News 4/St. Louis Post-Dispatch poll: McCaskill leads Talent by 6% in Missouri

[TheresNoMoney]

"Now, McCaskill's lead is six points and McCaskill's edge mirrors Nixon’s in the governor’s race. 
         
She leads among women by 13%, and independent voters by 14%. 

McCaskill leads big in St. Louis City, and has a 12% edge in St. Louis County......"

http://www.kmov.com/localnews/stories/kmov_localnews_060623_poll.b6b8e1e1.html

[they don't love you like i love you]

good news. How accurate have they been in the past?

I just turned MO Republican, but if this has a good track record, I might flip it back.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

We have a good chance at winning MO, MT, OH, PA, and RI. I can't see us finding that 6th seat required to stop the VP from breaking ties.

[TheresNoMoney]

TN and VA are our 6th and 7th best chances. Right now the Republicans are fairly strong favorites, but I expect we'll see much more movement in those races in the coming months.

[Adlai Stevenson]

I can't believe it! I'm very pleased about this.  I was despondent after a Zogby poll showing Talent leading by five points.  I think this will be a hard fought race but McCaskill can certainly claim victory.  I think her margins in rural Missouri will be stronger than a typical Democrat in the state, and she will obviously carry the urban centres.  Women will also help her, I don't think she will win by quite so large a margin though.  In fact I think the extent to which the GOP have taken root in Missouri she could win with less than 50% of the vote.  I now predict:

MCCASKILL 49%
TALENT 48%

[TheresNoMoney]

More details from this poll:

McCaskill   49%
Talent        43%

"Among 800 likely voters polled last week, 49 percent supported state Auditor Claire McCaskill, a Democrat, in her quest to replace U.S. Sen. Jim Talent, R-Mo. That compared to 43 percent who favored retaining Talent, who has been in office since 2003. The remaining 8 percent were undecided."

http://www.stltoday.com/stltoday/news/stories.nsf/stlouiscitycounty/story/8CD39743858142E086257197005F0EAB?OpenDocument

[Eraserhead]

Nice bit of news. I trust this (or any polling really) more then Zogby.