MD-SEN 2022: Hogan not running

[MT Treasurer]

https://apnews.com/article/donald-trump-larry-hogan-maryland-mitch-mcconnell-congress-0f370b28db8afacfbb41ba72d1954ee1

[Canis]

Van Hollen would crush Hogan if he challenged him lol we already know what happens when a popular governor challenges a senator theirs a huge difference between state and federal races
Here are some notable examples
MT Sen 2020 Bullock Crushed

TN Sen 2018 Breadesen Crushed

NE Sen 2012 Kerrey Crushed

WI Sen 2012 Thompson Crushed

VA Sen 2012 Allen Crushed

HI Sen 2012 Lingle Crushed

MA sen 1996 Weld Crushed

I also don't think Hogan runs because its clear he wants to run in 2024 and if he ran for MD sen hed have to move to the left again and hed have a very low chance of success and if his argument going into the 2024 primary is "I'm a Republican who got elected in one of the bluest states in the country" and if he gets crushed 2 years before in that state it would destroy his argument.

[Arizona Iced Tea]

Hogan would lose against Van Hollen for sure, but I think he has a chance if it is an open seat.

[If my soul was made of stone]

As with Bullock and others, as popular as Hogan is, nationalization ultimately rules in Senate races. Voters would be much colder to the idea of him as an additional vote for Senate Republicans than as a check on a legislature that's been consistently controlled by Democrats for a century. I doubt his endorsements of Republican Senate candidates as of late have helped him among those paying attention, and even in a GOP-friendly midterm Van Hollen's team wouldn't have a hard time tying some of his more partisan stances (which aren't hard to find, contrary to his reputation) to highly unpopular national GOP figures. I'm pretty sure he won't run and is instead saving everything for 2024 (when he'll inevitably burn out incredibly quickly), but like Bullock he would only marginally outperform a generic candidate under the circumstances.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Hogan wants to run for Prez anyways

[S019]

It would probably be Lean D with Hogan, but his comments about the Senate race in GA suggest that he is probably not eyeing this Senate race, anyways, if he were to run, this would probably be right with or even slightly likelier than CO, in terms of GOP pickup opportunies, AZ, NV, and NH would still be better opportunities for them, but if the candidate is particularly bad in CO, this could jump to the 4th pickup opportunity for the GOP, if Hogan runs

[Suburbia]

Hogan has no political future after his term expires in 2023

Hogan has no path to the GOP nomination in 2024

Hogan will not run for Senate in 2022

He should be RNC chair if the GOP abandons Trumpism

That's how far he'll go

[Frenchrepublican]

Van Hollen would still win by double digits, something like 56/42 and I doubt that Hogan will run anyway

[Pollster]

Only way I could see Hogan making this somewhat close is if he runs as an independent and promises to caucus with whatever party is in the majority to "increase Maryland's influence nationally and his ability to deliver for the state."

Even then, hard to see Van Hollen losing unless Biden has an approval rating lower than 30% or something.

[Not Me, Us]

I doubt Hogan'll run. It seems like he's set on a suicidal run for President in 2024.

[Girlytree]

https://mobile.twitter.com/CATargetBot/status/1428782791685115904

[Progressive Pessimist]

Van Hollen has absolutely nothing to worry about from Hogan in a state that exists almost as a microcosm of the Democratic Party. This is like a reverse Hassan vs. Sununu situation.

[Xing]

Safe D, the end.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

https://news.yahoo.com/larry-hogan-ponders-maryland-senate-140900443.html


With Steele looking to run for Gov and Hogan it looks like it's gonna get competitive in MD, but it's still a 304 map

Get out your Act blue donations

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Safe D.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I wouldn't count out HOGAN or SUNUNU, SUNUNU leads this can be map

T SEN McMillan
cc SEN Hogan
SEN BEASLEY
SEN RYAN
SEN BARNES
SEN FETTERMAN
cc SEN Sununu
SEN DEMING'S

[If my soul was made of stone]

This clown deserves all the humiliation he can get after running this state into the ground on the back of suburban racism for the past six years.

If he actually runs and does better than Steele in '06, then I'll switch my voter registration to Republican.

[TML]

Is he aware of what happened to Mike Sullivan, Bill Weld, and Steve Bullock? That will be his likely fate should he decide to run here.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Is he aware of what happened to Mike Sullivan, Bill Weld, and Steve Bullock? That will be his likely fate should he decide to run here.

Linda Lingle, Phil Bredesen, etc., etc.

[Suburbia]

Is he aware of what happened to Mike Sullivan, Bill Weld, and Steve Bullock? That will be his likely fate should he decide to run here.

This.

Hogan has no political future, he will never be president. He should be an elder statesman for the MDGOP.

[Devils30]

Safe D, Hogan would outperform the GOP baseline by double-digits like Bredesen and still get clobbered.

[Suburbia]

Boyd Rutherford should run for this seat or ask Kelly Schultz or someone retain him as the running mate...

Safe D regardless and MD GOV is Likely D

[Non Swing Voter]

Why would he end his political career on such a low note when he can just retire a 2 term Gov.?

[Leroy McPherson fan]

Why not? Just don’t put any money into the campaign while Dems use their resources to defend it

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Lean R if Hogan and Steele gets the Nomination, and Safe D of OTHER GETS NOMINATED

Hogan is another Sununu