2022 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread

[SnowLabrador]

Cook's ratings are garbage, they move everything to tossup right before the election.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Good now we can stop saying like MT Treasurer says that WI is Lean R it's a Tossup, MT Treasurer developed that meme

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I know why Cook and Sabato are keeping OH Lean R due to Gov race. But, OH can split it's votes for Gov and SEN, it did in 2018, but Brown won by six Ryan will win 51/49%

[Roll Roons]

https://www.nationaljournal.com/s/714387/hotlines-q2-house-fundraising-chart/?unlock=VI17759V1X3793D6

MTG and the Democrat running against her both raised over $1M. If that's not a good argument against publicly financing elections, I don't know what is.

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

https://twitter.com/JessicaTaylor/status/1416029077710979090?s=19

Florida being moved to Lean R for absolutely no reason is hilarious..

It's closer to safe than lean.

Cook is right about AZ and GA. Democrats need to stop the dooming about those races.

[SnowLabrador]

Since 2022 will almost certainly be a red wave year, Kelly and Warnock are clear underdogs. Deal with it.

[Brittain33]

Since 2022 will almost certainly be a red wave year, Kelly and Warnock are clear underdogs. Deal with it.

Does Herschel Walker strike you as a powerhouse?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Since 2022 will almost certainly be a red wave year, Kelly and Warnock are clear underdogs. Deal with it.

Does Herschel Walker strike you as a powerhouse?

No he isn't, the only person Blks care about isn't Tim Scott or Elder either but Conservative rapper KANYE

[SnowLabrador]

Since 2022 will almost certainly be a red wave year, Kelly and Warnock are clear underdogs. Deal with it.

Does Herschel Walker strike you as a powerhouse?

No, but we're polarized enough that candidate quality doesn't matter.

[MRS DONNA SHALALA]

Since 2022 will almost certainly be a red wave year, Kelly and Warnock are clear underdogs. Deal with it.

Does Herschel Walker strike you as a powerhouse?

No, but we're polarized enough that candidate quality doesn't matter.

Senator Sara Gideon agrees.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Since 2022 will almost certainly be a red wave year, Kelly and Warnock are clear underdogs. Deal with it.

Does Herschel Walker strike you as a powerhouse?

No, but we're polarized enough that candidate quality doesn't matter.

Senator Sara Gideon agrees.

Gideon lost because Collins voted for the Cares Act, she is endangered now because she is obstruction of VR or HR1 so long Collins, that's why King will win easily in 2024

[MRS DONNA SHALALA]

(R) poll has a tied GCB with 16% undecided:

https://twitter.com/stella2020woof/status/1417452357571563520

[SnowLabrador]

The GCB will probably be R+4 or R+5, then.

[Bootes Void]

The GCB will probably be R+4 or R+5, then.

This is an R poll btw, the republicans could be ahead by then buts it no guarantee to predict where things would go. For instance republicans closed the GCB during mid 2018 onwards

[CookieDamage]

Rs can't even win a plurality in an internal. Although Dems being at 42 isn't good.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We know that D's are dropping fast in the polls because they haven't passed anything since the Covid relief bill and it wasn't enough we need one more check

The only thing going is jobs but many of them are the same low skilled factory jobs that left it's not a come up

We will see where it goes from here but a landslide election isn't happening at the moment

D's are spending all their political capital on Infrastructure but not VR or HR 1, that faces a Hostile SCOTUS ESPECIALLY ON GERRYMANDERING DISTRICTS, HR 1 NEUTRALIZE GERRYMANDERING THAT MIGHT NOT PASS CRT TEST ANYWAYS

[Pollster]

Shalala and Mucarsel-Powell still both considering rematches, Shalala says she'll decide around October.

[beesley]

Some fun out of Idaho:

Chad Christensen, a state representative from District 32 (southeast Idaho, Teton County, part of Bonneville County), has been contemplating an attempt to primary Mike Simpson (ID-02). He said he will have a final decision by September or October; he wants to see what happens during redistricting.

Chad has a reputation here of not being a very good person. He's definitely to Simpson's right and is apparently a member of the Oath Keepers.

He's not likely to be a serious contender is he? Simpson has been a decent Rep and I presume he'll rack up the Mormon counties.

[brucejoel99]

Shalala and Mucarsel-Powell still both considering rematches, Shalala says she'll decide around October.

"National leaders, entities and organizations have not signaled that Florida is a priority," said Ray Paultre, executive director of The Alliance, a collection of Florida progressive donors. "In fact they have signaled the opposite."

He said a core group of party leaders and donors are pushing for investments in other states.

Holy sh*t, national Democrats are finally figuring out that FL is nothing more than a complete waste of time & money. If they keep up with such a rare showing of competency, then they might just actually be able to end up keeping the House.

[Adam Griffin]

Manchin's thinking about running again...

https://www.politico.com/news/2021/07/26/manchin-weighs-another-term-as-his-influence-peaks-500648

Joe Manchin strongly signaled in 2018 that his brutal reelection campaign that year was his last. Now, as he marshals the entire Senate in his centrist direction, he’s not so sure he’ll call it quits.

The West Virginia Democrat is steadily padding his campaign coffers, raising $1.6 million in the first six months this year and sitting on nearly $4 million for a potential race that wouldn’t occur for three years. His colleagues say he’s not acting like a senator in his last term, despite his famous assertion during his last campaign that Washington “sucks.”

...

“You never know. You don’t know. There’s always a chance, absolutely,” Manchin said in an interview. When it comes to a potential reelection campaign alongside a presidential race in 2024, Manchin said: “You better be prepared, that’s all I can say. And I’m being prepared.”

[brucejoel99]

Manchin's thinking about running again...

https://www.politico.com/news/2021/07/26/manchin-weighs-another-term-as-his-influence-peaks-500648

Lmaooo good luck with that, Joe.

[MRS DONNA SHALALA]

https://twitter.com/stella2020woof/status/1419770441191858181

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

https://www.yahoo.com/news/key-battleground-states-house-least-211714432.html


Don't underestimate D's with 500 days left

[SnowLabrador]

https://twitter.com/stella2020woof/status/1419770441191858181

It's best to assume that almost all of the undecideds are Republican. So the GCB's probably tied, which means a strong GOP year.

[Coastal Elitist]

lol no