that following the 2008 I-84 car bombing, USDOT reportedly considered rerouting the interstate into Washington) with only the wealthy vacationer's outpost of Mosier spared from the chaos.  

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

This county would be very reliably Dem voting, but with a strong R floor around 35-40%. The Rajneesh movement would be opposed to the Christian Right, with this combining with other elements in the county to provide Dems with the votes they need to have a secure hold on the county.

Name: Pershing (formerly Berlin) County
Location: Wisconsin
County Seat (and largest city): Wilhelmsburg
Population: 146,000
Demographics: 84% White, 7% Latino, 3% Black, 2% Asian, 4% Other
MHI: $35,000

This county was settled by immigrants from Prussia, particularly from the area around Berlin (which supplied its name to the county). Its county seat's name was changed in order to solicit German foreign investment in the late 19th century. The county's name changed during WW1 through a special act of the State Legislature. The county seat's name was briefly changed to Somme, but this turned out to be very unpopular among Germans and it was changed back in 1926.

The county has always had a significant progressive tradition (with some of its earliest residents being 48ers). Education has always been important. Berlin University, founded in 1877 in the county seat of (what was then called) Wagnertown, has long been among the most liberal universities in the country, stereotypically. Contrary to popular belief, the student body is moderate to center-left overall (and not hard left), but this has not stopped many coming to the county for a "progressive environment". Some call the county seat the "People's Republic of Wilhelmsburg". The county seat has a mix of industry (which has mostly gone overseas now), tourism, agriculture-related business, and government jobs courtesy of the county government (which is among the more expansive relative to other Wisconsin counties).

Some Amish have moved in to the county as well. The more rural outer portions have became home to a significant Amish population over the past fifteen years, and now roughly 10% of the county is Amish. In some townships in the relatively more conservative northern portions, Amish easily are more than two-thirds of the population. In the more rural parts of the county, agriculture predominates, with farms being the norm. Some produce beer, and locals are very proud of their "Berlin beer". Forestry used to be an industry in the more rural parts, but overharvesting killed it and the last sawmill closed in 1953. Forests have since grown back somewhat.

The German culture is still strong. Around 10 percent can still speak German, and many locally call themselves "Prussian", informally. The local newspaper is called the "Pershing Prussian", and it first launched an online site in 2013. The community's German character has won it some international attention, particularly in Germany, where it is a fairly popular destination for Germans visiting America. As other sectors have continued to decline, the county has grown more and more reliant on tourism and higher education, which has became increasingly more prominent. The county's population has been largely the same for the past fifty years, stagnant. Nonetheless, the county's population grew 6 percent from 2010 to 2020, heralding improved economic prospects for a long-somewhat-struggling county.