Is Maine back to being a Safe D state on the presidential level? (user search)
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  Is Maine back to being a Safe D state on the presidential level? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Is Maine back to being a Safe D state on the presidential level?  (Read 1001 times)
KaiserDave
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Posts: 13,589
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E: -5.81, S: -5.39

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« on: November 20, 2020, 02:07:58 PM »

No definitely not.

Maine is still not trending in a Democratic direction.
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KaiserDave
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*****
Posts: 13,589
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -5.39

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« Reply #1 on: November 20, 2020, 02:13:16 PM »

No definitely not.

Maine is still not trending in a Democratic direction.

It just did.

I see this as a temporary aberration

I was pleasantly surprised at how we did there, but over the long term I’m not very optimistic
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KaiserDave
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*****
Posts: 13,589
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -5.39

P

« Reply #2 on: November 20, 2020, 02:18:08 PM »

No definitely not.

Maine is still not trending in a Democratic direction.

On the presidential level it definitely is. It went from Hillary +3 to Biden +10 when the popular vote only shifted by 2, meaning it trended D by 5%.

This is not an insignificant amount, Georgia only trended D by 3% and Arizona by 2%. Not that the trends will necessarily continue like that, but still.


I hope you’re right
But Maine is quite elastic
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