2022 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 25, 2024, 08:22:19 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  2022 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread		 « previous next »
Pages: 1 2 3 4 [5] 6 7 8 9 10 ... 157
Author Topic: 2022 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread  (Read 168697 times)
Pollster
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,758


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #100 on: February 16, 2021, 12:19:33 PM »
Logged
Young Conservative
youngconservative
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,029
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #101 on: February 16, 2021, 02:22:39 PM »
Quote from: Pollster on February 16, 2021, 12:19:33 PM

Dems best possible candidate (out performed Trump by almost 30 points), but he won't win this federal race and this will almost certainly result in the flip of his state house seat.
Logged
Gracile
gracile
Moderator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,064


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #102 on: February 16, 2021, 03:16:57 PM »
Quote from: Young Conservative on February 16, 2021, 02:22:39 PM
Quote from: Pollster on February 16, 2021, 12:19:33 PM

Dems best possible candidate (out performed Trump by almost 30 points), but he won't win this federal race and this will almost certainly result in the flip of his state house seat.



He's probably only running as a way to get out of what will clearly be a challenging legislative seat to hold in a Biden midterm.
Logged
YE
Modadmin
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,745


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -0.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #103 on: February 16, 2021, 03:29:14 PM »
Quote from: Young Conservative on February 16, 2021, 02:22:39 PM
Quote from: Pollster on February 16, 2021, 12:19:33 PM

Dems best possible candidate (out performed Trump by almost 30 points), but he won't win this federal race and this will almost certainly result in the flip of his state house seat.



This feels like a Hail Mary though I’m curious why he overpreform’s so much.
Logged
Gracile
gracile
Moderator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,064


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #104 on: February 16, 2021, 03:36:03 PM »
Quote from: YE on February 16, 2021, 03:29:14 PM
Quote from: Young Conservative on February 16, 2021, 02:22:39 PM
Quote from: Pollster on February 16, 2021, 12:19:33 PM

Dems best possible candidate (out performed Trump by almost 30 points), but he won't win this federal race and this will almost certainly result in the flip of his state house seat.



This feels like a Hail Mary though I’m curious why he overpreform’s so much.

My guess is it has something to do with Lumbee voters splitting their tickets because of parochial issues (Graham is Lumbee and has been representing the area since before Trump made big gains with those voters).
Logged
lfromnj
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,368


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #105 on: February 16, 2021, 07:00:06 PM »
Hes prob gonna lose the primary to some white Charlotte lib against HB2 as he voted for HB2 in 2016 lol.
Logged
Young Conservative
youngconservative
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,029
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #106 on: February 16, 2021, 09:57:36 PM »
Quote from: gracile on February 16, 2021, 03:36:03 PM
Quote from: YE on February 16, 2021, 03:29:14 PM
Quote from: Young Conservative on February 16, 2021, 02:22:39 PM
Quote from: Pollster on February 16, 2021, 12:19:33 PM

Dems best possible candidate (out performed Trump by almost 30 points), but he won't win this federal race and this will almost certainly result in the flip of his state house seat.



This feels like a Hail Mary though I’m curious why he overpreform’s so much.

My guess is it has something to do with Lumbee voters splitting their tickets because of parochial issues (Graham is Lumbee and has been representing the area since before Trump made big gains with those voters).
His Republican opponent Oxendine was also Lumbee and she's an elected school board chair. She's probably likely to replace him.

This is an ancestrally D area trending R fast, so his Democratic replacement probably gets curb stomped against a strong R like Oxendine.
Logged
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,755
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #107 on: February 18, 2021, 01:42:46 PM »
Logged
Roll Roons
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,048
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #108 on: February 21, 2021, 10:08:25 PM »
TX-06 news:
Logged
Born to Slay. Forced to Work.
leecannon
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,956
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.78

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #109 on: February 21, 2021, 11:54:03 PM »
Quote from: Roll Roons on February 21, 2021, 10:08:25 PM
TX-06 news:


So Doris Matsui is getting two new widow successors joining her
Logged
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,755
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #110 on: February 22, 2021, 08:59:36 AM »
« Edited: February 22, 2021, 10:05:12 AM by VAR 🤦‍♂️ »
Quote from: Blairite on December 03, 2020, 05:01:31 AM
NY-22 is way, way, way more Republican than CA-25 is Democratic. Tenney f#cked up by a comparatively much larger amount.

Tenney underperformed Trump by 11.5%, so a bit larger than Christy Smith’s underperformance, but the two are comparable. I think neither of them are as weak as people make them out to be, b/c Tenney was severely outspent by Brindisi and the DCCC/Emily’s List didn’t even run ads for Smith in the special election, allowing Garcia to define her early. It also goes unmentioned that CA-25 and NY-22 are fairly prone to ticket-splitting.
Logged
Pollster
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,758


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #111 on: February 22, 2021, 11:33:44 AM »
A very interesting profile for a candidate in this district, though she's probably betting on a very favorable redistricting.
Logged
Gracile
gracile
Moderator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,064


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #112 on: February 23, 2021, 03:20:42 PM »
IL-16: 2020 IL-14 primary candidate Catalina Lauf (R) files to run against Kinzinger-
Logged
brucejoel99
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,726
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #113 on: February 23, 2021, 08:39:36 PM »
Good for the party at all levels, & exactly what Obama should've done during his 2 terms:
Logged
Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #114 on: February 25, 2021, 07:31:13 PM »




What is he thinking trying to run against Ron Wright's widow? It obviously is not going to work out for him.
Logged
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,755
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #115 on: February 27, 2021, 03:44:52 AM »


Logged
SnowLabrador
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,577
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #116 on: February 27, 2021, 08:08:44 AM »
Quote from: VAR on February 27, 2021, 03:44:52 AM




I remember when Anthony Gonzalez was supposed to be the frontrunner against Sherrod Brown in 2024. Not anymore; he's not surviving this primary unless there are like five people against him and they split the vote.
Logged
Mr.Phips
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,545


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #117 on: February 28, 2021, 07:04:12 PM »
Quote from: brucejoel99 on February 23, 2021, 08:39:36 PM
Good for the party at all levels, & exactly what Obama should've done during his 2 terms:



This is how it should always be done. 
Logged
beesley
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,140
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -4.52, S: 2.61

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #118 on: March 01, 2021, 07:35:45 AM »
Quote from: Co-Chair Bagel23 on February 25, 2021, 07:31:13 PM




What is he thinking trying to run against Ron Wright's widow? It obviously is not going to work out for him.


Notably Lance Harris declined to run against Julia Letlow, whereas here State Rep, former aide in the Bush White House and former candidate Jake Ellzey is not only not running against Susan Wright but also under the argument that he is 'not a politician'.
Logged
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,755
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #119 on: March 02, 2021, 11:45:30 AM »
Logged
Frenchrepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,278


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #120 on: March 02, 2021, 03:40:21 PM »
https://clerk.house.gov/evs/2021/roll053.xml

LOL. Golden voted in favor of an amendment which is giving the right to vote to inmates.

A very dumb move considering how his district is leaning.
Logged
Gracile
gracile
Moderator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,064


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #121 on: March 02, 2021, 03:47:49 PM »
Quote from: Frenchrepublican on March 02, 2021, 03:40:21 PM
https://clerk.house.gov/evs/2021/roll053.xml

LOL. Golden voted in favor of an amendment which is giving the right to vote to inmates.

A very dumb move considering how his district is leaning.

Maine actually has a system like this where it is legal for incarcerated people to vote from prison, so his vote makes a lot of sense in that regard.

Also, not sure what your post has to do with recruitment.
Logged
Frenchrepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,278


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #122 on: March 02, 2021, 03:51:48 PM »
Quote from: gracile on March 02, 2021, 03:47:49 PM
Quote from: Frenchrepublican on March 02, 2021, 03:40:21 PM
https://clerk.house.gov/evs/2021/roll053.xml

LOL. Golden voted in favor of an amendment which is giving the right to vote to inmates.

A very dumb move considering how his district is leaning.

Maine actually has a system like this where it is legal for incarcerated people to vote from prison, so his vote makes a lot of sense in that regard.

Also, not sure what your post has to do with recruitment.

I guess this is an issue which could be weaponized by the GOP against him during the next election cycle.
Logged
Roll Roons
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,048
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #123 on: March 03, 2021, 10:58:21 AM »
https://www.latimes.com/politics/story/2021-03-03/pelosi-political-fight-san-francisco-successor-congress

Article on the shadow battle for Pelosi's seat. I'm increasingly convinced that she'll retire in 2022.
Logged
Lognog
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,399
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #124 on: March 04, 2021, 12:41:58 PM »


I'm pretty convinced she will. She promised to step down as the leader of house dems. You can't lead the dems in the house for 16 years only to step down to become a back bencher. Not to mentions she's pretty old and probably doesn't hate the idea of retirement
Logged
Pages: 1 2 3 4 [5] 6 7 8 9 10 ... 157  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.062 seconds with 11 queries.