Who did you underestimate/overestimate?

[VAR]

Underestimated: Susan Collins (only slightly), John Cornyn/Young Kim/Chris Sununu (my favorite NUT maps), Steve Chabot, Steve Daines, Dan Sullivan

Overestimated: Jaime Harrison, Abby Finkenauer (because of that junk Monmouth poll), John James, Karen Handel, Claudia Tenney, Christy Smith, XTS

[Progressive Pessimist]

Overestimated: every single Democrat except for Brindisi, Golden, and Kim.

Underestimated: every single Republican with the exception of the ones who lost (or are probably going to lose) to the Democrats said previously. Susan Collins is probably the most noteworthy example though.

[S019]

Underestimate: John Cornyn, Mike Garcia, Tony Gonzales, Roger Marshall, David Schweikert


Overestimate: Cal Cunningham, Steve Bullock, Eugene DePasquale, Mark Kelly,

[Tekken_Guy]

Underestimate: Collins, Cornyn, Daines, Ernst, Gonzales, Marshall, Van Drew, Van Duyne

Overestimate: Cisneros, J. Cunningham, Finkenauer, Hart, McAdams, Mucarsel-Powell, Rose, Rouda, Shalala, C. Smith

[Roll Roons]

Under: Susan Collins, John James, Jim Oberweis, Scott Perry, Dave Schweikert, a lot of House Republicans in Texas (most notably Roy, Nehls, Gonzales and Van Duyne)

Over: Doug Collins, almost every Democratic Senate candidate apart from John Hickenlooper and Mike Espy, House Democrats in red districts (especially McAdams and Cunningham)

[Calthrina950]

For the Senate:

Underestimate: Susan Collins, John Cornyn, Steve Daines, Lindsey Graham, John James, Tommy Tuberville, Roger Marshall, Dan Sullivan, and Thom Tillis.

Overestimate: Every Democratic Senate candidate in a competitive race with the exception of John Hickenlooper.

For the House:

Underestimate: Every House Republican in Texas, Jeff Van Drew, Brian Fitzpatrick, the two Cuban Republicans in Florida, Ann Wagner, Victoria Spartz, Yvette Herrell, Young Kim, David Valadao, Lauren Boebert, Tony Gonzales.

Overestimate: Ben McAdams, Kendra Horn, Joe Cunningham, Collin Peterson, and just about every other Democratic candidate in a competitive district.

[Mr. Smith]

SENATE

Right on the Money: Thom Tillis, Cory Gardner, Mark Warner

Underestimate:  Most of the Republican incumbents.

Overestimate: Joni Ernst, Dan Sullivan, CHS, Ben Ray Lujan

HOUSE

Right on the Money: Mike Garcia (CA-25), Darrell Issa (CA-50), Young Kim (CA-39), David Valadao (CA-21), Pete Sessions (TX-17), Maria Salazar (FL-27), Carolyn Bourdeaux (GA-07), Elissa Slotkin (MI-08)

Underestimate: Burgess Owens (UT-04), Stephanie Bice (OK-5), "Maryland" Matt Rosendale (Montana), Lauren Boebert (CO-03), Tony Gonzalez (TX-23), Michelle Steel (CA-48), Malliotakis (NY-11), Sharice Davids (KS-03), Jared Golden (ME-02)

Overestimate: Susan Wild (PA-07), Ron Kind (WI-03), Lauren Underwood (IL-14), Tom McClintock (CA-04), Devin Nunes (CA-22), Tom O'Halleran (AZ-01), Wendy Davis (TX-21)

[Frenchrepublican]

Overestimated : Kelly, Gross, Fletcher, Hyde Smith, Stevens, Lamb

Underestimated : Collins, Valadao

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Underestimated all the Rs
Overestimated all the Ds

But wbrooks87 and Landslide Lyndon were authoritarian and said it was gonna be a D sweep due to how much money Ds have raised and as usual Landslide Lyndon is no where to be found😭😭😭