If Warren was the nominee
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Author Topic: If Warren was the nominee  (Read 367 times)
Da2017
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« on: November 12, 2020, 12:36:06 PM »
« edited: November 12, 2020, 12:40:13 PM by Da2017 »
How would it turn out?
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #1 on: November 12, 2020, 12:53:49 PM »
Pretty much a repeat of the 2016 map more or less is my guess, maybe slightly worse (she could lose NV and even NH, though some effect from being a New Englander may save her there).
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Fmr. Gov. NickG
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« Reply #2 on: November 12, 2020, 01:13:48 PM »
I think Warren wins 270-268 with the same map minus PA and GA.  Warren does a little better with white liberals and Latinos, a little worse among WWC and African Americans.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #3 on: November 12, 2020, 01:18:43 PM »
Quote from: Fmr. Gov. NickG on November 12, 2020, 01:13:48 PM
I think Warren wins 270-268 with the same map minus PA and GA.  Warren does a little better with white liberals and Latinos, a little worse among WWC and African Americans.

White liberals aren't enough. She would need to do better with white moderates.
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mileslunn
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« Reply #4 on: November 12, 2020, 03:05:47 PM »
She would have lost.  Probably 313-225 losing all states plus NE-02 which Biden flipped and also losing Nevada too.
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King of Kensington
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« Reply #5 on: November 12, 2020, 03:10:33 PM »
Virtually identical to 2016 map I think.
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Shaula🏳️‍⚧️
The Pieman
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« Reply #6 on: November 12, 2020, 05:55:23 PM »
Terrible. Non-populist progressives can't win.
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #7 on: November 12, 2020, 06:01:07 PM »
It would have been an exact repeat of 2016, maybe worse.  She definitely wouldn't have won Arizona or Georgia.  She probably wouldn't have won Wisconsin or Pennsylvania.  She might have pulled it out in Michigan and the Omaha district.  Her margins in Minnesota and Virginia would have been pitiful. 
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