Early 2022 ratings for Senate and Governor

[NewYorkExpress]

Republicans easily win all Democratic held Senate seats except Hawaii, California, Oregon, New York, and Washington.

Honestly, if you're predicting that strong a Republican wave, I'd give them Washington and Oregon too.

[NewYorkExpress]

I'm also not going to bother with Governor's ratings, but I'm willing to share my Senate ratings.

Alabama: Safe R

Alaska: Lean R (though I'd be surprised if Lisa Murkowski ends up running.)

Arizona: Lean R(flip)

Arkansas: Safe R

California: Safe D

Colorado: Lean D

Connecticut: Likely D

Florida: Lean R

Georgia: Lean R (possible flip if Warnock wins next month)

Hawaii: Safe D

Idaho: Safe R

Indiana: Likely R (I could drop it to lean R if Pete Buttigeig jumps in)

Iowa: Lean R

Kansas: Safe R (Though if Laura Kelly runs here instead of for reelection as Governor, I can put Kansas at Lean R at worst)

Kentucky: Safe R

Louisiana: Safe R

Maryland: Safe D (though if Larry Hogan actually runs, I'd have it as Likely D)

Missouri: Likely R

Nevada: Tossup

New Hampshire: Tossup (if Chris Sunnunu follows through and runs, it's Likely R)

New York: Safe D

North Carolina: Lean R

North Dakota: Safe R

Ohio: Likely R

Oklahoma: Safe R

Oregon: Safe D

Pennsylvania: Tossup

South Carolina: Lean R

South Dakota: Safe R

Utah: Safe R

Vermont: Safe D (though if Phil Scott runs, it's Likely D, and if Scott runs and Pat Leahy doesn't, it's Lean D )

Washington: Safe D

Wisconsin: Tossup

[NewYorkExpress]