Who would a single-issue pro-rights-for-blacks voter vote for in each election?
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  Who would a single-issue pro-rights-for-blacks voter vote for in each election?
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Author Topic: Who would a single-issue pro-rights-for-blacks voter vote for in each election?  (Read 1267 times)
darklordoftech
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« on: December 25, 2020, 11:35:49 PM »

Here’s what I think:

1796: Adams
1800: Adams
1804: Pinckney
1808: Pinckney
1812: Clinton
1816: King
1824: Adams
1828: Adams
1832: Wirt
1836: Webster
1840: Unsure
1844: Unsure
1848: Van Buren
1852: Scott
1856: Fremont
1860: Lincoln
1864: Lincoln
1868: Grant
1872: Grant
1876: Hayes
1880: Garfield
1884: Blaine
1888: Harrison
1892: Harrison
1896: McKinley
1900: McKinley
1904: Roosevelt
1908: Taft
1912: Taft, Roosevelt, or Debs
1916: Hughes
1920: Harding or Debs
1924: Coolidge or La Follete
1928: Unsure
1932: Unsure
1936: Landon
1940: Willkie
1944: Dewey
1948: Truman, Dewey, or Wallace
1952: Eisenhower
1956: Eisenhower
1960: Unsure
1964: Johnson
1968: Humphrey
1972: McGovern
1976: Unsure
1980: Carter or Anderson
1984: Mondale
1988: Dukakis
1992: Clinton or Perot
1996: Unsure
2000: Gore or Nader
2004: Kerry
2008: Obama
2012: Obama
2016: Clinton
2020: Biden
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Catalyst138
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« Reply #1 on: December 26, 2020, 11:47:39 AM »

I think in general this person would be a solid Republican in the 19th century, a swing voter from 1904 until the Civil Rights Act, and a solid Democrat post-1964.
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darklordoftech
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« Reply #2 on: December 26, 2020, 09:28:22 PM »

a swing voter from 1904 until the Civil Rights Act
Why 1904?
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Catalyst138
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« Reply #3 on: December 26, 2020, 09:39:15 PM »


I don’t know, I really just chose a date around when the two parties were jumbled up in terms of social issues. It could be 1896 or 1912 or whatever, just around the turn of the century.
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darklordoftech
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« Reply #4 on: December 26, 2020, 09:46:43 PM »


I don’t know, I really just chose a date around when the two parties were jumbled up in terms of social issues. It could be 1896 or 1912 or whatever, just around the turn of the century.
I’m pretty sure Republicans were consistently better for civil rights until 1928.
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DabbingSanta
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« Reply #5 on: December 26, 2020, 10:10:40 PM »
« Edited: December 26, 2020, 10:14:48 PM by DabbingSanta »


I don’t know, I really just chose a date around when the two parties were jumbled up in terms of social issues. It could be 1896 or 1912 or whatever, just around the turn of the century.
I’m pretty sure Republicans were consistently better for civil rights until 1928.

I believe the first Democrat to win a large majority of African American votes was Roosevelt in 1936.  Key group in the New Deal coalition which lasted for generations.

I should add Republicans remained competitive in some senate/gubernatorial elections with black voters into the 1960s and early 70s, especially in the South. 
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The Mikado
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« Reply #6 on: December 27, 2020, 02:47:00 PM »

The black vote was overwhelmingly GOP through the 1920s, swung heavily Dem in the 1930s in reaction to the Depression and New Deal, modestly swung back in the 1950s to a swing constituency (Ike got nearly 40% of the black vote in 1956), and swung extremely heavily Dem in the 1960s and basically never looked back.
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darklordoftech
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« Reply #7 on: December 27, 2020, 08:05:55 PM »

The black vote was overwhelmingly GOP through the 1920s, swung heavily Dem in the 1930s in reaction to the Depression and New Deal, modestly swung back in the 1950s to a swing constituency (Ike got nearly 40% of the black vote in 1956), and swung extremely heavily Dem in the 1960s and basically never looked back.
The black vote wasn’t single-issue anti-segregation, as indicated by 1936, 1940, 1944, 1952, and 1956.
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H. Ross Peron
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« Reply #8 on: December 27, 2020, 09:21:15 PM »

Republican 1856 to 1932, except perhaps for the Progressives in 1912
Democratic since 1936 with the possible exception of Eisenhower in 1956
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #9 on: December 28, 2020, 01:44:55 PM »

Republican 1856 to 1932, except perhaps for the Progressives in 1912
Democratic since 1936 with the possible exception of Eisenhower in 1956

Actually if you were gonna vote for Eisenhower and were primarily concerned with black rights, it would make more sense to vote for him in 1952 when a Southern segregationist was on the Democratic ticket as VP.

In truth though it’s not even as simple as that; though it is roughly right, there were some elections between Reconstruction and the Depression in which you could argue the Democratic candidate was better for black people or at least no worse than the Republican. And the black vote wasn’t a monolith; I remember reading a newspaper ad taken out by a group of black Democrats supporting William Jennings Bryan and denouncing McKinley. And Wilson actually got decent black support in 1912, including from W.E.B. DuBois. Some felt betrayed when he resegregated the federal government though.
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Idaho Conservative
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« Reply #10 on: January 24, 2021, 01:15:38 AM »

Why Adams over Jefferson?
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Secretary of State Liberal Hack
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« Reply #11 on: January 25, 2021, 08:42:26 AM »

Isn't it obvious? Federalists had a stronger anti-slavery wing than the democratic-republicans
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Idaho Conservative
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« Reply #12 on: January 25, 2021, 07:47:49 PM »

Isn't it obvious? Federalists had a stronger anti-slavery wing than the democratic-republicans
I thought slavery was basically a non-issue then, politically speaking.
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darklordoftech
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« Reply #13 on: January 25, 2021, 07:50:26 PM »

Isn't it obvious? Federalists had a stronger anti-slavery wing than the democratic-republicans
I thought slavery was basically a non-issue then, politically speaking.
Adams made his opposition to slavery clear while Jefferson owned slaves.
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Idaho Conservative
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« Reply #14 on: January 26, 2021, 02:14:01 AM »

Isn't it obvious? Federalists had a stronger anti-slavery wing than the democratic-republicans
I thought slavery was basically a non-issue then, politically speaking.
Adams made his opposition to slavery clear while Jefferson owned slaves.
I long favored Jefferson, but think I'd have voted Adams tbh
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jfern
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« Reply #15 on: January 26, 2021, 02:25:53 AM »

Here are some that differ (or are filled in) from OP.

1840: Van Buren
1844: Clay
1928: Hoover
1932: Hoover
1936: FDR
1960: Kennedy
1976: Carter
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