2022 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread (user search)
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Author Topic: 2022 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread  (Read 169264 times)
BoiseBoy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 959
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.05, S: -1.13

P P
« on: July 16, 2021, 10:15:25 AM »
« edited: July 20, 2021, 03:41:50 PM by BoiseBoy »

Some fun out of Idaho:

Chad Christensen, a state representative from District 32 (southeast Idaho, Teton County, part of Bonneville County), has been contemplating an attempt to primary Mike Simpson (ID-02). He said he will have a final decision by September or October; he wants to see what happens during redistricting.

Chad has a reputation here of not being a very good person. He's definitely to Simpson's right and is apparently a member of the Oath Keepers.


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BoiseBoy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 959
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.05, S: -1.13

P P
« Reply #1 on: July 27, 2021, 10:57:37 AM »

Iowa State Senator Liz Mathis (D, SD-34) announced a run against Hinson in IA-01 today.

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BoiseBoy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 959
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.05, S: -1.13

P P
« Reply #2 on: September 18, 2021, 01:16:41 PM »

2018 Gov nominee and Dutchess County executive Marc Molinaro is running against Delgado in NY-19.

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BoiseBoy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 959
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.05, S: -1.13

P P
« Reply #3 on: November 10, 2021, 09:57:07 PM »


Cawthorn to carpetbag over a mildly competitive seat.
So he's moving from a Trump +7.4 seat to a Trump +20.4 one. I wonder who will take over NC-14.
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BoiseBoy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 959
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.05, S: -1.13

P P
« Reply #4 on: December 28, 2021, 04:18:04 PM »

Slotkin announces reelection campaign in new Lansing based MI-07 seat.

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BoiseBoy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 959
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.05, S: -1.13

P P
« Reply #5 on: December 28, 2021, 05:15:29 PM »

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BoiseBoy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 959
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.05, S: -1.13

P P
« Reply #6 on: January 01, 2022, 02:07:43 PM »

Trump has endorsed Mary Miller in Illinois, she will be running against Mike Bost in the new super safe IL-12.
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BoiseBoy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 959
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.05, S: -1.13

P P
« Reply #7 on: January 03, 2022, 06:38:49 PM »

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BoiseBoy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 959
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.05, S: -1.13

P P
« Reply #8 on: January 04, 2022, 01:05:00 PM »

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BoiseBoy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 959
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.05, S: -1.13

P P
« Reply #9 on: January 05, 2022, 11:47:43 PM »

Has anyone else noticed that the Democrats have been doing pretty well in generic ballot polling recently? On January 5, 2018, the Dems were up 11 points on the RCP aggregate. The GOP is up by 1.6 right now. 538 had the Democrats up 10, but the Republicans are up by only 0.5 at the moment. The midterms are obviously still going to swing R, but it's probably not going to be some 2010 or 2014 redux like some doomers on here are heralding.
That could be a good point but there is a possibility that republicans will overperform their current polling or gain in their polling lead as the year goes on

This. No Democratic President has had an approval rating lower than Biden's. 2022 will be a red wave of Biblical proportions.
That's not even true. Obama, Clinton, and Carter have all had worse approvals at some point. The dooming shtick is getting pretty damn old at this point, honestly.
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BoiseBoy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 959
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.05, S: -1.13

P P
« Reply #10 on: January 10, 2022, 01:01:22 PM »
« Edited: January 10, 2022, 01:05:16 PM by BoiseBoy »

Clay Aiken is running in NC-06.


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BoiseBoy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 959
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.05, S: -1.13

P P
« Reply #11 on: January 10, 2022, 01:51:50 PM »

Republican Buzz Patterson has suspended his campaign for CA-07 (which became more blue after redistricting).

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BoiseBoy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 959
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.05, S: -1.13

P P
« Reply #12 on: January 10, 2022, 03:26:09 PM »

Quote
Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto (D-NV) continued to pad her re-election campaign war chest through the end of 2021, raking in more than $3.3 million in the final months of the year and boosting her cash on hand to $10.4 million — a record number for any U.S. Senate candidate in Nevada entering an election year.

https://thenevadaindependent.com/article/cortez-masto-banks-3-3-million-for-senate-bid-in-last-quarter-of-2021

She's still going to lose. If that NJ Senate leader could lose to a truck driver who spent $150 on his campaign, Cortez Masto will lose to Laxalt.
And I will put you on ignore for your hackish dooming/trolling.  Smile
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BoiseBoy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 959
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.05, S: -1.13

P P
« Reply #13 on: January 20, 2022, 06:19:51 PM »

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BoiseBoy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 959
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.05, S: -1.13

P P
« Reply #14 on: January 23, 2022, 07:59:24 PM »

Republican State Sen. Jessica de la Cruz is running for RI-02.

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BoiseBoy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 959
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.05, S: -1.13

P P
« Reply #15 on: January 31, 2022, 12:08:04 PM »

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BoiseBoy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 959
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.05, S: -1.13

P P
« Reply #16 on: January 31, 2022, 09:10:27 PM »

Steve Bellone (Suffolk County Executive) is looking at running in the open (and now far more Democrat) NY-01 race. He would be a strong candidate.

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BoiseBoy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 959
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.05, S: -1.13

P P
« Reply #17 on: February 01, 2022, 12:38:04 AM »


Demings is not going to win. That $8.2 million really should be going to Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, and Pennsylvania.
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BoiseBoy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 959
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.05, S: -1.13

P P
« Reply #18 on: February 01, 2022, 03:41:38 PM »

Apparently Trump is considering endorsing Katie Arrington over incumbent Nancy Mace in the primary for SC-01. As you may remember, Arrington successfully primaried Mark Sanford in 2018 and then went on to lose to Joe Cunningham in the general election.

https://www.fitsnews.com/2022/02/01/sources-donald-trump-planning-endorsement-of-katie-arrington-in-south-carolina-congressional-race/
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