Western Montana

[King of Kensington]

60% live in the Western Mountain part of the state.  How close was it there?

http://www.umt.edu/this-is-montana/columns/stories/montana_regions_1of3.php

[𝕭𝖆𝖕𝖙𝖎𝖘𝖙𝖆 𝕸𝖎𝖓𝖔𝖑𝖆]

Trump appears to have won the Western Mountain part of the state, using the definition in the article you linked to, by slightly less than 10%.

Also, as a comparison, Gianforte seems to have won it by slightly more than 6% in the gubernatorial race, and Daines by slightly less than 4% in the senatorial race.

[King of Kensington]

The demographics as destiny crowd seems very gung ho on Montana (the Vermont of the Mountain West!)

[kwabbit]

The demographics as destiny crowd seems very gung ho on Montana (the Vermont of the Mountain West!)

I'm not sure for good reason however. In 2008 it was R+10 compared to the nation, in 2012 R+18, in 2016 R+22, in 2020 R+21. The population growth is in the liberal cities, but Democrats definitely have some room to fall in the more rural areas, where they overperform. MT will probably trend left long term, but by the time its competitive at the presidential level American politics will likely have realigned by then. Dems get closer in the Senate/Gov races, but MT is losing its penchant to vote for Democrats as polarization takes hold more. Tester might the last statewide Democrat elected for a long time.