1976 Presidential election: why was it so close? (user search)
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  1976 Presidential election: why was it so close? (search mode)
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Author Topic: 1976 Presidential election: why was it so close?  (Read 2389 times)
Catalyst138
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« on: November 23, 2020, 02:22:34 AM »

It came down to the General Election Campaigns. Carter's, while brilliant in the primaries, was weak in the general, whereas Ford's was one of the best run campaigns by a losing candidate in history. If it weren't for the "Soviet Domination" gaffe, Ford might've pulled it off.

Definitely. Carter had a 32 point lead in July.  It was amazing how close it turned out.

Biden going from +8 to +4 doesn’t seem so bad now. Being up by 32 is insane, no candidate could ever get close to that today.
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Catalyst138
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Posts: 834
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« Reply #1 on: November 23, 2020, 04:21:04 PM »


Well, most Southern conservatives still voted for Carter. I doubt he would have won much bigger without the incident.

Also crazy to think about the "scandals" of the early days now compared Trump. Just like Poppy dared to check his watch during a debate.

As has been stated below, this is ridiculous and comes from the lazy assumption that "White Southerner" = "conservative."  That cheapens an interesting political history and wreaks of pushing our current political realities on past eras where they simply didn't dominate...

Of "White Southern Democrats" - even among those who were religious or supported segregation in the past - not all were "conservative," which should be ridiculously obvious.  Those who were voting for Jimmy Carter in 1976 (let alone the very large minority who stuck with him in 1980) were hardly right-wingers, and it's obvious that Ford won "Southern conservatives" by huge margins.  "Southern populists" or "rural Southerners" or any other not-synonym?  Perhaps another story.

On social issues I do think most white southerners were conservative, or at least center-right, as opposed to liberal. Carter himself was fairly moderate (or at least presented that way) so he could appeal to them, in a way that McGovern couldn’t at all. Ford still won this group but not by that much.

On economic issues you’re 100% correct, plenty of people all across that spectrum in the south and the left-wingers voted for Carter.
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