Israel General Elections || 23.03.2021

[Mike88]

This is going to end up with another election in September, isn't it?

[Mike88]

This scenario, literally impossible, was polled:

https://twitter.com/ElectsWorld/status/1344250385150701569

Still interesting, though.

[Mike88]

So New Hope is without any hope?

[Mike88]

Is there a live feed to follow the exit polls?

[Mike88]

Rumours Bibi bloc with Yamina is 61.

Also it seems Labour might be on the edge.

Also it seems that only Likud and YA in double figures

That doesn't seem a very clear majority for Bibi. Rumours seem to be contradictory.

[Mike88]

Is there a live feed to follow the exit polls?

Never mind. Found them:

https://www.mako.co.il/tv-live/Article-3bf5c3a8e967f51006.htm

https://13tv.co.il/live/

[Mike88]

Turnout at 60.9% at 8pm. Minus 4.7% compared with March 2020.

[Mike88]

I assume polls close 10PM ?

Yep, just 40 minutes from now.

[Mike88]

Channel 12 exit poll:

31 Likud
18 YA

New Hope at 6

Anti-Bibi Bloc 59
Bibi bloc 53
Yamina 8

[Mike88]

I thought you guys said the results were shocking?

Einstein never said this, of course, but it sums up really well this election:
"The definition of insanity is to do the same thing over and over and expect different results."

[Mike88]

By the way, Channel 11 now projects Ra'am may pass the threshold LOL.

Kan 11 projects the Anti-Bibi bloc at 60 and Bibi's bloc at 53. But based on the results counted so far, it's still to early to project if Yair Lapid has a real shot to be PM. But, one thing is certain, Netanyahu's gamble failed.

[Mike88]

After 417K votes counted (%):
Likud: 25.91
Yesh Atid: 11.43
Shas: 8.69
UTJ: 8.47
Beitenu: 6.1
Yamina: 5.86
Blue And White: 5.69
Religious Zionism: 5.36
Labour: 5.19
Joint List: 4.3
New Hope: 4.29
RAAM: 3.65
Meretz: 3.54

Seats with the votes already counted:

Likud: 33
Yesh Atid: 14
Shas: 11
UTJ: 11
Beitenu: 7
Yamina: 7
Blue And White: 7
Religious Zionism: 6
Labour: 6
Joint List: 5
New Hope: 5
RAAM: 4
Meretz: 4

[Mike88]

What?? I'll drink what his drinking.

[Mike88]

When's the vote reporting guy waking up and giving us more results

I thought this was a joke, but it seems it is a real thing: xD

https://twitter.com/EylonALevy/status/1374719616967147520

[Mike88]

This fiasco today is incredibly insane. There's a spin within a spin on a spin.

The Likud Party is basically a crime family at this point, and I'd be happy to see a military coup.

What happened?

[Mike88]

Bibi completed a royal cave-in, after realizing the SC will admonish him on live television and say the rotation agreement is in full force, Bibi backs down and agrees to the appointment of Gantz as Minister of Justice.

His days are numbered

Jesus. The coalition deal being a legal document for Likud is hilarious. It's obvious that until a new cabinet is sworn in, everything is done by the what was agreed in the previous government, thus the term interim.

He's toasted but who's next in line to be PM? From what I read, Lapid is a bit stuck too.

[Mike88]

This is turning into a full blown Mexican soap opera.

[Mike88]

Ministries that look like a done deal:
Bennet- PM
Lapid- Foreign
Lieberman- Finance
Karin Elharar (YA)- Communications
Zandberg (Meretz)- Environmental Protection

Pretty sure that Defense for Gantz, Justice for Sa'ar, Education for Shasha Biton and Home for Shaked is very, very likely too, but you never know.

Didn't Lapid get the mandate from the President to be PM?

[Mike88]

Ministries that look like a done deal:
Bennet- PM
Lapid- Foreign
Lieberman- Finance
Karin Elharar (YA)- Communications
Zandberg (Meretz)- Environmental Protection

Pretty sure that Defense for Gantz, Justice for Sa'ar, Education for Shasha Biton and Home for Shaked is very, very likely too, but you never know.

Didn't Lapid get the mandate from the President to be PM?

Yeah, but it'll probably be a rotation with Bennet for 2 years and Lapid for the next 2.

Oh, right, the agreement will be similar with those in the 80's between Likud and Alignment.

[Mike88]

Rumours Lapid will announce the government on Monday

Will it be, or is expected to be, a rotation government between Lapid and Bennett or a full term Lapid led cabinet?

[Mike88]

Ra'am signed!

So, it's done. But, nothing is 100% certain until next week's confidence vote, right?

[Mike88]

It has been discussed in the Israeli election thread: https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=419779.875

[Mike88]

Is that a promise?

https://twitter.com/Jerusalem_Post/status/1400825370212024326

Yeah, no doubt, if Netanyahu is forced out of office, Keir Starmer's Labour will start leading the polls by 20% and Boris will be gone. No doubt.

But seriously, this guy thinks very highly of himself. Jesus!

[Mike88]

https://www.nytimes.com/2021/06/02/world/middleeast/netanyahu-bennett-israel-coalition.html

Surprised no one seems to be talking about this here yet.

You do realize that pages upon pages of discussion on this have been almost the entirety of this thread for several months, right?

To be fair, he originally posted that on the International General Discussion forum, then it was merged with this thread.

[Mike88]

Thank God it passed in the Knesset. Now let's hope it will be stable and lasts.