If to be believed, it seems Kenney is really tanking in Alberta, so wonder if that will spillover provincially and cost Tories seats there. Some polls suggest if an election were held today, Notley would win and this is without a split on the right. Off course in Alberta its not unusual for federal counterparty to do a bit better, but typically only 10% higher, not 20-30% and that would put federal Tories around 50% in Alberta thus would hold most of their seats but still could lose some.
If O'Toole has to fight to hold onto his seats in Alberta, means less time and money spent elsewhere on offensive. On other hand Quebec is known for big swings so can see why on Toute Parle le Monde as probably hoping for big swing, but seems very unlikely, but Quebec often doesn't show its cards until 2 weeks before election day.
The Tories could certainly lose some seats in central and NE Calgary and in Edmonton.
