Georgia is Virginia 2008 without the crash
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  Georgia is Virginia 2008 without the crash
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Author Topic: Georgia is Virginia 2008 without the crash  (Read 1247 times)
OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
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« Reply #25 on: November 16, 2020, 12:25:01 PM »

The “crash” (which most Virginians were insulated from) has nothing to do with VA turning blue, and everything to do with George Allen’s dramatic implosion in 2006.   Which was the year that NoVA realized we hold immense political power.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/va/virginia_mccain_vs_obama-551.html#polls


Look at the polling before the crash , it was a pure Tossup if not Tilt McCain

Ironically, the most likely outcome for 2008 without the crash would have been Obama winning the EC while McCain wins the PV!


Yup cause Obama was too strong in states like Iowa, Colorado , New Mexico to ever drop below 269 and since Democrats controlled the majority of state delegations then Obama would get elected(and that is assuming McCain would carry NH , NV)
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #26 on: November 16, 2020, 12:33:32 PM »

The “crash” (which most Virginians were insulated from) has nothing to do with VA turning blue, and everything to do with George Allen’s dramatic implosion in 2006.   Which was the year that NoVA realized we hold immense political power.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/va/virginia_mccain_vs_obama-551.html#polls


Look at the polling before the crash , it was a pure Tossup if not Tilt McCain

Ironically, the most likely outcome for 2008 without the crash would have been Obama winning the EC while McCain wins the PV!


Yup cause Obama was too strong in states like Iowa, Colorado , New Mexico to ever drop below 269 and since Democrats controlled the majority of state delegations then Obama would get elected(and that is assuming McCain would carry NH , NV)

Colorado was also well left of the PV, so it may not even come to that.  Obama gets 278 EV in a McCain +0.7 PV scenario.
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OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 45,115


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #27 on: November 16, 2020, 12:51:11 PM »

The “crash” (which most Virginians were insulated from) has nothing to do with VA turning blue, and everything to do with George Allen’s dramatic implosion in 2006.   Which was the year that NoVA realized we hold immense political power.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/va/virginia_mccain_vs_obama-551.html#polls


Look at the polling before the crash , it was a pure Tossup if not Tilt McCain

Ironically, the most likely outcome for 2008 without the crash would have been Obama winning the EC while McCain wins the PV!


Yup cause Obama was too strong in states like Iowa, Colorado , New Mexico to ever drop below 269 and since Democrats controlled the majority of state delegations then Obama would get elected(and that is assuming McCain would carry NH , NV)

Colorado was also well left of the PV, so it may not even come to that.  Obama gets 278 EV in a McCain +0.7 PV scenario.

no im talking about this map

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