NC-SEN, 2022: The Beasley Resurrection?

[THG]

McCrory has immense name recognition here but also lacks appeal to the conservative base. Thus, I don’t see him being victorious in the primary.


I think the primary and general election is Budd’s to lose, particularly after the Trump endorsement. I have a generic Republican winning the Tar Heel State next year by a margin of around 2.5 to 6 percentage points.

[Lognog]

McCrory has immense name recognition here but also lacks appeal to the conservative base. Thus, I don’t see him being victorious in the primary.


I think the primary and general election is Budd’s to lose, particularly after the Trump endorsement. I have a generic Republican winning the Tar Heel State next year by a margin of around 2.5 to 6 percentage points.

Yeah all these polls that have McCroy up big are useless. Budd has barely had time to get his name out and Trump will certainly campaign for him in NC. Budd's annoucement ad was leagues above McCroy plus Budd doesn't have the baggage of losing statewide as a Republican when Trump won the state. I'm pretty confident Budd gets this one although I predict that this race will go to a run off.

[THG]

McCrory has immense name recognition here but also lacks appeal to the conservative base. Thus, I don’t see him being victorious in the primary.


I think the primary and general election is Budd’s to lose, particularly after the Trump endorsement. I have a generic Republican winning the Tar Heel State next year by a margin of around 2.5 to 6 percentage points.

Yeah all these polls that have McCroy up big are useless. Budd has barely had time to get his name out and Trump will certainly campaign for him in NC. Budd's annoucement ad was leagues above McCroy plus Budd doesn't have the baggage of losing statewide as a Republican when Trump won the state. I'm pretty confident Budd gets this one although I predict that this race will go to a run off.

North Carolina in a red wave year is probably Lean Republican- with it being Likely in the best case scenario (unlikely).

I don’t see this race going to a runoff in a Biden midterm- if we had runoffs!

[GALeftist]

McCrory has immense name recognition here but also lacks appeal to the conservative base. Thus, I don’t see him being victorious in the primary.


I think the primary and general election is Budd’s to lose, particularly after the Trump endorsement. I have a generic Republican winning the Tar Heel State next year by a margin of around 2.5 to 6 percentage points.

Yeah all these polls that have McCroy up big are useless. Budd has barely had time to get his name out and Trump will certainly campaign for him in NC. Budd's annoucement ad was leagues above McCroy plus Budd doesn't have the baggage of losing statewide as a Republican when Trump won the state. I'm pretty confident Budd gets this one although I predict that this race will go to a run off.

North Carolina in a red wave year is probably Lean Republican- with it being Likely in the best case scenario (unlikely).

I don’t see this race going to a runoff in a Biden midterm.

North Carolina doesn't have runoffs for the general, does it?

[THG]

McCrory has immense name recognition here but also lacks appeal to the conservative base. Thus, I don’t see him being victorious in the primary.


I think the primary and general election is Budd’s to lose, particularly after the Trump endorsement. I have a generic Republican winning the Tar Heel State next year by a margin of around 2.5 to 6 percentage points.

Yeah all these polls that have McCroy up big are useless. Budd has barely had time to get his name out and Trump will certainly campaign for him in NC. Budd's annoucement ad was leagues above McCroy plus Budd doesn't have the baggage of losing statewide as a Republican when Trump won the state. I'm pretty confident Budd gets this one although I predict that this race will go to a run off.

North Carolina in a red wave year is probably Lean Republican- with it being Likely in the best case scenario (unlikely).

I don’t see this race going to a runoff in a Biden midterm.

North Carolina doesn't have runoffs for the general, does it?

Nope, that’s an obvious fact that I somehow negated to mention.

But even if NC did have runoffs, 2022 in all likelihood won’t be close enough for a hypothetical runoff to occur. We aren’t electorally similar to GA whatsoever outside of some suburban areas being somewhat similar to Atlanta.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We haven't seen one poll out of NC and Rs think that Beasley and Jackson are Cunningham and will go down like him, he lost narrowly and Beasley and Jackson can win

We have seen primary polls

[Lognog]

McCrory has immense name recognition here but also lacks appeal to the conservative base. Thus, I don’t see him being victorious in the primary.


I think the primary and general election is Budd’s to lose, particularly after the Trump endorsement. I have a generic Republican winning the Tar Heel State next year by a margin of around 2.5 to 6 percentage points.

Yeah all these polls that have McCroy up big are useless. Budd has barely had time to get his name out and Trump will certainly campaign for him in NC. Budd's annoucement ad was leagues above McCroy plus Budd doesn't have the baggage of losing statewide as a Republican when Trump won the state. I'm pretty confident Budd gets this one although I predict that this race will go to a run off.

North Carolina in a red wave year is probably Lean Republican- with it being Likely in the best case scenario (unlikely).

I don’t see this race going to a runoff in a Biden midterm- if we had runoffs!

Yeah I was talking about a run off for the primary. I would start the race as lean R with a decent R candidate and a decent D candidate which is what I think we will get. If I had to guess the margin I would say slightly better than Trump by a point or two

[Karenthecomputer]

I think it will be Jeff Jackson vs Ted Budd.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We haven't seen one GE poll on this race

[OneJ]

https://twitter.com/HotlineJosh/status/1412748425834156033

The second part of the tweet above is apparently wrong though.

https://twitter.com/GartonArthur/status/1412778568099192834

[Roll Roons]

I’m actually inclined to think Beasley wins the nomination.

[SnowLabrador]

It'll be Budd vs. Beasley, with Budd winning by high single digits.

[Calthrina950]

It'll be Budd vs. Beasley, with Budd winning by high single digits.

I don't think he'll win by that much. I think Budd will win by between 2-5%.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Rs aren't a lock on this Senate race, there hasn't been one poll

[Meatball Ron]

https://twitter.com/SenGillibrand/status/1413134140992593921
Nice

[Roll Roons]

https://nsjonline.com/article/2021/07/cheri-beasley-teams-with-controversial-missouri-rep-to-fundraise/

Let me point out that this century, Democrats have not won a presidential or Senate election in North Carolina, the only exception being the massive wave blue year of 2008. A year so great for them that they flipped House seats in Idaho and southeast Alabama. Though recent elections have been close, the state does appear to have a stubborn Republican tilt.

So why on earth does Beasley think it would be a good idea to fundraise with someone as toxic as f**king Cori Bush? Is she actually that dumb? This would be the equivalent of Chris Sununu fundraising with MTG.

[Lognog]

https://nsjonline.com/article/2021/07/cheri-beasley-teams-with-controversial-missouri-rep-to-fundraise/

Let me point out that this century, Democrats have not won a presidential or Senate election in North Carolina, the only exception being the massive wave blue year of 2008. A year so great for them that they flipped House seats in Idaho and southeast Alabama. Though recent elections have been close, the state does appear to have a stubborn Republican tilt.

So why on earth does Beasley think it would be a good idea to fundraise with someone as toxic as f**king Cori Bush? Is she actually that dumb? This would be the equivalent of Chris Sununu fundraising with MTG.

it says a lot that you equate MTG and Bush

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Lean R, take note that Rs are raising just as much money as the D's McCrory raised 1.2M compared to Beasley 1.3M

[wbrocks67]

https://nsjonline.com/article/2021/07/cheri-beasley-teams-with-controversial-missouri-rep-to-fundraise/

Let me point out that this century, Democrats have not won a presidential or Senate election in North Carolina, the only exception being the massive wave blue year of 2008. A year so great for them that they flipped House seats in Idaho and southeast Alabama. Though recent elections have been close, the state does appear to have a stubborn Republican tilt.

So why on earth does Beasley think it would be a good idea to fundraise with someone as toxic as f**king Cori Bush? Is she actually that dumb? This would be the equivalent of Chris Sununu fundraising with MTG.

because 98% of the general public doesnt know who Cori Bush is

[Meatball Ron]

More consolidation around Beasley - great stuff!

https://twitter.com/JoeBrunoWSOC9/status/1413507901851783169

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

They haven't release 1 poll from IA, NC or OH, it's Lean R until we get a poll

It's probably gonna be a RV poll instead of a LV screen just like Cunningham v Tillis poll it's probably just like in OH March poll Rs leading narrowly by 2

[Lognog]

I'm rooting for Beasley but I really wish Jackson got a shot in 2020

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

https://nsjonline.com/article/2021/07/cheri-beasley-teams-with-controversial-missouri-rep-to-fundraise/

Let me point out that this century, Democrats have not won a presidential or Senate election in North Carolina, the only exception being the massive wave blue year of 2008. A year so great for them that they flipped House seats in Idaho and southeast Alabama. Though recent elections have been close, the state does appear to have a stubborn Republican tilt.

So why on earth does Beasley think it would be a good idea to fundraise with someone as toxic as f**king Cori Bush? Is she actually that dumb? This would be the equivalent of Chris Sununu fundraising with MTG.

it says a lot that you equate MTG and Bush

Yeah, Bush is far more radical (farther from the status quo) on economic issues than MTG, as she supports things such as national rent control. Not fair to equate the two

[Suburbia]

Jeff Jackson is a white male, Cal Cunningham gave white Democrats a bad name.....Beasley is qualified....

If it is Budd vs. Beasley, Budd probably plays the race card......

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Jeff Jackson is a white male, Cal Cunningham gave white Democrats a bad name.....Beasley is qualified....

If it is Budd vs. Beasley, Budd probably plays the race card......

You know full and we'll NC voted for Barack Obama along with Veep Biden in 2008 and elected Kay Hagan, if it's a wave Beasley will win just like Obama did in 2008

Cal Cunningham will win. Too if it's a wave

Trump is going back to his sa.e ways FREE THE PATRIOTS FROM JAIL, THERE iS NO DIFFERENCE BEYWEEN JAN 6 AND NOW TRUMP, VOTERS WANT TO SEE REMORSEFULNESS BUT HE IS NOT DOING IT



That's why Biden remain steady at between 52 and 62% Approvals