Is Maine back to being a Safe D state on the presidential level? (user search)
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  Is Maine back to being a Safe D state on the presidential level? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Is Maine back to being a Safe D state on the presidential level?  (Read 1034 times)
SevenEleven
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 5,607


« on: November 20, 2020, 02:52:09 PM »

No definitely not.

Maine is still not trending in a Democratic direction.

On the presidential level it definitely is. It went from Hillary +3 to Biden +10 when the popular vote only shifted by 2, meaning it trended D by 5%.

This is not an insignificant amount, Georgia only trended D by 3% and Arizona by 2%. Not that the trends will necessarily continue like that, but still.


Two party splits are really lame in elections with high third party vote share. Trump lost about 1.5% on his 2016 total.
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