How vulnerable will David Valadao be in 2022?
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  How vulnerable will David Valadao be in 2022?		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: How vulnerable will David Valadao be in 2022?  (Read 773 times)
VAR
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Junior Chimp
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« on: November 26, 2020, 04:12:58 AM »
?
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Coldstream
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« Reply #1 on: November 26, 2020, 04:18:10 AM »
Not very, but I guess he could lose just because turnout will be so down on both sides in a midterm which may favour the Democrats in his district. But I doubt it.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #2 on: November 26, 2020, 04:36:38 AM »
Can't really see his district getting more blue so not sure.
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It’s so Joever
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« Reply #3 on: November 26, 2020, 12:06:56 PM »
Unless his district somehow gets more blue, he is safe.
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2016
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« Reply #4 on: November 26, 2020, 12:48:07 PM »
Quote from: Forumlurker the anti-communist on November 26, 2020, 12:06:56 PM
Unless his district somehow gets more blue, he is safe.
I think so too. It took a big "Blue Wave" in 2018 to defeat him so Cox winning was a bit of an annomaly. CA-21 is generally speaking a GOP-lean District. A Republican had this District for a Decade before Cox won in 2018.
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #5 on: November 26, 2020, 01:00:41 PM »
He feels like he’ll be re-entrenched like Steve Chabot.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #6 on: November 26, 2020, 01:01:57 PM »
He'll be much better off in 2022 than in 2020.
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Gracile
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« Reply #7 on: November 26, 2020, 01:28:52 PM »
Valadao will most likely be fine 2022, but his 2018 loss and his narrow win this year prove that he's hardly unbeatable and could go down the next time there's a heavily Democratic year nationally.
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Xing
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« Reply #8 on: November 26, 2020, 03:01:16 PM »
« Edited: November 26, 2020, 04:51:51 PM by Xing »
I’ll be #bold and say at least a bit vulnerable, even if he’s favored. Cox was not exactly a great candidate, and Valadao lost in 2018 despite very few believing he could lose. He also didn’t exactly win in a landslide in 2020. If 2022 is a great year for Republicans, then he’ll probably win, but if Democrats get a good candidate, he’ll certainly be in trouble in 2024.
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YE
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« Reply #9 on: November 26, 2020, 03:23:40 PM »
My guess is he loses in 2024.
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2016
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« Reply #10 on: November 26, 2020, 04:43:37 PM »
If Kamala Harris is the Democratic Presidential Nominee, yes I can see that happening!
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Mike Thick
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« Reply #11 on: November 26, 2020, 07:00:19 PM »
Will depend on turnout, but this aura of invincibility he had pre-2018 has been shattered. Very likely he gets a competent opponent, maybe Salas
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