If you only knew Colorado's presidential result ahead of time (Hypothetical)
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  If you only knew Colorado's presidential result ahead of time (Hypothetical)
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Author Topic: If you only knew Colorado's presidential result ahead of time (Hypothetical)  (Read 400 times)
Gracile
gracile
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Junior Chimp
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« on: February 02, 2021, 07:37:22 PM »

It is sometime before election day (let's say a month or so), and you somehow (magically/hypothetically) see the result of one state ahead of time, and it's Colorado. You know the margin by which Biden won the state and the results of each of Colorado's counties in the presidential race. You do not know the results in any other state or how Colorado voted in any other contests (Senate/House/state legislature/etc.).

What inferences would you make about the entire election's outcome based on your knowledge of only Colorado's presidential results? This could be what you think the final map would look like, the national popular vote, or results in other non-presidential contests.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #1 on: February 02, 2021, 07:47:31 PM »

I still wouldn't think much of it. It's been clear for awhile that the state is lurching left fast and it probably wouldn't reflect the national environment very much one way or the other.
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Chips
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: February 02, 2021, 10:23:23 PM »

Biden wins.
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Oregon Eagle Politics
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« Reply #3 on: February 03, 2021, 12:00:56 AM »

Biden-slide.
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Rocky2024
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« Reply #4 on: February 03, 2021, 01:38:14 AM »

I would have thought Biden might have actually pulled it out in Texas.
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