2022 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread

[prag_prog]

https://echeloninsights.com/in-the-news/march-omnibus-political/

Generic Ballot (National)
Dem 46%
Rep 42%
3/15-3/21 by Echelon Insights
1008 RV

Is this the first generic ballot poll of the cycle?

we have had like 6 generic ballot polls in last 2 months..
McLaughlin (the Trump pollster) had R+2 in Jan, R+0 in March
Echelon had D+0 in Feb and D+4 in the March poll.
GQR had D+6 and Leger had D+8.

[Frenchrepublican]

TX-15 getting some attention for the first time (probably) ever :
https://twitter.com/PatrickSvitek/status/1375057997274226698?s=20

[Frenchrepublican]

https://twitter.com/alaynatreene/status/1375047617999175680?s=20

[Young Conservative]

https://twitter.com/alaynatreene/status/1375047617999175680?s=20

These are the right targets, and it is good they're going in early.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

With Acton leading in OH and DeSANTIS only tied, D's are gonna have a big waves after we win VA, Cali and NJ in 2021, I am excited.  We are gonna get the wave insurance seats we lost in 2020

[Virginiá]

Too busy to dig up the relevant thread, but re: Sinema:

https://twitter.com/DavidNir/status/1374785238879121415
https://twitter.com/MJRosenbergDad/status/1374798176251752454


All for nothing. What she's doing is doing nothing but hurting her standing among her own party. I don't know exactly who she thinks she is appealing to here.

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

My ideal dream scenario for Sinema’s end is dems pick up a seat or two in the senate in 2022, Sinema gets upset she’s no longer the power holder and becomes a Republican caucusing independent but republicans rebuff her and she’s basically left alone. Tries to run and get the republican nomination in 2024 and looses. Comes third to a decent democrat who wins and some nutty republican who still is chanting “lock her up!”

[brucejoel99]

She must've seen that poll:

https://twitter.com/davidagordon9/status/1375165649694023682

[AncestralDemocrat.]

https://twitter.com/kirk_bado/status/1377233873176829954?s=19

[Frenchrepublican]

The House GOP's roadmap :

https://www.axios.com/house-gop-memo-trump-embrace-only-option-for-comeback-4cc95492-0c86-4fe5-b592-84ff12b7e5d0.html?utm_campaign=organic&utm_medium=socialshare&utm_source=twitter

On a flight Tuesday from Indianapolis to Fort Wayne, Ind., two leaders in the House Republican conference discussed a memo that argues that their party's future demands they "embrace our new coalition" because "President Trump's gift didn’t come with a receipt."

Why it matters: The document, titled "Cementing GOP as the Working Class Party," leaves no doubt that Republicans — at least in the House of Representatives — will be doubling down on Donald Trump for the foreseeable future.


(please minimize quoted text from articles for copyright reasons --Mod.)

[wbrocks67]

My ideal dream scenario for Sinema’s end is dems pick up a seat or two in the senate in 2022, Sinema gets upset she’s no longer the power holder and becomes a Republican caucusing independent but republicans rebuff her and she’s basically left alone. Tries to run and get the republican nomination in 2024 and looses. Comes third to a decent democrat who wins and some nutty republican who still is chanting “lock her up!”

Sinema isn't anything close to a Republican though. I get that she has frustrated Dems, but she's still nowhere close to an R, even a Collins/Murkowski R.

[Roll Roons]

https://twitter.com/TimBryantRadio/status/1377219178860515329

Because of course.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

The House GOP's roadmap :

https://www.axios.com/house-gop-memo-trump-embrace-only-option-for-comeback-4cc95492-0c86-4fe5-b592-84ff12b7e5d0.html?utm_campaign=organic&utm_medium=socialshare&utm_source=twitter

On a flight Tuesday from Indianapolis to Fort Wayne, Ind., two leaders in the House Republican conference discussed a memo that argues that their party's future demands they "embrace our new coalition" because "President Trump's gift didn’t come with a receipt."

Why it matters: The document, titled "Cementing GOP as the Working Class Party," leaves no doubt that Republicans — at least in the House of Representatives — will be doubling down on Donald Trump for the foreseeable future.

This is actually a pretty strong roadmap. I would be very excited to see a GOP that truly does follow what is set out in this memo. I would like them to talk more about encouraging building strong (nuclear) families

[brucejoel99]

The House GOP's roadmap :

https://www.axios.com/house-gop-memo-trump-embrace-only-option-for-comeback-4cc95492-0c86-4fe5-b592-84ff12b7e5d0.html

Ah yes, embracing a complete failure who lost the House, the presidency, & then the Senate for the GOP is their only option for a comeback. It almost makes too much sense!!

[VAR]

The House GOP's roadmap :

https://www.axios.com/house-gop-memo-trump-embrace-only-option-for-comeback-4cc95492-0c86-4fe5-b592-84ff12b7e5d0.html

Ah yes, embracing a complete failure who lost the House, the presidency, & then the Senate for the GOP is their only option for a comeback. It almost makes too much sense!!

What’s interesting is that the “roadmap” doesn’t mention Trump at all, it’s only about making the GOP more of a “working-class party” by embracing Trump’s agenda/policies.

So basically they want to abandon the suburbs and focus on the areas that are trending toward them.

[Roll Roons]

The House GOP's roadmap :

https://www.axios.com/house-gop-memo-trump-embrace-only-option-for-comeback-4cc95492-0c86-4fe5-b592-84ff12b7e5d0.html

Ah yes, embracing a complete failure who lost the House, the presidency, & then the Senate for the GOP is their only option for a comeback. It almost makes too much sense!!

What’s interesting is that the “roadmap” doesn’t mention Trump at all, it’s only about making the GOP more of a “working-class party” by embracing Trump’s agenda/policies.

So basically they want to abandon the suburbs and focus on the areas that are trending toward them.

At the same time, it would be foolish to completely abandon them. If the suburbs cause Texas to flip, they're pretty much screwed. Gains in the RGV and inner Houston/Dallas would not offset bleeding in Tarrant/Collin/Denton/Williamson/Brazos/Fort Bend/Hays/Bell.

[VAR]

The House GOP's roadmap :

https://www.axios.com/house-gop-memo-trump-embrace-only-option-for-comeback-4cc95492-0c86-4fe5-b592-84ff12b7e5d0.html

Ah yes, embracing a complete failure who lost the House, the presidency, & then the Senate for the GOP is their only option for a comeback. It almost makes too much sense!!

What’s interesting is that the “roadmap” doesn’t mention Trump at all, it’s only about making the GOP more of a “working-class party” by embracing Trump’s agenda/policies.

So basically they want to abandon the suburbs and focus on the areas that are trending toward them.

At the same time, it would be foolish to completely abandon them. If the suburbs cause Texas to flip, they're pretty much screwed.

That is very much true. Whether moving right on issues like immigration would substantially hurt the GOP in the suburbs is a bit of an open question, though.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

The House GOP's roadmap :

https://www.axios.com/house-gop-memo-trump-embrace-only-option-for-comeback-4cc95492-0c86-4fe5-b592-84ff12b7e5d0.html

Ah yes, embracing a complete failure who lost the House, the presidency, & then the Senate for the GOP is their only option for a comeback. It almost makes too much sense!!

I mean, Trump tried to cut health care and cut taxes. The House GOP memo is not advocating for either of those things. It's not a 100% pro Trump document, it's just saying Republicans should follow some of the things he did

[VAR]

https://twitter.com/HotlineJosh/status/1377588021327958022
https://twitter.com/wildstein/status/1377450078722473986
https://twitter.com/HotlineJosh/status/1377587288960536577
https://twitter.com/mattsmith_news/status/1377591672423473165

EDIT: This is incorrect, Lasry actually raised $1.08M.

https://twitter.com/PatrickSvitek/status/1377620371197853700

[wbrocks67]

Andy Kim definitely seems like a future NJ-SEN candidate. He seems really well liked, and he is a prolific fundraiser even in an off quarter.

Meanwhile, I'm pretty tuned into politics and I've never even heard for that WI-SEN guy. So the fact he raised nearly $2M is pretty stunning.

[SnowLabrador]

Fundraising doesn't matter.

[wbrocks67]

I didn't realize CO was doing new lines this year. So what will Boebert's district likely look like in 2022?

https://twitter.com/politico/status/1377604181733875727

[SnowLabrador]

I didn't realize CO was doing new lines this year. So what will Boebert's district likely look like in 2022?

https://twitter.com/politico/status/1377604181733875727

She's a grifter. Boebert isn't losing.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

I didn't realize CO was doing new lines this year. So what will Boebert's district likely look like in 2022?

https://twitter.com/politico/status/1377604181733875727

She's a grifter. Boebert isn't losing.

Boebert is beatable with the right candidate and a little luck, but Donovan is very much the wrong type of Democrat to flip this district.

[MT Treasurer]

Nowhere in that memo does it say that the GOP will "completely abandon" the suburbs. This is about repositioning the party with messaging that is tailored to areas trending to them rather than throwing money/resources at areas that are simply unwinnable for them but happen to be the subject of GOP donors' and pundits' vested interest, e.g. VA-10 or TX-07, i.e., it’s something that should have been done years ago. Obviously Democrats would prefer to see Republicans go after "undecided" suburban/exurban Atlanta "moderates" who habitually vote straight-ticket D rather than a few seats in the RGV/Driftless/Northern Maine/NEPA/etc. etc., but at some point the party will have to wise up, especially since their 'current' strategy of fighting the battle with yesteryear's map has cost them countless seats in the House and Senate for several consecutive election cycles (and resulted in a D trifecta). However, I’m not sure I buy Republicans being smart enough to implement this strategy, even if the NRCC strikes me as more competent than the NRSC (although that’s hardly a tall order).

It’s not like this hasn’t been tried before either, especially by Republican candidates running in the South. This isn’t about emulating Trump's narcissism or lunacy, it’s about the only reasonable response to changing coalitions if the party wants to remain viable at the federal level. It’s certainly no guarantee that Republicans will actually follow through with policies that benefit working families or individuals, as Trump's not-so-'populist' presidency has made pretty obvious (Trump governing as a Reagan-ite Republican is a very underrated reason for his loss and the historic down-ballot losses the party suffered in 2018, btw).