100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
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Posts: 11,726
Political Matrix E: 7.35, S: 5.57
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« on: November 24, 2020, 09:58:07 AM » |
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I expect Republicans to hold up well in Williamson County, TN post-Trump. The days of 73-26 Romney wins may be gone (although I do think Bill Lee could crack.70% in Williamson in 2022), but I do think we have to look at suburbs where Romney had the best result of the last few decades differently from suburbs that have been trending left for decades. In places like Williamson County, a good chunk of the swing was unique to Trump.
Assuming that 2024 is Harris vs. Generic Republican, I think WillCo will be something like 66-32 Republican (more like Hagerty in 2020) versus Trump's 62-36 margin in 2020. Maybe even a little better than that.
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