Will Republicans start allocating Georgia electoral votes by Congressional district?
Mr.Phips:
Say in 2024 in a relatively close election, Georgia continues to move Dem and votes for the Dem candidate by around the national popular vote margin. Based on this, it would appear that the path for Republicans to a statewide victory is disappearing. Does the Republican legislature and governor pass a law to allocate the state’s electoral votes by Congressional district to guarantee Republicans nine electoral votes regardless of how the statewide vote goes?
Skill and Chance:
Probably not because they obviously still hope to win it back at this point and they may not have the governorship anymore when the time comes. Biden only won Georgia by the skin of his teeth in a >4% PV win. Give Trump a 1% uniform swing and 4-5 EVs from safe Dem CDs in Atlanta would be the difference between the House electing Trump and Biden winning the EC outright. It's entirely possible the Atlanta CDs would be decisive in electing a Dem president as late as 2028.
Skill and Chance:
Quote from: laddicus finch on November 25, 2020, 11:32:04 PM
Well if they do, hopefully other states start doing it. At least that's more proportional than winner-take-all electoral college vote allocation.
Oh wait, gerrymandering is a thing. Ugh.
Splitting them straight proportional to the statewide PV is the way to go, including the 2 "Senator" EVs.
MATTROSE94:
I think that Stacy Abrams will defeat Brian Kemp in a rematch in 2022 and will easily be re-elected in 2026 (during President Ron DeSantis' first midterm election), so Georgia will be in Democratic hands by 2024 and likely not implement a different electoral vote allocation system.
TiltsAreUnderrated:
I think they'll hold off on this unless and until they lose 2024.
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