MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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Posts: 15,283
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« on: November 22, 2020, 06:40:01 PM » |
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I don’t see it, honestly. I’ll try and be more cautious with my ratings in general after the last few election cycles, but the leftward shift of Virginia Beach/the Hampton roads area + any further R collapse in the Richmond metro since 2009 makes this virtually impossible. NoVA can be outvoted, but not when the most populous counties you can count on in virtually any scenario are located in the Shenandoah Valley and places like Chesterfield/Stafford are battlegrounds.
I could see them coming within 4-5 points, but actually winning? I think it’s too far gone.
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