48-state landslide-- all but GA, VT?
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  48-state landslide-- all but GA, VT?
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Author Topic: 48-state landslide-- all but GA, VT?  (Read 1344 times)
SingingAnalyst
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« on: December 10, 2020, 02:27:16 AM »

Inspired by a comment under General Discussion, I pose the following question:

Sometime in the next 20 years, a Presidential ticket wins a 48-state landslide-- winning every state except Georgia and Vermont.

(Both states have some history of casting lonely votes for losers-- just not in the same elections!)

What happened? Maybe a mishap involving peaches and maple syrup? Lol.

(Feel free to substitute any other Southern and/or New England state if that works better).
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The Impartial Spectator
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« Reply #1 on: December 10, 2020, 02:06:56 PM »

What happened in this case would probably be that America has descended into some form of authoritarian dictatorship and free and fair elections are only still held in a handful of states, among them Georgia and Vermont. In other states, "elections" continue to be held only for the sake of appearances/tradition, but their results are a foregone conclusion.
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #2 on: December 10, 2020, 03:10:48 PM »

Inspired by a comment under General Discussion, I pose the following question:

Sometime in the next 20 years, a Presidential ticket wins a 48-state landslide-- winning every state except Georgia and Vermont.

(Both states have some history of casting lonely votes for losers-- just not in the same elections!)

What happened? Maybe a mishap involving peaches and maple syrup? Lol.

(Feel free to substitute any other Southern and/or New England state if that works better).

What do you mean "lonely votes for losers"?
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Alcibiades
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« Reply #3 on: December 10, 2020, 03:27:00 PM »

Substituting AL for GA, Phil Scott somehow wins the GOP nomination, is thrashed in a landslide due to severe lack of base enthusiasm and/or a scandal, only winning his home state and AL due to racial polarisation/partisanship.

(Obviously not anywhere approaching realistic.)
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ExtremeRepublican
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« Reply #4 on: December 10, 2020, 05:15:00 PM »

Georgia flips pretty solidly blue in the 2020s and early 2030s, but there is still an ultraconservative base comprising 45% of the population.  Somehow or another, an actual movement that leads to conservatives leaving the state forms in the 2030s.  The 2040 election features an extremely popular Republican incumbent who holds most Trump 2020 voters, but also wins a majority of Hispanics and regains upscale college-educated white voters (but not downscale whites with a degree).  However, this Republican president doesn't do well with the black community or secular, non-wealthy whites from New England.  Because so many conservatives have left Georgia, even improvements with remaining moderates in suburban Atlanta aren't enough for Georgia to flip back Republican.  The Republican wins 48 states, losing Georgia and Vermont (plus DC).
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lfromnj
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« Reply #5 on: December 10, 2020, 09:54:45 PM »

Georgia flips pretty solidly blue in the 2020s and early 2030s, but there is still an ultraconservative base comprising 45% of the population.  Somehow or another, an actual movement that leads to conservatives leaving the state forms in the 2030s.  The 2040 election features an extremely popular Republican incumbent who holds most Trump 2020 voters, but also wins a majority of Hispanics and regains upscale college-educated white voters (but not downscale whites with a degree).  However, this Republican president doesn't do well with the black community or secular, non-wealthy whites from New England.  Because so many conservatives have left Georgia, even improvements with remaining moderates in suburban Atlanta aren't enough for Georgia to flip back Republican.  The Republican wins 48 states, losing Georgia and Vermont (plus DC).

The only question left is why Maryland flips.
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SingingAnalyst
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« Reply #6 on: December 26, 2020, 08:01:38 AM »

Inspired by a comment under General Discussion, I pose the following question:

Sometime in the next 20 years, a Presidential ticket wins a 48-state landslide-- winning every state except Georgia and Vermont.

(Both states have some history of casting lonely votes for losers-- just not in the same elections!)

What happened? Maybe a mishap involving peaches and maple syrup? Lol.

(Feel free to substitute any other Southern and/or New England state if that works better).

What do you mean "lonely votes for losers"?
Vermont for Landon, Ford, and Kerry; Georgia for Stevenson, Goldwater, G. Wallace, Carter (1980), and Dole.
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SingingAnalyst
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« Reply #7 on: December 26, 2020, 08:08:08 AM »

Georgia flips pretty solidly blue in the 2020s and early 2030s, but there is still an ultraconservative base comprising 45% of the population.  Somehow or another, an actual movement that leads to conservatives leaving the state forms in the 2030s.  The 2040 election features an extremely popular Republican incumbent who holds most Trump 2020 voters, but also wins a majority of Hispanics and regains upscale college-educated white voters (but not downscale whites with a degree).  However, this Republican president doesn't do well with the black community or secular, non-wealthy whites from New England.  Because so many conservatives have left Georgia, even improvements with remaining moderates in suburban Atlanta aren't enough for Georgia to flip back Republican.  The Republican wins 48 states, losing Georgia and Vermont (plus DC).

The only question left is why Maryland flips.
Good question. Perhaps a MD Republican is on the ticket.
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