2022 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread
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Author Topic: 2022 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread  (Read 172762 times)
lfromnj
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« Reply #1325 on: May 01, 2022, 01:09:11 PM »



Democrats can't find a Hispanic candidate to run against Salazar in a Trump +0 district.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #1326 on: May 01, 2022, 01:16:34 PM »

On ABC news D's lead on GCB 46/45 so all this talk about R wave is premature as always and it's only April
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AMB1996
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« Reply #1327 on: May 01, 2022, 03:47:23 PM »

The burden is on abc/WAPO to explain why the hell the GB went from R+10 to D+1

Why? The poll is what the poll is. Did you demand explanations when the polls started dropping for Democrats?

Probably not since that was around the time both inflation and Afghanistan got out of hand (and was a smaller shift). In any case, individual polls can bounce around but one polling bouncing once isn't going to change anything.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #1328 on: May 01, 2022, 07:39:06 PM »

The burden is on abc/WAPO to explain why the hell the GB went from R+10 to D+1

Why? The poll is what the poll is. Did you demand explanations when the polls started dropping for Democrats?

Probably not since that was around the time both inflation and Afghanistan got out of hand (and was a smaller shift). In any case, individual polls can bounce around but one polling bouncing once isn't going to change anything.

Do you know how close 45% is close to 50% is yes Biden is subpar but with Turnout he can be at 50% on EDay it's a VBM election anyways and Final tallies aren't gonna be registered on EDay look how long it took them to count Provisional ballots last time a week

House, Senate and Govs can take longer than a day to get called everything isn't gonna be called on EDay I know Rs are anxious but so are Ds we want to prove those EDay polls are wrong
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Unelectable Bystander
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« Reply #1329 on: May 02, 2022, 07:10:47 AM »

Come on guys there is some serious momentum here, the Washington post says so. There’s still time for Dems to win the generic ballot in Wisconsin by 17 points like Biden
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #1330 on: May 03, 2022, 02:55:21 PM »
« Edited: May 03, 2022, 02:59:45 PM by Mr.Barkari Sellers »

Come on guys there is some serious momentum here, the Washington post says so. There’s still time for Dems to win the generic ballot in Wisconsin by 17 points like Biden

No one is donating like they did in 2020 but the D's did buy votes that Election by promised stimulus checks and they don't have them now but we lead in NV, NH, GA and CO Senate races and we can win PA and WI

The H is a wash in Redistricting the projection is 8/10 seats, 230 or less, if that's the case we can win it back in 24, not 25 seats and we don't know what Biden Approvals will be on Eday they're going up no more 33 PERCENT APPROVAL

We have the same S map in 24 PA, WI, MI, AZ and NV and VA as battlegrounds and we can win the H back it we narrowly lose it
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AncestralDemocrat.
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« Reply #1331 on: May 03, 2022, 05:15:05 PM »

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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #1332 on: May 03, 2022, 05:30:20 PM »

Well, that sucks. I've said it before and I'll say it again: The United States is not a pro-choice country, as much as I may wish it were.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #1333 on: May 03, 2022, 06:09:52 PM »

Biden has been stuck in the 40 s a long time anyways I still hope D's win that's why I am not Donating

There isn't any one piece of legislation like the stimulus checks last time that can galvanize voters
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #1334 on: May 03, 2022, 06:29:09 PM »

Well, that sucks. I've said it before and I'll say it again: The United States is not a pro-choice country, as much as I may wish it were.

It's called adoption it's easier for families to raise a kid than a Newborn because we have busy lives unless you can afford a long maternity leave and you are wealthy, many couples adopt but back in the 80s my pastor had a busy life and adopted 4 Girls so

My mom was a Foster care Secretary too and understand that most couples have their own kids but when they have multiple kids like my Pastor head 4 Girls that's when they start adopting
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #1335 on: May 04, 2022, 07:17:23 AM »



Should note that the party ID was a bit more Republican here than their last few polls.

That being said, 15% undecided/other even at this point is still too much.
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« Reply #1336 on: May 04, 2022, 11:18:35 AM »



YouGov has D+6 on the generic ballot with no undecideds. Does OC run YouGov's polls?
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #1337 on: May 04, 2022, 12:07:56 PM »

Yeah that Fox poll was 🗑️🗑️🗑️
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #1338 on: May 04, 2022, 12:58:16 PM »



YouGov has D+6 on the generic ballot with no undecideds. Does OC run YouGov's polls?

There's no undecided voters b/c YouGov (smartly) made voters pick a side.
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Person Man
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« Reply #1339 on: May 04, 2022, 02:55:58 PM »



YouGov has D+6 on the generic ballot with no undecideds. Does OC run YouGov's polls?

There's no undecided voters b/c YouGov (smartly) made voters pick a side.

This is reasonable if Roe goes the way many people are expecting it to.
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2016
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« Reply #1340 on: May 04, 2022, 04:32:23 PM »
« Edited: May 04, 2022, 04:38:05 PM by 2016 »

BRUTAL GCB POLL coming out tonight or tomorrow.

https://edition.cnn.com/2022/05/04/politics/cnn-poll-economy-biden-approval/index.html

CNN/SSRS has Bidens Approval at - 18 at 40/59

I wonder what the GCB Test will be.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #1341 on: May 04, 2022, 04:35:49 PM »

Fox already posted 7 Rs on GCB there is no brutal than that
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2016
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1342 on: May 04, 2022, 04:39:01 PM »

Fox already posted 7 Rs on GCB there is no brutal than that
CNN will show possibly Republicans with 8-9 Point lead.
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Unelectable Bystander
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« Reply #1343 on: May 04, 2022, 04:44:00 PM »

Fox already posted 7 Rs on GCB there is no brutal than that
CNN will show possibly Republicans with 8-9 Point lead.

Cut it out, the inerrant pollster king YouGov has spoken and they say it’s D+6
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2016
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1344 on: May 04, 2022, 04:47:59 PM »

Fox already posted 7 Rs on GCB there is no brutal than that
CNN will show possibly Republicans with 8-9 Point lead.

Cut it out, the inerrant pollster king YouGov has spoken and they say it’s D+6
I am not looking just at Polls BUT the Turnout Numbers from Ohio are a full-blown disaster for Democrats according to NBC's Chuck Todd.

Republicans in the Governor Race got 1,070,000 while Democrats barely got 500K.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #1345 on: May 04, 2022, 04:49:05 PM »

Fox already posted 7 Rs on GCB there is no brutal than that
CNN will show possibly Republicans with 8-9 Point lead.

Cut it out, the inerrant pollster king YouGov has spoken and they say it’s D+6

Cut it out it's a 303 map Biden is gonna give Barnes the helping hand and he is gonna solidify the 303, map by winning WI by 17 pts over RoJo in WI
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
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« Reply #1346 on: May 06, 2022, 01:26:50 PM »

Fox already posted 7 Rs on GCB there is no brutal than that
CNN will show possibly Republicans with 8-9 Point lead.

Cut it out, the inerrant pollster king YouGov has spoken and they say it’s D+6
I am not looking just at Polls BUT the Turnout Numbers from Ohio are a full-blown disaster for Democrats according to NBC's Chuck Todd.

Republicans in the Governor Race got 1,070,000 while Democrats barely got 500K.

I mean, that happens when the Republican Senate primary is heavily contested and the Democratic primary isn't.

Not saying that there isn't going to be a bloodbath electorally in Ohio, that state has been moving more and more to the right every year and we should probably expect things to be bad there, but these primary turnout numbers aren't the reason why we should expect that.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #1347 on: May 06, 2022, 01:27:41 PM »

Biden Approvals going up so that CNN poll 40/59 is Hogwash
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Computer89
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« Reply #1348 on: May 06, 2022, 03:25:57 PM »

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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #1349 on: May 06, 2022, 03:27:01 PM »



What the hell? The Democrats suck #$%@ at messaging!
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