NC-SEN, 2022: The Beasley Resurrection?

[ProgressiveModerate]

Safe R now that we have the first GCB poll out: R+12. The Republican will win by double digits.

This far out, beacuse of all the uncertainty and the potential for things to change, I'm rating this as lean R, though it'll prolly end up as likely R

We get 1 R+12 poll 2 years out before Biden has even had a chance to govern, and act like that what's bound to happen. Polls also currently indicate Democrats are competative in the GA runoffs right now, which doesn't match an R+12 environment.

If we start getting a bunch of R + 8 or more GCB 2022 polls, then I'll start getting worried, but not getting too freaked out just yet. My current guess is R+3 in the senate and Rs probably flip the House with ~230 seats.

[cwh2018]

Yes- she would get the nomination...

But, she would lose by a couple of points in the general imo.

I also think State Senator Jeff Jackson will be the Dem nominee- and he will be an opposite Dem candidate compared to Cunningham.... Jeff Jackson will definitely overperform, whereas Cunningham has always underperformed (Cunningham was supposed to be a great US Senate candidate when he ran 10 years ago--- Only to underperform and lose in the Dem Primary, to a very bland Elaine Marshall).

Jeff Jackson has the x-factor that I have always thought Cunningham completely lacked.

There is no good reason that he shouldn't have run and been nominated this year. Maybe Collins, Ernst, Daines, Cornyn, Graham and Sullivan weren't beatable anyway, but Tillis certainly was.

I think his wife had just given birth to their first child and he did want to have to start campaigning at that time.  There was also supposed to have been reports that he had a disagreement with Schumer, I agree with you that 2020 was the better chance to run for senate as a dem-I think 2022 is a massive outside shot for dems and Lara Trump would perform just about as well as any gop candidate statewide.

[Pollster]

Walker in.

https://twitter.com/MadelainePisani/status/1333801806225317890?s=20

[VAR]

I don't know much about him, is he a 'strong candidate'?

[KaiserDave]

I don't know much about him, is he a 'strong candidate'?

He's actually #unelectable

[VAR]

I don't know much about him, is he a 'strong candidate'?

He's actually #unelectable

Why?

[Left Wing]

Let’s hope we get a divisive Trump vs Walker primary!

[KaiserDave]

I don't know much about him, is he a 'strong candidate'?

He's actually #unelectable

Why?

Oh I have no idea

All I know is that he's to the right of Tillis

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The only way Ds take this race is to get Jeff Jackson to run, so far he has been mum since CUNNINGHAM s loss, but he runs I tilt it D.

Or get someone great that isn't Vilsack to run in IA, Grassley is going to retire. Rubio is safe

D's should spend all their resources to get Tom Nelson WI, Kelly, CCM, Hassan and a D elected in PA, partisan trends in a base Election due to a D midterm

[Frenchrepublican]

I don't know much about him, is he a 'strong candidate'?

He's actually #unelectable

LOL. Are you joking ?

[KaiserDave]

I don't know much about him, is he a 'strong candidate'?

He's actually #unelectable

LOL. Are you joking ?

Yes

[Frenchrepublican]

Actually Walker is a pretty decent recruit.

He is easily a B+ candidate, and to be honest he is likely a stronger one than the person democrats will put against him

The problem for democrats, besides the likely unfavourable climate, is that their bench has been clearly weakened over the past 10 years and they don't have a lot of solid potential recruits (Cooper is unlikely to run / Stein barely won reelection / Marshall has lost most of her crossover appeal and is very old / most other elected democrats come from safe seats and are too liberal in order to win statewide).

[President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️]

Bishop and Trump alike would flatten him if either were to run. That said, likely R until I have a reason to call it otherwise. I don't trust my state in the slightest.

[Frenchrepublican]

Bishop and Trump alike would flatten him if either were to run. That said, likely R until I have a reason to call it otherwise. I don't trust my state in the slightest.

Bishop ? Why do you think he would flatten him ?

[SnowLabrador]

Candidate quality doesn't matter at all. Mark Walker is as electable as any other Republican.

[President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️]

Bishop and Trump alike would flatten him if either were to run. That said, likely R until I have a reason to call it otherwise. I don't trust my state in the slightest.

Bishop ? Why do you think he would flatten him ?

All Bishop has to do is remind the people of North Carolina that he tried to stop the radical transgender agenda and the Senate seat is his, unless Trump runs.

[Frenchrepublican]

Bishop and Trump alike would flatten him if either were to run. That said, likely R until I have a reason to call it otherwise. I don't trust my state in the slightest.

Bishop ? Why do you think he would flatten him ?

All Bishop has to do is remind the people of North Carolina that he tried to stop the radical transgender agenda and the Senate seat is his, unless Trump runs.

Walker is a pastor, I doubt you can accuse him of being a liberal on social issues.

[Vern]

Mark Walker is actually a very strong candidate.

[Tiger08]

Walker in.

https://twitter.com/MadelainePisani/status/1333801806225317890?s=20

Endorsed

[VAR]

Walker in.

https://twitter.com/MadelainePisani/status/1333801806225317890?s=20

Endorsed

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Dems only need a slim Majority to pass DC and PR statehood would do fine in a 51/49 Senate.

[2016]

Dems only need a slim Majority to pass DC and PR statehood would do fine in a 51/49 Senate.

D. C. Statehood will never ever get passed. Give it up! You have Sinema & Manchin to deal with.

Puerto Rico I can see being passed some Day down the Road after divisive Nancy Pelosi finally leaves Congress.

[Young Conservative]

Walker is actually a strong candidate. Conservative enough to get the base without upsetting suburbanites. Plus, he has made concerted efforts to court minority voters.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Dems only need a slim Majority to pass DC and PR statehood would do fine in a 51/49 Senate.

D. C. Statehood will never ever get passed. Give it up! You have Sinema & Manchin to deal with.

Puerto Rico I can see being passed some Day down the Road after divisive Nancy Pelosi finally leaves Congress.

Sinema and Manchin doesn't have to stick to their pledge to not eliminate the filibuster, Schumer offered them a Fillibuster compromise a partial fillibuster repeal not a full Filibuster repeal but let's wait and see what Ds do if they get the majority. Politicians lie.  You and Rs just don't want Crt packing

It's not news that Politicians lie😆😆😆

Sinema and Manchin don't want Senator McConnell back as Majority Leader, this will pernamently end his tenure


Once the Ds net 51(49 Senate on Jan 5th and Biden is sworn in Biden promises to send Immigration reform and DC or PR down to Senate and see what happens

[Not Me, Us]

This seat is lean R at this point and will probably end up likely R. Dems have a pretty weak bench in the state and its obvious Republicans start out as favorites in the state for the foreseeable future.