This could be a dem pick up if Ron Johnson retires...
2016 Presidential Race
Donald Trump (R) 1,405,284 = 47.8 %
Hillary Clinton (D) 1,382,536 = 47.0 %
Trump wins by 22,748 Votes.
2018 Governor Race
Tony Evers (D) 1,324,307 = 49.6 %
Scott Walker (R) 1,295,080 = 48.5 %
Evers wins by 29,227 Votes.
2020 Presidential Race
Joe Biden (D) 1,630,716 = 49.4 %
Donald Trump (R) 1,610,151 = 48.8 %
Biden wins by 20,565 Votes.
Wisconsin has undergone a remarkable Political Transformation that started with the Elections of Scott Walker and Ron Johnson in 2010. The last 3 Big Races (2016-2020...Presidential & Governor Races) were all decided by less than 30K. Wisconsin is now a State that's permanently available for Republicans whether it's a Governor, Senate or Presidential Contest assuming they have a strong GOP Candidate.
Wisconsin's been a swing state for 20 years. Obama's strength in the Midwest and Feingold and Kohl's personal popularity just hid the fact. 2000, 2004, 2016, and 2020 were all decided by less than a point, making Wisconsin perhaps the most consistently close state.
On another note, Obama's coalition =/ the Democrat coalition, something that's becoming more and more clear. Obama was truly a once in a generation politician and it'll be a long time before the Democrats find a candidate as strong as him. He simultaneously appealed to every facet of the electorate more than any other Democrat. I'm not sure any other Democrat could've won in 2012, let alone by 5 points in the tipping point.
