Why GOP stronger in urban Nevada
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  Why GOP stronger in urban Nevada
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Author Topic: Why GOP stronger in urban Nevada  (Read 2929 times)
ηєω ƒяσηтιєя
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #25 on: November 24, 2020, 12:17:57 PM »

I never got this either especially with the high Latino population.

Latino != Democratic. The best example of this was the presidential election this year in Florida.
Latinos in FL are more varied in terms of ethnicity/nationality.

Most Latinos in NV are of Mexican ancestry. Mexican-Americans are generally among the most pro-Democratic Party voter base. However, obviously, Mexican-Americans aren't monolithic at all and Clark County, NV isn't just Las Vegas.
Imperial County, CA, Santa Cruz County, AZ, New Mexico, and the Rio Grande Valley beg to differ.
Um, what are you trying to say lol? Nothing you said changes my statement.
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Bomster
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« Reply #26 on: November 24, 2020, 12:25:03 PM »

I never got this either especially with the high Latino population.

Latino != Democratic. The best example of this was the presidential election this year in Florida.
Latinos in FL are more varied in terms of ethnicity/nationality.

Most Latinos in NV are of Mexican ancestry. Mexican-Americans are generally among the most pro-Democratic Party voter base. However, obviously, Mexican-Americans aren't monolithic at all and Clark County, NV isn't just Las Vegas.
Imperial County, CA, Santa Cruz County, AZ, New Mexico, and the Rio Grande Valley beg to differ.
Um, what are you trying to say lol? Nothing you said changes my statement.
Sorry, I was just trying to make the point that across the board Mexican-Americans trended to the right.
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支持核绿派 (Greens4Nuclear)
khuzifenq
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« Reply #27 on: November 24, 2020, 01:24:34 PM »

I never got this either especially with the high Latino population.

Latino != Democratic. The best example of this was the presidential election this year in Florida.
Latinos in FL are more varied in terms of ethnicity/nationality.

Most Latinos in NV are of Mexican ancestry. Mexican-Americans are generally among the most pro-Democratic Party voter base. However, obviously, Mexican-Americans aren't monolithic at all and Clark County, NV isn't just Las Vegas.
Imperial County, CA, Santa Cruz County, AZ, New Mexico, and the Rio Grande Valley beg to differ.
Um, what are you trying to say lol? Nothing you said changes my statement.
Sorry, I was just trying to make the point that across the board Mexican-Americans trended to the right.

New Mexico and RGV Latinos aren’t necessarily “Mexican”. As in, they aren’t part of immigrant waves from Mexico. But yeah, heavily Mexican areas seem to have swung R this year.
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BRTD
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« Reply #28 on: November 24, 2020, 02:28:00 PM »

One good point I heard is that Covid has really out a damper on the service industry unions and their organizing, which is a huge part of the Democratic machine there.
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BaldEagle1991
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« Reply #29 on: November 24, 2020, 08:53:23 PM »

1. It's a tourism town. There's no tourism there anymore. Lockdowns caused Vegas to have one of the highest unemployment rates in the country. No-brainer that Trump's lockdown talk played well here.

2. The pandemic brought less savory characters to Vegas. Again, played into Trump's law and order message, which I noted would do well here a few months ago. Lots of gang fights, with Californians driving in for weekends and causing havoc. There were several viral videos of fights breaking out on the Strip and a surge in gun-related deaths, with people being shot and killed on Strip properties, which is honestly kind of unheard of.

3. Less educated (part of the tourism economy)  

4. It's also an economy that thrives on live entertainment (concerts, plays) and casinos. Both are mass gatherings and have been hurt by Covid.
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Sbane
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« Reply #30 on: November 24, 2020, 09:19:27 PM »


Neither is LA and it's a D bastion though
[/quote]

LA County swung to Trump.
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YE
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« Reply #31 on: November 25, 2020, 07:07:27 AM »
« Edited: November 28, 2020, 06:25:30 PM by YE »

It really isn’t despite the low education attainment and Biden’s underwhelming margins in the suburbs compared to my expectations here.

Edit: Las Vegas isn’t really “urbanized”. It’s sprawly and not particularly educated though reasonably unionized.
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vileplume
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« Reply #32 on: November 25, 2020, 08:05:16 AM »
« Edited: November 25, 2020, 08:08:58 AM by vileplume »

Nevada seems like the worst place for Biden... his appeal is not exactly populist, and his campaign did not center on messages that appeal to the needs of most Nevadans. As others have mentioned, lockdowns are terrible to tourism dependent economies (look at Hawaii also), and many people move to Las Vegas just to live a quiet life that they can afford, escaping the high cost of living of California.

Nevada was always a good fit for Trump... but thankfully enough Nevada voters feel a social pressure or affinity to the Democratic Party "tribe" identity that they won't vote for the GOP. Nevada didn't even swing towards Trump despite the appeal he should have had.

Throughout Latino working class communities we saw the opposite of college-educated suburbs where Trump overperformed at the top, but actually Democrats maintained their edge downballot.
It did swing towards him albeit only by 0.03%.

Downballot in Nevada House Dems ran practically the same as Biden. However they did lose 3 seats to the GOP in the State Assembly and 1 seat to them in the State Senate.
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ottermax
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« Reply #33 on: November 28, 2020, 06:15:36 PM »

Nevada seems like the worst place for Biden... his appeal is not exactly populist, and his campaign did not center on messages that appeal to the needs of most Nevadans. As others have mentioned, lockdowns are terrible to tourism dependent economies (look at Hawaii also), and many people move to Las Vegas just to live a quiet life that they can afford, escaping the high cost of living of California.

Nevada was always a good fit for Trump... but thankfully enough Nevada voters feel a social pressure or affinity to the Democratic Party "tribe" identity that they won't vote for the GOP. Nevada didn't even swing towards Trump despite the appeal he should have had.

Throughout Latino working class communities we saw the opposite of college-educated suburbs where Trump overperformed at the top, but actually Democrats maintained their edge downballot.
It did swing towards him albeit only by 0.03%.

Downballot in Nevada House Dems ran practically the same as Biden. However they did lose 3 seats to the GOP in the State Assembly and 1 seat to them in the State Senate.

Thank you, I'm sad to see Democrats underperforming downballot while the GOP seems to overperform downballot... but this is historically true too.... sigh.
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