NV-GOV 2022: Sisolak vs. Lombardo

[VAR]

https://twitter.com/ColtonLochhead/status/1334553883310350337

[President Johnson]

Governor Sisolak should be favored, but it will be competitive. Lean Democratic.

[MT Treasurer]

Sisolak may win, but I really don’t buy that this is much less winnable (or at all less winnable) for the GOP than GA. Toss-up for now.

[Xing]

This will probably track the Senate race closely, with Sisolak possibly overperforming Masto by a bit. Lean D for now.

[JMT]

I feel like Amodei is likely to run for Governor. As the article mentions, he dislikes DC, and this would provide him with a good opportunity to return to Nevada and run statewide.

The article mentions Adam Laxalt as a possible candidate for Governor as well. Although, if Amodei runs for Governor, maybe Laxalt would run for Amodei's open House seat? Seems like a safer bet, given it is a Safe Republican district, and he would avoid a primary with Amodei.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Sisolak and CCM will easily win

[Figueira]

Amodei would be much better served to go for sense I think. Sisolak isn’t unpopular iirc and governors just about never lose.

I wish more people understood this.

[Skill and Chance]

I actually think Sisolak is pretty vulnerable.  He only won by 4 in the 2018 wave and there's clearly a contingent of normally Dem voters ticked off about the extended closures in Vegas.

[Young Conservative]

When is the last time a governor with a positive approval rating on election day lost to a challenger?*

*I already know Maryland 2006 is a good example.

[YE]

Tossup because Sisolak isn’t popular recently and Amodei has a strong base in Washoe.

[VAR]

Tossup because Sisolak isn’t popular recently and Amodei has a strong base in Washoe.

Why exactly is that? Amodei won Washoe County in both 2018 and 2020 while Rosen and Biden won it easily.

[YE]

Tossup because Sisolak isn’t popular recently and Amodei has a strong base in Washoe.

Why exactly is that? Amodei won Washoe County in both 2018 and 2020 while Rosen and Biden won it easily.

Because Amodei was a longtime suburban state legislator from a region that’s pretty elastic and always seems to have no problem winning it at the Congressional level.

[Flyersfan232]

Tossup because Sisolak isn’t popular recently and Amodei has a strong base in Washoe.

Do the sos happen to live in amodei district?

[YE]

Tossup because Sisolak isn’t popular recently and Amodei has a strong base in Washoe.

Do the sos happen to live in amodei district?

No. Her old state senate seat is in one of the few educated suburbs in Las Vegas and has now flipped hands.

[Flyersfan232]

Tossup because Sisolak isn’t popular recently and Amodei has a strong base in Washoe.

Do the sos happen to live in amodei district?

No. Her old state senate seat is in one of the few educated suburbs in Las Vegas and has now flipped hands.

Speaking of her again what her plans for 2022?

[YE]

Tossup because Sisolak isn’t popular recently and Amodei has a strong base in Washoe.

Do the sos happen to live in amodei district?

No. Her old state senate seat is in one of the few educated suburbs in Las Vegas and has now flipped hands.

Speaking of her again what her plans for 2022?

She’s also like 69 and termed out of her SOS office.

[Flyersfan232]

Tossup because Sisolak isn’t popular recently and Amodei has a strong base in Washoe.

Do the sos happen to live in amodei district?

No. Her old state senate seat is in one of the few educated suburbs in Las Vegas and has now flipped hands.

Speaking of her again what her plans for 2022?

She’s also like 69 and termed out of her SOS office.

I mean the president is 78

[Real Texan Politics]

Tossup because Sisolak isn’t popular recently and Amodei has a strong base in Washoe.

Do the sos happen to live in amodei district?

No. Her old state senate seat is in one of the few educated suburbs in Las Vegas and has now flipped hands.

Speaking of her again what her plans for 2022?

She’s also like 69 and termed out of her SOS office.

I mean the president is 78

He can still run for another term though.

[Joe Republic]

Mayor of North Las Vegas John Lee is in.

He made a "dramatic" ( ) switch from Dem to GQP just last month.  Served in the Assembly and Senate until defeated in a primary for re-election.

I'm proud to say I called this one two days early!  (Though sadly not here...)  His Twitter feed had been quiet and sporadic right up until his party switch.  Then suddenly he's on it every day or so, mainly attacking Sisolak and those dastardly socialist Democrats, and then making it really obvious by embarking on a random tour of all 17 counties... totally normal behavior for a city mayor.

[Utah Neolib]

My take: Toss-up. Sisolak angered some people in Clark County that were part of the Reid Machine by his restrictions. Clark County will still go blue, but by a narrower margin. Washoe could flip. Both Sisolak and Amodei have a good chance at the governorship.

[Joe Republic]

12 hours after announcing his bid, John Lee is off to a great start:





He’s 65 years old and still hadn’t got the vaccine.

[LabourJersey]

Mayor of North Las Vegas John Lee is in.

He made a "dramatic" ( ) switch from Dem to GQP just last month.  Served in the Assembly and Senate until defeated in a primary for re-election.

I'm proud to say I called this one two days early!  (Though sadly not here...)  His Twitter feed had been quiet and sporadic right up until his party switch.  Then suddenly he's on it every day or so, mainly attacking Sisolak and those dastardly socialist Democrats, and then making it really obvious by embarking on a random tour of all 17 counties... totally normal behavior for a city mayor.

A tour of all counties seems dumb in a state like Nevada. Doesn't something like 85% of the population live in either Clark, Washoe or Carson City?

[Joe Republic]

A tour of all counties seems dumb in a state like Nevada. Doesn't something like 85% of the population live in either Clark, Washoe or Carson City?

Correct, but it's good for any candidate running statewide to put on a dog and pony show and pretend to care about the rurals.

Plus, running up the margins out there could be decisive in the GOP primary.

[Flyersfan232]

A tour of all counties seems dumb in a state like Nevada. Doesn't something like 85% of the population live in either Clark, Washoe or Carson City?

Correct, but it's good for any candidate running statewide to put on a dog and pony show and pretend to care about the rurals.

Plus, running up the margins out there could be decisive in the GOP primary.

they matter in primaries and if amodei runs lee will need the rurals

[Joe Republic]

Clark County Sheriff Joe Lombardo, already widely rumored to be jumping in, looks set to do so soon.  He is likely the frontrunner, given the team of consultants he already has on board, plus fmr Lt Gov Mark Hutchison as his campaign chair.


https://twitter.com/TheNVIndy/status/1395517900350377986?s=20