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December 05, 2020, 05:05:06 PM
News: 2020 Election day live thread: https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=409870.0

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, TJ in Oregon, YE, ON Progressive)
  North Carolina in 2020
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Author Topic: North Carolina in 2020  (Read 334 times)
G_Master
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« on: November 21, 2020, 09:05:23 PM »

Why did North Carolina go for Trump even though Georgia went for Biden?
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Annatar
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« Reply #1 on: November 21, 2020, 09:13:43 PM »

To put it very simply, Republicans only get around 65% of the white vote in NC so they don't have much ground to lose where Trump got 75% in Georgia in 2016 so there was a lot of room to fall, Georgia whites this year voted more like whites in Texas and NC, so they converged in terms of voting behaviour, the issue is Republicans need 70%+ of the white vote in Georgia to offset the 30% black vote share.
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forza nocta
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« Reply #2 on: November 21, 2020, 09:23:48 PM »

Not as much black people as GA + no Atlanta
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Non Swing Voter
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« Reply #3 on: November 21, 2020, 10:27:37 PM »

It's not really a huge difference anyways.  Trump won NC by like a point and Biden won GA by less than half a point.  It's a fairly negligible difference though the difference meant one flipped and the other didn't. 

Both are clearly 2024 battleground states. 

The result was also somewhat predictable if you consider the long term trajectory.  NC has been a little  allover the place, going for Obama in 2008, then Romney in 2012 and Trump in 2016 but electing a Dem governor.  On the other hand, GA has consistently and steadily trended Democratic and at an accelerating pace.  Stacey Abrams' efforts probably put Biden over the top there.  He literally owes her for those 16 electoral votes.
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riceowl
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« Reply #4 on: November 21, 2020, 11:41:48 PM »

There was a large finks you vote in ga based on 18.
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philly09
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« Reply #5 on: November 22, 2020, 05:00:50 AM »

Trump beat Biden by 74,000 votes, which is the same amount that Obama beat Romney in Florida by, so I'd say the GOP days in NC are numbered.
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MR. KAYNE WEST
olawakandi
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« Reply #6 on: November 22, 2020, 05:05:38 AM »

Cooper only won by 4 and lockdowns did have an effect on voting. He was projected to have coattails and pull CUNNINGHAM threw and win by 10 that's the difference in the race right there. Cooper UNDERPERFORMED
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